Battleground Friday: Arizona's 9th Congressional District

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2012

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Arizona's 9th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
August 26, 2014

November 4 Election Winner:
Kyrsten Sinema Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Kyrsten Sinema Democratic Party
Kyrsten Sinema.jpeg

Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Lean D[1]

Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean D[2]


Arizona U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9

2014 U.S. Senate Elections

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By the Congress team

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In the next profile of our 2014 battleground districts, Ballotpedia is taking an in-depth look at Arizona's 9th Congressional District's 2014 election.

Current incumbent: Kyrsten Sinema (D) was first elected to the House in 2012 and is seeking re-election in 2014. After much speculation that Sinema would run for re-election in the much safer 7th District, Sinema announced that she would be staying put and seeking re-election in District 9.[3] Sinema is a member of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's Frontline Program. The program is designed to help protect vulnerable Democratic incumbents heading into the 2014 election.[4]

2012 MOV: Sinema won the seat in 2012 with a margin of victory of 4.1 percent over challenger Vernon Parker (R). The two candidates were separated by 10,251 votes.[5]

2014 candidates: Two Republican challengers will face off in the primary for a chance to defeat Sinema: 2012 candidate Wendy Rogers and businessman Andrew Walter.[6] Both Rogers and Walter were added to the NRCC's "On the Radar" list in November 2013. According to the NRCC, candidates that make this list receive "...the tools they need to run successful, winning campaigns against their Democratic opponents."[7]

What made it a Ballotpedia battleground district?: Our analysis points to the district being a battleground with a relatively even split of registered Democrats and Republicans according to Cook's PVI. Additionally, Sinema is a freshman incumbent with a margin of victory of less than 5% in 2012.

FEC: July Quarterly reports from the Federal Election Commission show incumbent Kyrsten Sinema with a massive fundraising advantage over either of her Republican challengers. She has raised a total of $2,399,452 and has $1,595,047 cash on hand.[8] Wendy Rogers comes in second with contributions totaling &715,841 and $387,346 cash on hand.[9] Andrew Walter trails the other candidates with a grand total of $483,945 in contributions and $220,081 on hand.[10]

The information above was compiled following the Arizona candidate filing deadline. Please find all further updates on the 9th District's election page.
Arizona's 9th Congressional District
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Population: 722,896
Gender: 50.3% Female, 49.7% Male
Race: 80.3% White, 5.9% Black, 4.4% Asian, 2% Native Am.
Ethnicity: 26.3% Hispanic
Unemployment: 9.6%
Median household income: $48,033
High school graduation rate: 88.4%
College graduation rate: 34.4%

See also

References