Battleground Friday: Florida's 18th Congressional District

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2012

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Florida's 18th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
August 26, 2014

November 4 Election Winner:
Patrick Murphy Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Patrick Murphy Democratic Party
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Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Lean D[1]

Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean D[2]

Fairvote's Monopoly Politics: Toss Up[3]

Florida U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9District 10District 11District 12District 13District 14District 15District 16District 17District 18District 19District 20District 21District 22District 23District 24District 25District 26District 27

2014 U.S. Senate Elections

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By Jennifer Springer and the Congress team

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In the next profile of our 2014 battleground districts, Ballotpedia is taking an in-depth look at Florida's 18th Congressional District's 2014 election.

Current incumbent: Patrick Murphy (D) was first elected in 2012.[4]

Murphy defeated incumbent Allen West (R) in a race that was too close to call for more than one week after the general election on November 6, 2012.[5][6]

Murphy is a member of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's Frontline Program. The program is designed to help protect vulnerable Democratic incumbents heading into the 2014 election.[7] [8]

Unlike the incumbent he defeated, Murphy started off the 2012 race by "running to the center, playing up his bipartisan credentials."[9]

According to outside analysis, Murphy is one of the 10 most vulnerable incumbents in 2014.[10]

2012 MOV: Murphy ousted then-incumbent Allen West (R) in a race that was too close to call for more than one week after the general election on November 6, 2012.[5][11] Murphy won by just 1,904 votes, or a margin of victory of 0.6%, over West.

2014 candidates: Murphy is running unopposed in the Democratic primary. On the Republican ticket, six candidates are in the running for the nomination to challenge Murphy in the general election: Former Tequesta councilman Calvin Turnquest, former state Representative Carl Domino, 2006 Republican U.S. Senate candidate Alan Schlesinger, Beverly Joy Hires, Nick Robert Wukoson and Brian Lara.[12]

What made it a Ballotpedia battleground district?: Our analysis points to the district being a battleground with a vulnerable Democratic incumbent in a Republican leaning district. Cook's PVI shows the district as R+3 and Fairvote rates the district as 47.7% Democratic. Additionally, the MOV in 2012 was just 0.6%, the district went to Mitt Romney by 4.1% in 2012 and to Barack Obama by 3.1% in 2008.

FEC: Murphy raised more than $1.07 million in 2013, making him one of the top House fundraisers in 2013.[13] Based on the latest campaign finance report, Murphy had a significant lead, with more than two million cash on hand. Carl Domino came in second with slightly more than $387,000 and Brian Lara was third with approximately $103,234 cash on hand.[14][15][16]

The information above was compiled following the Florida candidate filing deadline. Please find all further updates on the 18th District's election page.
Florida's 18th Congressional District
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Population: 687,695
Gender: 48.7% Male, 51.3% Female
Race: 81.3% White, 11.6% Black, 1.9% Asian, 0.2% Native American
Ethnicity: 14.1% Hispanic
Unemployment: 12.4%
Median household income: $47,516
High school graduation rate: 88.9%
College graduation rate: 28.9%

See also

External links

References