2012 elections preview: Arizona voters to select winners in congressional, legislative primaries

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August 27, 2012

By Ballotpedia's Congressional and State legislative teams

The primary season continues with elections in Alaska, Arizona, Oklahoma, and Vermont tomorrow.

Here's what to watch for in Arizona, where polling places are open from 6:00 AM to 7:00 PM, Mountain Time on Election Day.[1]

Contested Primaries in Arizona -- August 28, 2012
U.S. House
(9 seats)
State Legislature
(90 seats)
Total Democratic Contested Primaries 7 (77.78%) 15 (16.7%)
Total Republican Contested Primaries 8 (88.89%) 13 (14.4%)

Congress

U.S. Senate

United States Senate elections in Arizona, 2012

There are five candidates competing in primaries for Arizona's U.S. Senate seat tomorrow - 4 Republicans and 1 Democrat. The seat is open following the retirement of incumbent Jon Kyl. In the Republican primary, Wil Cardon, U.S. Representative Jeff Flake, Bryan Hackbarth, and Clair Van Steenwyk compete for the nomination. The winner will face the lone Democratic candidate, Richard Carmona, in the general election. Sheila Bilyeu, a Libertarian, and Ian Gilyeat, an Independent, will also compete in the general election.

U.S. House

United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona, 2012

Arizona has nine congressional seats on the ballot in 2012. A total of 54 candidates have filed to run, made up of 16 Democratic challenger, 23 Republican challengers, 7 incumbent, and 8 third-party candidates. Including states with their primaries tomorrow, a total of 415 U.S. House seats have held primaries. Thus far, 54.94% of possible primaries have been contested. Arizona's contested figure of 83.33% (15 out of 18 possible party primaries) is significantly more competitive than the national average.

In District 1, Ann Kirkpatrick and Wenona Benally Baldenegro vie for the Democratic nomination while Patrick Gatti, Gaither Martin, Jonathan Paton, and Douglas Wade compete in the Republican primary. The seat is open following redistricting.

In the 2nd District, incumbent Ron Barber, who was elected to replace Gabrielle Giffords in the June special election, faces a challenge from Matt Heinz and write-in candidate Charlie Manolakis in the Democratic primary. Jesse Kelly, Mark Koskiniemi, and Martha McSally face off for the GOP nomination. Should Kelly and Barber win their primaries, they will meet in a rematch of the special election in November.

In District 3, Democratic incumbent Raul Grijalva is challenged by Amanda Aguirre and J. Manuel Arreguin. Meanwhile, Gabriela Saucedo Mercer and Jaime Vasquez compete for the Republican nomination.

In District 4, Republican incumbent Paul Gosar is challenged by state senator Ron Gould and Rick Murphy in the Republican primary. Johnnie Robinson and Mikel Weisser vie for the Democratic nomination.

In District 5 is open following redistricting. Kirk Adams and Matt Salmon compete on the Republican ticket. The winner will face Democrat Morgan Spencer in the November general election.

In the 6th District, incumbents Benjamin Quayle and David Schweikert compete in on of the most heated Republican primaries of the year. Meanwhile, Matt Jette and John Williamson compete for the Democratic nomination.

In District 7, Democratic incumbent Ed Pastor is challenged by Rebecca DeWitt in the primary election. Scott Fistler is a write-in and the only candidate for the Republican primary.

In the 8th District, incumbent Trent Franks faces a challenge from Tony Passalacqua and write-in candidate Helmuth Hack in the Republican primary. The winner will face Democrat Gene Scharer in the general election.

Ten candidates compete in Arizona's newly created 9th Congressional District. Andrei Cherny, David Schapira, and Kyrsten Sinema compete in the Democratic primary. On the other side of the aisle, Lisa Borowsky, Leah Campos Schandlbauer, Travis Grantham, Vernon Parker, Wendy Rogers, Martin Sepulveda, and Jeff Thompson vie for the nomination on the Republican ticket.


Members of the U.S. House from Arizona -- Partisan Breakdown
Party As of November 2012 After the 2012 Election
     Democratic Party 3 5
     Republican Party 5 4
Total 8 9

State legislature

See also: Arizona State Senate elections, 2012 and Arizona House of Representatives elections, 2012

There are 90 total legislative seats with elections in 2012 -- 30 Senate seats and 60 House seats.

There are 28 contested primaries in the state legislative races out of a possible 180 contested major party primaries, including 8 in the state senate elections and 20 in the state house elections. Each district elects two representatives to the Arizona House of Representatives, and thus only districts that have more than two contestants from the same party are considered contested districts.

Five of the 8 contested state senate primaries are Democratic primaries, and 10 of the 20 contested state house primaries are Democratic primaries. Thus a total of 16.7 percent of all possible contested Democratic primaries are contested. The rest of the contested primaries are Republican primaries, which accounts for 14.4 percent of all contested Republican primaries.

