Battleground Friday: Colorado's 6th Congressional District
November 4, 2014
June 24, 2014
Cook Political Report: Toss Up
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Toss Up
By the Congress team
Coffman is a member of the National Republican Congressional Committee's Patriot Program. The program is designed to assist vulnerable Republican incumbents heading into the 2014 election. He is also one of three vulnerable Republican members of the House, who represent substantially Hispanic districts, to be targeted by TV ads from Democratic Super PAC House Majority PAC. The ads provide a preview to Democratic plans to turn immigration into a key issue and brand Republicans as unwilling to embrace immigration reform.
2012 MOV: Coffman won the seat in 2012 with a margin of victory of 2% over Joe Miklosi (D). The two candidates were separated by 6,992 votes.
2014 candidates: There is only one candidate challenging Coffman for the seat, Democrat Andrew Romanoff. Romanoff is a former member of the Colorado House of Representatives. He served eight years in the House, two as minority leader and four as Speaker of the House. He has the backing of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, and the House Majority PAC has already reserved $425,330 in airtime in the district for Fall 2014.
What made it a Ballotpedia battleground district?: Our analysis points to the district being a battleground with a fairly even split of registered Democratic and Republican voters. Cook's PVI shows the district as D+1, while Fairvote rates the district as 54.9% Republican. Additionally, the MOV in 2012 was only 2% and the district was won by President Barack Obama by 5.1% in 2012 and 8.7% in 2008.
FEC: April Quarterly reports from the Federal Election Commission show challenger Andrew Romanoff with a slight fundraising advantage over Coffman. Romanoff raised a total of $2,607,980 this cycle and is sitting on $2,098,619 cash on hand. Coffman ended the year with contributions totaling $2,608,311 and $1,844,742 cash on hand.
- The information above was compiled following the Colorado candidate filing deadline. Please find all further updates on the 6th District's election page.
|Colorado's 6th Congressional District|
- U.S. House battleground districts, 2014
- Colorado's 6th Congressional District
- Colorado's 6th Congressional District elections, 2014
- Mike Coffman
- Andrew Romanoff
- Cook Political Report, "2014 HOUSE RACE RATINGS FOR June 26, 2014," accessed July 28, 2014
- Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 House Races," accessed July 28, 2014
- Colorado Secretary of State, "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election," accessed November 15, 2012
- Roll Call, "House GOP Adds 9 Vulnerable Incumbents to Patriot Program," July 21, 2013
- Politico, "Ads target 3 House Republicans on immigration," July 18, 2013
- Roll Call, "House Majority PAC Announces Top 2014 GOP Incumbent Targets," accessed July 16, 2013
- The Hill, "Dem super PAC hitting nine House Republicans on shutdown," accessed October 4, 2013
- KWTV, "Democratic Group Airs Shutdown Ads Targeting GOP Lawmakers," accessed October 4, 2013
- The Denver Post, "Andrew Romanoff to run in Colorado's 6th Congressional District," February 3, 2013
- Washington Post, "Dem super PAC reserves $6.5 million in fall air time for key House races," accessed April 21, 2014
- News Max, "Democrat Super PAC Banks $6.5M for TV Ads in 24 Key House Races," accessed April 21, 2014
- Sacramento Bee, "The Buzz: Democratic super PAC reserves TV airtime in California," accessed April 21, 2014
- Federal Election Commission, "Andrew Romanoff April Quarterly," accessed April 30, 2014
- Federal Election Commission, "Mike Coffman April Quarterly," accessed April 20, 2014