Ballotpedia's 2012 General Election Review Articles: Arizona Congressional Seats

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December 6, 2012

By Ballotpedia's Congressional team


MADISON, Wisconsin: Arizona had nine U.S. House seats on the ballot in 2012, including a brand new seat created by redistricting. Seven incumbents sought re-election to the U.S House, all to different seats, and six were victorious on November 6, 2012. As for the other two incumbents:

According to the New York Times race ratings in October 2012, three of the nine districts were considered to be in play. Those were the 1st, 2nd and 9th Districts. Indeed, those races were the last to be called out of the group. In the end, Democrats Ann Kirkpatrick and Ron Barber won the previously Republican-owned 1st and 2nd Districts, and the newly created district 9 seat was won by Democrat Kyrsten Sinema.

Here are the candidates who won election.

District General Election Candidates Incumbent 2012 Winner Partisan Switch?
1st Democratic Party Ann Kirkpatrick
Republican Party Jonathan Paton
Libertarian Party Kim Allen
Paul Gosar Democratic Party Ann Kirkpatrick Yes
2nd Democratic Party Ron Barber
Republican Party Martha McSally
Libertarian Party Anthony Powell (Write-in)
Trent Franks Democratic Party Ron Barber Yes
3rd Democratic Party Raul Grijalva
Republican Party Gabriela Saucedo Mercer
Libertarian Party Blanca Guerra
Benjamin Quayle Democratic Party Raul Grijalva Yes
4th Democratic Party Johnnie Robinson
Republican Party Paul Gosar
Libertarian Party Joe Pamelia
Independent Richard Grayson
Ed Pastor Republican Party Paul Gosar Yes
5th Democratic Party Morgan Spencer
Republican Party Matt Salmon
David Schweikert Republican Party Matt Salmon No
6th Democratic Party Matt Jette
Republican Party David Schweikert
Libertarian Party Jack Anderson
Green Party Mark Salazar
Jeff Flake Republican Party David Schweikert No
7th Democratic Party Ed Pastor
Libertarian Party Joe Cobb
Raul Grijalva Democratic Party Ed Pastor No
8th Democratic Party Gene Scharer
Republican Party Trent Franks
Independent Stephen Dolgos
Ron Barber Republican Party Trent Franks Yes
9th Democratic Party Kyrsten Sinema
Republican Party Vernon Parker
Libertarian Party Powell Gammill
N/A Democratic Party Kyrsten Sinema N/A

Members of the U.S. House from Arizona -- Partisan Breakdown
Party As of November 2012 After the 2012 Election
     Democratic Party 3 5
     Republican Party 5 4
Total 8 9

Margin of victory for winners

There were a total of 9 seats up for election in 2012 in Arizona. The following table shows the margin of victory for each district winner, which is calculated by examining the percentage difference between the top-two vote getters. If the race was uncontested, the margin of victory is listed as 100%.
DistrictWinnerMargin of VictoryTotal VoteTop Opponent
U.S. House, Arizona District 1 General Election Democratic Party Ann Kirkpatrick3.6%251,595Jonathon Paton
U.S. House, Arizona District 2 General Election Democratic Party Ron Barber0.8%292,279Martha McSally
U.S. House, Arizona District 3 General Election Democratic Party Raul Grijalva21.2%168,698Gabriela Saucedo Mercer
U.S. House, Arizona District 4 General Election Republican Party Paul Gosar38.5%243,760Johnnie Robinson
U.S. House, Arizona District 5 General Election Republican Party Matt Salmon34.4%273,059Spencer Morgan
U.S. House, Arizona District 6 General Election Republican Party David Schweikert28%293,177Matt Jette
U.S. House, Arizona District 7 General Election Democratic Party Ed Pastor63.5%127,827Joe Cobb
U.S. House, Arizona District 8 General Election Republican Party Trent Franks28.3%272,791Gene Scharer
U.S. House, Arizona District 9 General Election Democratic Party Kyrsten Sinema4.1%250,141Vernon B. Parker

National picture

Both chambers of the United States Congress remain split after the November 6, 2012 election. Democrats increased their majority in the U.S. Senate while cutting into the Republicans majority in the U.S. House.

Of the 435 candidates who won election to the U.S. House, 85 of them were challengers, which represents 19.5 percent of U.S. House members. Of those 85, 50 are Democratic and 35 are Republican. A total of 27 incumbents were defeated -- 10 Democratic and 17 Republican.

2012 United States House General Election Results
Party Total Winners Incumbent Winners Defeated Incumbents Incumbent Re-Election Rate** Non-Incumbent Winners
Democratic 201 151 10 93.8% 50
Republican 234 198 17 92.1% 35
TOTALS 435 349 27 92.8% 85
**Note: The incumbent re-election rate is calculated by dividing the total incumbents winners by the total incumbents who appeared on the general election ballot.
U.S. Senate Partisan Breakdown
Party As of November 2012 After the 2012 Election
     Democratic Party 51 53
     Republican Party 47 45
     Independent 2 2
Total 100 100
U.S. House Partisan Breakdown
Party As of November 2012 After the 2012 Election
     Democratic Party 193 201
     Republican Party 242 234
Total 435 435

See also