Battleground Friday: New York's 23rd Congressional District

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2012

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New York's 23rd Congressional District

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
June 24, 2014

November 4 Election Winner:
Tom Reed Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Tom Reed Republican Party
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Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Likely R[1]

FairVote's Monopoly Politics: Lean R[2]
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean R[3]


New York U.S. House Elections
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2014 U.S. Senate Elections

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By Kristen Smith and the Congress team

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In the next profile of our 2014 battleground districts, the Congress team is taking an in-depth look at New York's 23rd Congressional District's 2014 election.

Current incumbent: Republican incumbent Tom Reed was first elected to the United States House of Representatives in 2010. Prior to his congressional career, Reed was a lawyer and the mayor of Corning, New York.[4]

2012 MOV: Reed won re-election in the 2012 election with a margin of victory of 3.6 percent over Democratic candidate Nate Shinagawa.[5]

2014 candidates: Incumbent Tom Reed is running for re-election on the Republican, Conservative and Independence Party tickets. Martha Robertson will challenge Reed in the November general election on the Democratic and Working Families Party tickets. Both Reed and Robertson ran uncontested in their respective primary elections.[6]

What made it a Ballotpedia battleground district?: The Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index (PVI) rates the district as R+3, or moderately Republican.[7] FairVote concurs, giving the district a rating of 45.6% Democratic.[8] Previous elections likewise reveal a Republican lean to the district, with President Barack Obama (D) losing the district by 1.2% in 2012 and incumbent Tom Reed (R) winning the district in the same year by a 3.6% margin of victory.

Although New York's 23rd is consistently rated Republican, Reed is viewed as a vulnerable incumbent. Some Republicans worry that Reed is not putting enough effort into his re-election campaign, especially since he won by such a small margin in 2012. While Reed has received more money in campaign contributions than his Democratic challenger, Martha Robertson has raised significantly more money than most candidates in their first run for a national seat. Furthermore, Reed has received the majority of his money from outside organizations and political action committees, whereas Robertson's contributions have come almost entirely from voters.[9]

FEC: According to data from the Federal Election Commission (FEC), Reed had raised and spent more money than Robertson as of the April Quarterly FEC reports. Reed had raised $1,868,938.3 in total campaign contributions to Robertson's $1,057,317.26, and Reed had out-spent Robertson $919,440 to $243,806.48.

The information above was compiled following the New York candidate filing deadline. Please find all further updates on the 23rd District's election page.
New York's 23rd Congressional District
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Population: 717,909
Gender: 49.8% Male, 50.2% Female
Race: 91.6% White, 2.9% Black, 2.2% Asian
Ethnicity: 3.3% Hispanic
Unemployment: 7.8%
Median household income: $44,518
High school graduation rate: 88.5%
College graduation rate: 23.3%

See also

References