Battleground Friday: New York's 1st Congressional District

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search
2012

CongressLogo.png

New York's 1st Congressional District

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
June 24, 2014

Incumbent prior to election:
Tim Bishop Democratic Party
Tim Bishop.jpg

Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Lean D[1]

FairVote's Monopoly Politics: Toss Up[2]
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean D[3]


New York U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9District 10District 11District 12District 13District 14District 15District 16District 17District 18District 19District 20District 21District 22District 23District 24District 25District 26District 27

2014 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of New York.png

By Kristen Smith and the Congress team

BattlegroundRace.jpg

In the next profile of our 2014 battleground districts, the Congress team is taking an in-depth look at New York's 1st Congressional District's 2014 election.

Current incumbent: Democratic incumbent Tim Bishop was first elected to the United States House of Representatives in 2002. Before his congressional career, he was the provost of Southampton College.[4]

2012 MOV: Bishop won re-election in 2012 with a margin of victory of 4.6% over Republican challenger Randy Altschuler.[5]

2014 candidates: Bishop is running unopposed for the Democratic, Working Families and Independence Party nominations in the primary election on June 24, 2014. Candidates George Demos and Lee Zeldin will compete in the Republican primary for a chance to take on Bishop in the general election. Zeldin is also running on the Conservative Party ticket. Jason Strom is running as a Libertarian.[6]

What made it a Ballotpedia battleground district?: FairVote and the Cook Political Report both rate New York's 1st Congressional District as highly competitive, but even these two sources predict different outcomes. FairVote predicts that the Democratic candidate will have a slight advantage in this election, rating the district as 51.3% Democratic.[7] In contrast, the Cook Political Reports Partisan Voter Index (PVI) rates New York's 1st as R+2, or a moderately Republican district.[8] Democratic incumbent Tim Bishop has been in office for ten years, but he won re-election in 2012 by a mere 4.6% margin of victory. The 2012 presidential elections leaned Democratic as well, but President Barack Obama won the district by only 0.5%.

FEC: In contrast to the majority of elections, the incumbent does not have the monetary advantage in New York's 1st District. As of the April Quarterly Federal Election Commission (FEC) report, Bishop was leading Zeldin $722,062.86 to $410,746.08 in terms of cash on hand.[9][10] Demos had a significant lead over the other candidates, with $1,271,946.98 cash on hand.[11] It is important to note, however, that Demos contributed $2 million in loans to his own campaign, whereas Zeldin has been receiving more campaign donations from individuals in the District.[12]

The information above was compiled following the New York candidate filing deadline. Please find all further updates on the 1st District's election page.
New York's 1st Congressional District
NY District 1 Map.PNG

Population: 720,071
Gender: 49.6% Male, 50.4% Female
Race: 87.7% White, 4.6% Black, 3.5% Asian
Ethnicity: 12.8% Hispanic
Unemployment: 6.6%
Median household income: $83,144
High school graduation rate: 92.3%
College graduation rate: 33.6%

See also

References