California's 7th Congressional District elections, 2014

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2012

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California's 7th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
June 3, 2014

Incumbent prior to election:
Ami Bera Democratic Party
Ami Bera.jpg

Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Toss Up[1]

Sabato's Crystal Ball: Lean D[2]


California U.S. House Elections
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2014 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of California.png
BattlegroundRace.jpg
The 7th Congressional District of California will hold an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014.

California's 7th Congressional District is a battleground in 2014.[3] Cook's PVI shows the district as even, while Fairvote shows the district slightly favoring the Democratic Party.[4][5] The incumbent won election in 2012 by only 3.4 percent, and the district was won by President Barack Obama by 5 percent or less in both 2008 and 2012. Additionally, incumbent Ami Bera is a freshman representative.

While Bera was almost certain to advance past the blanket primary on June 5, his general election opponent could mean the difference between whether he is re-elected or ousted in November. Doug Ose, the Republican frontrunner in the race, defeated the other Republican candidates in the primary.[6] Bera would likely have preferred to face Igor Birman in the general election, who was seen as being more conservative than Ose, who has a reputation of being more moderate. This is due to the fact that the district is evenly split between Democrats and Republicans, meaning that the Independent and third-party vote could be a very real factor in determining the winner. Instead, he will face Doug Ose in what is likely to be a very close race.

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
March 7, 2014
June 3, 2014
November 4, 2014

Primary: California is one of three states to use a blanket primary, or top-two system, which allows all candidates to run and all voters to vote but only moves the top two vote-getters, regardless of party affiliation, to the general election.[7][8][9]

Voter registration: To vote in the primary, voters had to register by May 19, 2014. For the general election, the voter registration deadline is October 20, 2014 (the 15th calendar day before that election).[10]

See also: California elections, 2014

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent is Ami Bera (D), who was first elected in 2012.

California's 7th Congressional District is located in the central portion of the state and includes much of Sacramento County.[11]

Candidates

General election candidates

Democratic Party Ami Bera
Republican Party Doug Ose


June 3, 2014, primary results

Democratic Party Ami Bera - Incumbent Approveda
Republican Party Igor Birman
Republican Party Elizabeth Emken - 2012 Republican candidate for U.S. Senate[12]
Republican Party Doug Ose Approveda
Libertarian Party Douglas Arthur Tuma
Independent Phill Tufi

Primary results

U.S. House, California District 7 Primary, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngAmi Bera Incumbent 46.7% 51,878
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDoug Ose 26.4% 29,307
     Republican Igor Birman 17.5% 19,431
     Republican Elizabeth Emken 7.1% 7,924
     Libertarian Art Tuma 1.5% 1,629
     Independent Phill Tufi 0.8% 869
Total Votes 111,038
Source: California Secretary of State

Race background

Incumbent Ami Bera (D) is a vulnerable incumbent in 2014. He is a member of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's Frontline Program, which is designed to help protect vulnerable Democratic incumbents heading into the 2014 election.[3] Bera was almost certainly advance past the primary in June, but his chances of winning the general election are much worse.

Doug Ose, the Republican frontrunner in the race, defeated the other Republican candidates in the primary to secure the second position on November's ballot. Ose lead the other Republican candidates in both polling and fundraising prior to the primary.[6]

Polls

California's 7th Congressional District primary election
Poll Ami Bera Doug OseIgor BirmanElizabeth EmkenUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
DCCC internal poll (May 1-2, 2014)
47%22%17%7%7%+/-4.1567
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Media

Igor Birman


Igor Birman - "The Real Conservative"

Ad attacking Doug Ose for being too liberal

Doug Ose


Doug Ose - Fiscal Conservative

Ad promising to fight Obamacare

Key votes

Below are important votes the current incumbent cast during the 113th Congress.

