Alice Novoa

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Alice Novoa
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Candidate for
Governor of Arizona
PartyRepublican (Write-in)
Elections and appointments
Next generalNovember 4, 2014
Term limitsN/A
Alice Novoa is a Republican write-in candidate for Governor of Arizona in 2014.[1] The general election takes place November 4, 2014.

Elections

2014

See also: Arizona Gubernatorial election, 2014

Novoa is running as a Republican write-in candidate for election to the office of Governor of Arizona.[1] The general election takes place November 4, 2014.

Race background

Incumbent Jan Brewer (R) is term-limited from seeking re-election, leaving the seat open for the 2014 electoral cycle. The race has been rated "Likely R" by The Cook Political Report, meaning Brewer is likely to give over the office to another Republican.[2] Meanwhile, Governing rated the upcoming general election between major party nominees Doug Ducey (R) and Fred DuVal (D) as a "Toss-up."[3]

Brewer was originally appointed to the position in 2009 and was elected once in 2010. Arizona's term limit laws preclude any individual who has occupied the governor's office during two consecutive terms from running for re-election. Brewer and some of her supporters asserted that the law does not adequately account for the conditions of Brewer's incomplete first term. Hints that Brewer would pursue an exemption from the term-limit law or otherwise attempt to circumvent the eligibility restriction began in November 2012 and persisted until March 2014. A crowded field of Republican hopefuls rushed into the race to replace Brewer as Arizona's chief executive official before the first filing window closed in May. Former Arizona Board of Regents President Fred DuVal earned an automatic pass to the general election as the sole Democratic Party entrant.

The hotly contested GOP primary attracted several big names from government and the private sector, such as outgoing Arizona State Treasurer Doug Ducey, Secretary of State Ken Bennett, Mesa mayor Scott Smith and former GoDaddy.com executive vice president Christine Jones. Ducey looked to be the front-runner in the months leading up to the primary, owing to a consistent polling lead and strong name recognition, although Smith and Jones were close on his tail. After Ducey won the Republican primary on August 26, 2014, defeated challengers Thomas and Riggs immediately endorsed Ducey. Bennett, Smith and Jones, however, in an act of defiance against post-primary custom, all declined to give the nominee their automatic support. The trio of former candidates also skipped the Arizona Republican Party "unity breakfast" held the morning after election day. Explaining their reticence to the Arizona Republic the day after Ducey's primary victory, the recently eliminated contenders cited some unspecified "issues" with some of Ducey's stances and their lingering skepticism over Ducey's account of his role in a legal dispute stemming from the 2007 sale of Cold Stone Creamery.[4] In the subsequent weeks, all three came around to backing Ducey for the general election.[5]

With all eyes trained on the GOP contest in the final stretch of the primary campaign season, the number of minor-party and unaffiliated contenders who qualified or were in the process of qualifying for placement on the November 4 ballot swelled to 17. After the primary, Ducey joined DuVal and this diverse group of third party, unaffiliated and write-in candidates in the general election fight to fill the open governor's seat.[6][7]

Polls

General election
Ducey vs. DuVal vs. Hess

Arizona Governor - General election match-ups
Poll Doug Ducey (R) Fred DuVal (D)Barry J. Hess (L)Undecided/OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Garin-Hart-Yang (D)
February 3-6, 2014
32%32%6%30%+/-3.5500
The Arizona Republic
August 24-25, 2014
35%35%12%18%+/-4.0588
Terrance (R-Arizona Free Enterprise Club)
September 15-17, 2014
44%38%6%11%+/-4.5505
Keating (D-Restore Arizona's Future PAC)
September 17-19, 2014
41%39%7%13%+/-4.0600
Moore Information
October 7-8, 2014
36%39%3%22%+/-4.9400
AVERAGES 37.6% 36.6% 6.8% 18.8% +/-4.18 518.6
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Ducey vs. Duval

Governor of Arizona - Ducey vs. DuVal
Poll Doug Ducey (R) Fred DuVal (D)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Susquehanna Polling and Research
November 2013
36%33%31%+/--600
Rasmussen Reports
August 27-28, 2014
40%40%13%+/-4.0850
New York Times/CBS/YouGov
September 20-October 1, 2014
50%39%11%+/-32,808
Rasmussen Reports
October 14-16, 2014
47%42%10%+/-31,056
AVERAGES 43.25% 38.5% 16.25% +/-0.5 1,328.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Primary polling
Republican primary

Arizona Governor - GOP Primary
Poll Ken Bennett Doug DuceyChristine JonesFrank RiggsScott SmithAndrew ThomasUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Harper Polling
June 25-26, 2014
12%33%15%2%14%3%22%+/-3.48791
Magellan Strategies
July 9-10, 2014
11%26%22%2%14%6%19%+/-4.02593
Gravis Marketing
July 14, 2014
7%28%19%1%14%8%24%+/-4.0691
Harper Polling
July 16-17, 2014
12%23%21%1%13%7%22%+/-3.29885
Arizona Automobile Dealers Association
August 15, 2014
10%31%16%3%23%7%10%1,300
Harper Polling
August 19-20, 2014
14%32%16%2%19%7%10%+/-3.44812
AVERAGES 11% 28.83% 18.17% 1.83% 16.17% 6.33% 17.83% +/-3.04 845.33
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Republican primary

Arizona Governor - GOP primary
Poll Ken Bennett Christine JonesAl MelvinAndrew ThomasDoug DuceyScott SmithUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Susquehanna Polling and Research
(November 2013)
20%4%2%4%8%6%53%+/--245
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Recent news

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Alice Novoa News Feed

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See also

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References