The 28 contested primaries represents 15.6 percent of possible primaries tomorrow. This figure is slightly lower than the current national contested average of 18.4 percent for states that have had filing deadlines.

In the Senate, 22 incumbents are running for re-election. In the House, 37 incumbents are running for re-election.

State legislature

See also: Arizona State Senate elections, 2012 and Arizona House of Representatives elections, 2012

There are 90 total legislative seats with elections in 2012 -- 30 Senate seats and 60 House seats.

There are 28 contested primaries in the state legislative races out of a possible 180 contested major party primaries, including 8 in the state senate elections and 20 in the state house elections. Each district elects two representatives to the Arizona House of Representatives, and thus only districts that have more than two contestants from the same party are considered contested districts.

Five of the 8 contested state senate primaries are Democratic primaries, and 10 of the 20 contested state house primaries are Democratic primaries. Thus a total of 16.7 percent of all possible contested Democratic primaries are contested. The rest of the contested primaries are Republican primaries, which accounts for 14.4 percent of all contested Republican primaries.

The 28 contested primaries represents 15.6 percent of possible primaries tomorrow. This figure is slightly lower than the current national contested average of 18.4 percent for states that have had filing deadlines.

In the Senate, 22 incumbents are running for re-election. In the House, 37 incumbents are running for re-election.

Senate

There are eight contested primaries in the State Senate races.

Democratic Party District 3: District 27 incumbent Olivia Cajero Bedford (D), who first assumed office in 2011, faces a primary challenge from fellow Democrat Maria Garcia.
Republican Party District 5: House District 3 Representative Nancy McLain (R), who has been in office since 2005, faces two other Republican candidates, Sam Scarmardo and Kelli Ward. Incumbent Republican Sylvia Allen is not running for re-election.
Republican Party District 16: District 19 incumbent Rich Crandall (R), who first assumed office in 2011, faces challenger and House District 23 Representative John Fillmore, who first assumed office in the House in 2011.
Democratic Party District 27: District 16 incumbent Leah Landrum-Taylor (D), who first assumed office in 2007, faces Democratic challenger Victor Jett Contreras.
Democratic Party District 30: District 14 incumbent Robert Meza (D), who first assumed office in 2011, faces Democratic primary challenger Raquel Teran in a contest that will likely decide who occupies the seat in the next legislative session.


Arizona State Senate
Party As of November 5, 2012 After the 2012 Election
     Democratic Party 9 13
     Republican Party 21 17
Total 30 30


House

There are 20 contested primaries in the State House of Representatives races.

Republican Party District 1: Incumbents Andy Tobin (R), who first assumed office in 2007, and Karen Fann (R), who first assumed office in 2011, face Senator Lori Klein (R), who has represented Senate District 6 since 2011.
Republican Party District 12: District 22 incumbent Eddie Farnsworth (R), who most recently assumed office in 2011 but served in leadership in the House before his current tenure began, faces Republican candidates Larry Chesley and Warren Petersen in the primary for this House seat.
Republican Party District 15: District 7 incumbents Heather Carter (R) and David Smith (R), both of whom first assumed office in 2011, face Republican challengers James Bearup and John Allen.
Republican Party District 20: District 6 incumbent Carl Seel (R), who first assumed office in 2009, faces Republican challengers Paul Boyer and George Benavides.
Republican Party District 23: District 8 incumbent John Kavanagh (R), who first assumed office in 2007, and District 8 incumbent Michelle Ugenti (R), who first assumed office in 2011, face Republican challenger Jennifer Petersen.
Democratic Party District 24: House District 15 incumbent Lela Alston (D), who first assumed office in 2011, and House District 14 incumbent Chad Campbell (D), who first assumed office in 2007, face two other Democratic candidates: Jean Cheuvront-McDermott and Tom Nerini.
Democratic Party District 27: District 16 incumbents Ruben Gallego (D) and Catherine H. Miranda (D), both of whom first assumed office in 2011, face Democratic challenger Reginald Bolding.
Democratic Party District 29: District 13 incumbent Martin Quezada (D), who first assumed office in 2012, faces challengers Lydia Hernandez and Martin Samaniego.
Democratic Party District 30: District 14 incumbent Debbie McCune-Davis (D), who first assumed office in 2011, faces Democratic challengers Jonathon Larkin and Mike Snitz in a race that will likely decide who holds this seat in the next legislative session.


Arizona House of Representatives
Party As of November 5, 2012 After the 2012 Election
     Democratic Party 19 24
     Republican Party 40 36
     Vacancy 1 0
Total 60 60

See also

Ballotpedia News

References