Government shutdown

See also: United States budget debate, 2013

Nay3.png On September 30, 2013, the House passed a final stopgap spending bill before the shutdown went into effect. The bill included a one-year delay of the Affordable Care Act's individual mandate and would have also stripped the bill of federal subsidies for congressional members and staff. It passed through the House with a vote of 228-201.[13] At 1 a.m. on October 1, 2013, one hour after the shutdown officially began, the House voted to move forward with going to a conference. In short order, Sen. Harry Reid rejected the call to conference.[14] Ami Bera voted against the stopgap spending bill that would have delayed the individual mandate.[15]

Yea3.png The shutdown ended on October 16, 2013, when the House took a vote on HR 2775 after it was approved by the Senate. The bill to reopen the government lifted the $16.7 trillion debt limit and funded the government through January 15, 2014. Federal employees also received retroactive pay for the shutdown period. The only concession made by Senate Democrats was to require income verification for Obamacare subsidies.[16] The House passed the legislation shortly after the Senate, by a vote of 285-144, with all 144 votes against the legislation coming from Republican members. Ami Bera voted for HR 2775.[17]

Campaign contributions

Ami Bera

Ami Bera (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[18]April 15, 2013$107,506.27$303,492.73$(80,953.03)$330,045.97
July Quarterly[19]July 15, 2013$330,045.97$272,095.66$(97,097.63)$505,044.00
October Quarterly[20]October 15, 2013$505,044.00$462,073.51$(68,369.39)$898,748.12
Year-End[21]January 31, 2014$898,748$340,671$(87,782)$1,151,637
April Quarterly[22]April 15, 2014$1,151,637$491,299$(173,962)$1,468,974
Pre-Primary[23]May 22, 2014$1,468,974$281,601$(152,654)$1,597,921
July Quarterly[24]July 15, 2014$1,597,921$439,933$(71,635)$1,966,219
Running totals
$2,591,165.9$(732,453.05)

Igor Birman

Igor Birman (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
October Quarterly[25]October 15, 2013$0.00$162,613.23$(23,892.80)$138,720.43
Year-End[26]January 31, 2014$138,720$84,959$(99,406)$124,273
April Quarterly[27]April 15, 2014$124,273$110,892$(164,811)$70,354
Pre-Primary[28]May 22, 2014$70,354$143,940$(168,648)$45,645
Running totals
$502,404.23$(456,757.8)

Elizabeth Emken

Elizabeth Emken (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
July Quarterly[29]July 11, 2013$0.00$301,819.99$(13,644.42)$288,175.57
October Quarterly[30]October 15, 2013$288,175.57$100,573.85$(51,854.69)$336,894.73
Year-End[31]January 31, 2014$336,894$48,605$(79,372)$305,826
April Quarterly[32]April 15, 2014$305,826$110,679$(196,209)$220,351
Pre-Primary[33]May 22, 2014$220,351$50,471$(64,757)$206,065
Running totals
$612,148.84$(405,837.11)

**As of the 2014 Pre-Primary Report, Emken's committee owed $285,000 in outstanding loans to Elizabeth Emken.

Doug Ose

Doug Ose (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[34]April 15, 2013$25,667.22$0.00$(0.00)$25,667.22
July Quarterly[35]July 15, 2013$25,667.22$9,200.00$(2,210.77)$32,656.45
October Quarterly[36]October 15, 2013$32,656.45$489,267.15$(265,680.94)$256,242.66
Year-End[37]January 31, 2014$256,242$129,984$(109,060)$277,166
April Quarterly[38]April 16, 2014$277,166$481,476$(341,002)$417,640
Pre-Primary[39]May 22, 2014$417,640$120,853$(324,160)$214,334
July Quarterly[40]July 15, 2014$214,334$332,781$(343,273)$203,841
Running totals
$1,563,561.15$(1,385,386.71)

**As of the 2014 July Quarterly Report, Ose's committee owed $350,000 in outstanding loans to Doug Ose.

Douglas Arthur Tuma

Douglas Arthur Tuma (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[41]September 12, 2013$14$500$(27)$487
July Quarterly[42]September 12, 2013$487$0$(27)$460
October Quarterly[43]October 16, 2013$460$0$(18)$442
Year-End[44]February 3, 2014$442$0$(0)$442
April Quarterly[45]April 22, 2014$442$0$(9)$433
Pre-Primary[46]June 1, 2014$433$0$(18)$415
Running totals
$500$(99)

District history

Candidate ballot accecss
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2012

On November 6, 2012, Ami Bera (D) won election to the United States House. He defeated Dan Lungren in the general election.

