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Arizona's 2nd Congressional District elections, 2014

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2012

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Arizona's 2nd Congressional District

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
August 26, 2014

Incumbent prior to election:
Ron Barber Democratic Party
Ron Barber.jpg

Arizona U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9

2014 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Arizona.png
The 2nd Congressional District of Arizona will hold an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014.
BattlegroundRace.jpg

Arizona's 2nd Congressional District is a battleground in 2014. Incumbent Ron Barber (D) is seeking re-election in a district with nearly even amounts of Republican and Democratic voters according to Cook's PVI and Fairvote.[1][2] Barber is a freshman incumbent who won election to the district by less than 1 percent in 2012. Additionally, the Republican presidential candidate won the district in both 2012 and 2008.

Barber will very likely face Martha McSally (R) in November in a rematch of the 2012 general election. McSally holds a tremendous fundraising edge over the other Republican candidates for the seat, Shelley Kais and Chuck Wooten, as of the April 2014 Quarterly reports.

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
May 28, 2014
August 26, 2014
November 4, 2014

Primary: Arizona is one of 21 states with a mixed primary system. The primary is considered semi-closed. Unaffiliated voters may choose which party's primary they will vote in, but voters registered with a party can only vote in that party's primary.[3][4][5]

Voter registration: Voters must register to vote in the primary by July 28, 2014. For the general election, the voter registration deadline is October 6, 2014.[6]

See also: Arizona elections, 2014

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent is Ron Barber (D), who was first elected in a special election on June 12, 2012.

The 2nd District is located in the southeastern corner of Arizona and includes Cochise County and part of Pima County.[7]

Candidates

Democratic Party Ron Barber - Incumbent
Republican Party Martha McSally
Republican Party Shelley Kais
Republican Party Chuck Wooten

Race background

Incumbent Ron Barber (D), is one of seven early targets listed by the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) in the 2014 congressional elections.[8] The seven targets align perfectly with the seven most Republican districts currently held by Democrats, according to FairVote's partisanship index. Barber's district ranks as the 7th most Republican (46% D).[9]

Barber is a member of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's Frontline Program. The program is designed to help protect vulnerable Democratic incumbents heading into the 2014 election.[10]

Republican challenger Martha McSally is seeking a rematch of the 2012 race in which Barber narrowly defeated her with less than 1 percent of the vote separating the two candidates. The 2012 race was too close to call for over a week after the election took place.[11]

Endorsements

On March 29, 2014, Speaker John Boehner headlined a fundraiser for Martha McSally and Andy Tobin (AZ-01).[12]

Media


LIBRE Initiative ad attacking Ron Barber for voting for Obamacare

Polls

Ron Barber vs Martha McSally
Poll Ron Barber Martha McSallyUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Normington Petts (June 8-10, 2014)
45%37%18%+/-4.9400
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

According to the NRCC, a poll released on July 11, 2013, shows Barber leading McSally 46% to 45%.[13]

Key votes

Below are important votes the current incumbent cast during the 113th Congress.

Government shutdown

See also: United States budget debate, 2013

Voted "Yes" On September 30, 2013, the House passed a final stopgap spending bill before the shutdown went into effect. The bill included a one-year delay of the Affordable Care Act's individual mandate and would have also stripped the bill of federal subsidies for congressional members and staff. It passed through the House with a vote of 228-201.[14] At 1 a.m. on October 1, 2013, one hour after the shutdown officially began, the House voted to move forward with going to a conference. In short order, Sen. Harry Reid rejected the call to conference.[15] Ron Barber voted to approve the stopgap spending bill that would have delayed the individual mandate.[16]

Voted "Yes" The shutdown finally ended on October 16, 2013, when the House took a vote on HR 2775 after it was approved by the Senate. The bill to reopen the government lifted the $16.7 trillion debt limit and funded the government through January 15, 2014. Federal employees also received retroactive pay for the shutdown period. The only concession made by Senate Democrats was to require income verification for Obamacare subsidies.[17] The House passed the legislation shortly after the Senate, by a vote of 285-144, with all 144 votes against the legislation coming from Republican members. Ron Barber voted for HR 2775.[18]

Campaign contributions

Ron Barber

Ron Barber (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[19]April 15, 2013$86,068.66$297,213.90$(55,409.14)$327,873.42
July Quarterly[20]July 15, 2013$327,873.42$294,191.88$(70,446.30)$551,619.00
October Quarterly[21]October 15, 2013$551,619.00$318,584.58$(103,000.07)$767,203.51
Year-End[22]January 31, 2014$767,203$252,732$(80,706)$939,229
April Quarterly[23]April 15, 2014$939,229$422,799$(151,977)$1,210,051
July Quarterly[24]July 15, 2014$1,210,051$558,954$(205,078)$1,563,927
Running totals
$2,144,475.36$(666,616.51)

