Battleground Friday: New Jersey's 2nd Congressional District

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2012

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New Jersey's 2nd Congressional District

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
June 3, 2014

Incumbent prior to election:
Frank LoBiondo Republican Party
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Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid R[1]

FairVote's Monopoly Politics: Safe R[2]
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely R[3]


New Jersey U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9District 10District 11District 12

2014 U.S. Senate Elections

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By Kristen Smith and the Congress team

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In the next profile of our 2014 battleground districts, the Congress team is taking an in-depth look at New Jersey's 2nd Congressional District's 2014 election.

Current incumbent: Republican incumbent Frank LoBiondo was first elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in 1994. Prior to his congressional career, he served as a member of the New Jersey State Assembly and held a position on the Board of Chosen Freeholders in Cumberland County.[4]

2012 MOV: LoBiondo won re-election in 2012 with a margin of victory of 17.4% over Democratic challenger Cassandra Shober.[5]

2014 candidates: LoBiondo will run against Mike Assad in the Republican primary on June 3, 2014. If he wins the Republican nomination, he will go on to face the winner of the Democratic primary in the general election on November 4, 2014. Running in the Democratic primary are Bill Hughes, Jr. and Dave Cole.[6] Based on endorsements and campaign finances, LoBiondo and Hughes will most likely face off in the general election.

What made it a Ballotpedia battleground district?: The Cook Political Report and FairVote disagree in their predictions for this race. Cook's Partisan Voter Index (PVI) rates the district as D+1, or barely Democratic.[7] FairVote, on the other hand, rates the district as only 40.4% Democratic, leaning more toward the Republicans.[8] In 2012, the 2nd District voted for Republican incumbent Frank LoBiondo with a safe 17.4% margin of victory. On the other hand, the 2012 presidential race went Democratic, with Barack Obama winning the district by an 8.1% margin of victory.

FEC: As of the April Quarterly FEC reports, LoBiondo had a monetary advantage over all three challengers. Whereas LoBiondo had $1,276,930.37 cash on hand, Hughes had only $328,170.53.[9][10] Cole and Assad both had significantly less cash on hand, with only $11,109.45 and $394.70, respectively.[11][12]

The information above was compiled following the New Jersey candidate filing deadline. Please find all further updates on the 2nd District's election page.
New Jersey's 2nd Congressional District
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Population: 736,397
Gender: 49.1% Male, 50.9% Female
Race: 74.2% White, 13.8% Black, 3.6% Asian
Ethnicity: 15% Hispanic
Unemployment: 13.2%
Median household income: $55,032
High school graduation rate: 84.9%
College graduation rate: 23.6%

See also

References