U.S. House, California District 7 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngAmi Bera 51.7% 141,241
     Republican Dan Lungren Incumbent 48.3% 132,050
Total Votes 273,291
Source: California Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

2010

On November 2, 2010, George Miller won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Rick Tubbs (R) in the general election.[47]

U.S. House, California District 7 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngGeorge Miller incumbent 68.3% 122,435
     Republican Rick Tubbs 31.7% 56,764
Total Votes 179,199

See also

External links

References

  1. Cook Political Report, "2014 HOUSE RACE RATINGS FOR June 26, 2014," accessed July 28, 2014
  2. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 House Races," accessed July 28, 2014
  3. 3.0 3.1 Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, "DCCC Chairman Steve Israel Announces 2013-2014 Frontline Members," accessed March 5, 2013
  4. FairVote, "FairVote Releases Projections for the 2014 Congressional Elections," accessed November 5, 2013
  5. Cook Political Report, "2014 HOUSE RACE RATINGS," accessed April 4, 2014
  6. 6.0 6.1 Scribd, "CA-07 DCCC IVR (May 2014)," accessed May 7, 2014
  7. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  8. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  9. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013 through January 3, 2014 researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  10. California Secretary of State Website, "Voter Registration," accessed January 3, 2014
  11. California Redistricting Map "Map" accessed September 25, 2012
  12. The Sacramento Bee, "Elizabeth Emken eyes challenging Ami Bera in Sacramento seat," February 23, 2013
  13. Clerk of the U.S. House, "Final vote results for Roll Call 504," accessed October 31, 2013
  14. Buzzfeed, "Government Shutdown: How We Got Here," accessed October 1, 2013
  15. Clerk of the U.S. House, "Final vote results for Roll Call 504," accessed October 31, 2013
  16. The Washington Post, "Reid, McConnell propose bipartisan Senate bill to end shutdown, extend borrowing," accessed October 16, 2013
  17. U.S. House, "Final vote results for Roll Call 550," accessed October 31, 2013
  18. Federal Election Commission, "Ami Bera April Quarterly," accessed July 23, 2013
  19. Federal Election Commission, "Ami Bera July Quarterly," accessed July 23, 2013
  20. Federal Election Commission, "Ami Bera October Quarterly," accessed October 21, 2013
  21. Federal Election Commission, "Ami Bera Year-End," accessed February 4, 2014
  22. Federal Election Commission, "Ami Bera April Quarterly," accessed April 21, 2014
  23. Federal Election Commission, "Ami Bera Pre-Primary," accessed June 2, 2014
  24. Federal Election Commission, "Ami Bera July Quarterly," accessed July 23, 2014
  25. Federal Election Commission, "Igor Birman October Quarterly," accessed October 29, 2013
  26. Federal Election Commission, "Igor Birman Year-End," accessed February 10, 2014
  27. Federal Election Commission, "Igor Birman April Quarterly," accessed May 5, 2014
  28. Federal Election Commission, "Igor Birman Pre-Primary," accessed June 2, 2014
  29. Federal Election Commission, "Elizabeth Emken July Quarterly," accessed July 28, 2013
  30. Federal Election Commission, "Doug Ose October Quarterly," accessed October 29, 2013
  31. Federal Election Commission, "Elizabeth Emken Year-End," accessed February 10, 2014
  32. Federal Election Commission, "Elizabeth Emken April Quarterly," accessed May 5, 2014
  33. Federal Election Commission, "Elizabeth Emken Pre-Primary," accessed June 2, 2014
  34. Federal Election Commission, "Doug Ose April Quarterly," accessed October 29, 2013
  35. Federal Election Commission, "Doug Ose July Quarterly," accessed October 29, 2013
  36. Federal Election Commission, "Doug Ose October Quarterly," accessed October 29, 2013
  37. Federal Election Commission, "Doug Ose Year-End," accessed February 10, 2014
  38. Federal Election Commission, "Doug Ose April Quarterly," accessed May 5, 2014
  39. Federal Election Commission, "Doug Ose Pre-Primary," accessed June 2, 2014
  40. Federal Election Commission, "Doug Ose July Quarterly," accessed July 28, 2014
  41. Federal Election Commission, "Douglas Arthur Tuma April Quarterly," accessed May 5, 2014
  42. Federal Election Commission, "Douglas Arthur Tuma July Quarterly," accessed May 5, 2014
  43. Federal Election Commission, "Douglas Arthur Tuma October Quarterly," accessed May 5, 2014
  44. Federal Election Commission, "Douglas Arthur Tuma Year-End," accessed May 5, 2014
  45. Federal Election Commission, "Douglas Arthur Tuma April Quarterly," accessed May 5, 2014
  46. Federal Election Commission, "Douglas Arthur Tuma Pre-Primary," accessed June 2, 2014
  47. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013