Martha McSally

Martha McSally (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[25]April 15, 2013$20,380.37$8,475.90$(6,216.72)$22,639.55
July Quarterly[26]July 15, 2013$22,639.55$15,002.15$(7,037.66)$30,604.04
October Quarterly[27]October 15, 2013$30,604.04$394,880.98$(37,287.73)$388,197.29
Year-End[28]January 31, 2014$388,197$322,585$(162,807)$547,974
April Quarterly[29]April 15, 2014$547,974$441,105$(141,937)$847,142
July Quarterly[30]July 15, 2014$847,142$653,357$(343,459)$1,157,040
Running totals
$1,835,406.03$(698,745.11)

Shelley Kais

Shelley Kais (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
Year-End[31]January 30, 2014$0$15,701$(2,801)$12,899
April Quarterly[32]April 15, 2014$12,899$6,168$(5,963)$13,104
July Quarterly[33]July 15, 2014$13,104$11,284$(11,075)$13,313
Running totals
$33,153$(19,839)

Chuck Wooten

Chuck Wooten (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[34]April 13, 2014$0$6,954$(5,787)$1,166
July Quarterly[35]July 10, 2014$1,166$20,343$(18,080)$3,430
Running totals
$27,297$(23,867)

District history

Candidate Ballot Access
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Find detailed information on ballot access requirements in all 50 states and Washington D.C.

2012

On November 6, 2012, Ron Barber (D) won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Martha McSally (R) in the general election.

U.S. House, Arizona District 2 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngRon Barber Incumbent 50.4% 147,338
     Republican Martha McSally 49.6% 144,884
     Libertarian Anthony Powell 0% 57
Total Votes 292,279
Source: Arizona Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

2010

On November 2, 2010, Trent Franks won re-election to the United States House. He defeated John Thrasher (D), Powell Gammill (L), William Crum (Write-in) and Mark Rankin (Write-in) in the general election.[36]

U.S. House, Arizona District 2 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngTrent Franks incumbent 64.9% 173,173
     Democratic John Thrasher 31.1% 82,891
     Libertarian Powell Gammill 4.1% 10,820
     Write-in William Crum 0% 8
     Write-in Mark Rankin 0% 2
Total Votes 266,894

See also

External links

References

  1. FairVote, "FairVote Releases Projections for the 2014 Congressional Elections," accessed November 5, 2013
  2. Cook Political Report, "2014 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," accessed April 4, 2014
  3. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  4. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  5. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013 through January 3, 2014 researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  6. Arizona Secretary of State Website, "Voter Registration and Education," accessed January 3, 2014
  7. Arizona Redistricting "Map" accessed July 7, 2012
  8. The Hill, "NRCC, promising to 'stay on offense,' targets seven Dems," accessed January 16, 2013
  9. FairVote, "NRCC Targets Foreshadow Power of Partisanship in 2014 Elections," January 18, 2013
  10. Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, "DCCC Chairman Steve Israel Announces 2013-2014 Frontline Members," accessed March 5, 2013
  11. Seattle PI "Voters in Arizona's 2nd pick Barber over McSally," November 17, 2012
  12. Political Party Time, "Luncheon for McSally Tobin Victory Committee," March 29, 2014
  13. Roll Call, "GOP Poll: McSally and Barber Tied in Arizona," July 11, 2013
  14. Clerk of the U.S. House, "Final vote results for Roll Call 504," accessed October 31, 2013
  15. Buzzfeed, "Government Shutdown: How We Got Here," accessed October 1, 2013
  16. Clerk of the U.S. House, "Final vote results for Roll Call 504," accessed October 31, 2013
  17. The Washington Post, "Reid, McConnell propose bipartisan Senate bill to end shutdown, extend borrowing," accessed October 16, 2013
  18. U.S. House, "Final vote results for Roll Call 550," accessed October 31, 2013
  19. Federal Election Commission, "Ron Barber April Quarterly," accessed July 22, 2013
  20. Federal Election Commission, "Ron Barber July Quarterly," accessed July 22, 2013
  21. Federal Election Commission, "Ron Barber October Quarterly," accessed October 21, 2013
  22. Federal Election Commission, "Ron Barber Year-End," accessed February 4, 2014
  23. Federal Election Commission, "Ron Barber April Quarterly," accessed April 20, 2014
  24. Federal Election Commission, "Ron Barber July Quarterly," accessed July 23, 2014
  25. Federal Election Commission, "Martha McSally April Quarterly," accessed July 28, 2013
  26. Federal Election Commission, "Martha McSally July Quarterly," accessed July 28, 2013
  27. Federal Election Commission, "Martha McSally October Quarterly," accessed October 29, 2013
  28. Federal Election Commission, "Martha McSally Year-End," accessed February 7, 2014
  29. Federal Election Commission, "Martha McSally April Quarterly," accessed April 30, 2014
  30. Federal Election Commission, "Martha McSally July Quarterly," accessed July 24, 2014
  31. Federal Election Commission, "Shelley Kais Year-End," accessed February 7, 2014
  32. Federal Election Commission, "Shelley Kais April Quarterly," accessed April 30, 2014
  33. Federal Election Commission, "Shelley Kais July Quarterly," accessed July 24, 2014
  34. Federal Election Commission, "Chuck Wooten April Quarterly," accessed June 3, 2014
  35. Federal Election Commission, "Chuck Wooten July Quarterly," accessed July 24, 2014
  36. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013