California Gubernatorial election, 2014

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California Gubernatorial Election

Primary Date
June 3, 2014

General Election Date:
November 4, 2014

Incumbent prior to election:
Jerry Brown Democratic Party
Jerry Brown 1.jpg

California State Executive Elections
Top Ballot
Governor Lieutenant GovernorSecretary of StateAttorney General
Down Ballot
Treasurer, Controller, Superintendent, Insurance Commissioner

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The California gubernatorial election will take place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Jerry Brown (D) is running for re-election as Governor of California in 2014.[1] The winner of the election will serve a 4-year term in office.

California is one of three states to use a blanket primary, or top-two system, which allows all candidates to run and all voters to vote but only moves the top two vote-getters, regardless of party affiliation, to the general election.[2][3][4]

Candidates

General Election Candidates

Lost in the Primary

Top-two primary system

Since California implemented the top-two primary system, minor party and no party preference candidates have had a harder time making it onto the ballot. In 2012, minor parties put 21 candidates on the ballot in California. For the 10 years prior to that election, they averaged a combined 133 candidates on the ballot.[18] Additionally, in the 111 elections for federal or state office in which a minor party did place a candidate on the primary ballot against at least two major party candidates in a top-two primary system, no minor party candidate has placed first or second in order to move on to the general election.[19][20]

Primary Election Results

Governor of California, Blanket Primary, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Akinyemi Agbede 0.9% 37,024
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJerry Brown Incumbent 54.3% 2,354,769
     Republican Richard Aguirre 0.8% 35,125
     Republican Andrew Blount 2.1% 89,749
     Republican Glenn Champ 1.8% 76,066
     Republican Tim Donnelly 14.8% 643,236
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngNeel Kashkari 19.4% 839,767
     Republican Alma Marie Winston 1.1% 46,042
     Green Luis Rodriguez 1.5% 66,872
     Peace and Freedom Cindy L. Sheehan 1.2% 52,707
     Nonpartisan "Bo" Bogdan Ambrozewicz 0.3% 14,929
     Nonpartisan Janel Hyeshia Buycks 0.3% 12,136
     Nonpartisan Rakesh Kumar Christian 0.3% 11,142
     Nonpartisan Joe Leicht 0.2% 9,307
     Nonpartisan Robert Newman 1% 44,120
Total Votes 4,332,991
Election Results California Secretary of State.

Race background

Democratic incumbent Gov. Jerry Brown is seeking election to a fourth non-consecutive term in the office. Brown is the longest-serving governor in California history as of October 2013.[21]

Including Brown, fifteen candidates filed for the June 3 top-two California Gubernatorial primary election. Among the small fraction of these candidates whose qualifications indicated they could match wits with someone as experienced as Brown, one, Laguna Hills Mayor Andrew Blount (R), withdrew from the race one month before the primary, citing health issues. Bount's exit left a total of fourteen hopefuls, none with any actual hope of unseating Brown in the general election. California Assemblyman Tim Donnelly (R) and former Treasury official official Neel Kashkari (R) both proved to be formidable campaigners, however the odds of an upset by Kashkari, who scored the second nomination in the primary after Brown, are extremely unlikely.[22]

Throughout the primary campaign season, polls underscored projections of Brown's strong standing to win a record-breaking fourth term as California's chief executive in 2014. A Field Poll released in early April put Brown 40 percentage points ahead of what appeared to be his biggest competitor, Tim Donnelly. Brown drew 57% to Donnelly's 17%, with ex-candidate Blount at 3% and Kashkari at 2%. The final poll before the primary conducted for USC and the Los Angeles Times foreshadowed Donnelly's demise, pushing Kashkari into second place overall at 18%, with Donnelly at 13% and Brown holding tight at 50%.[23] Around this time, the Cook Political Report released a new round of 2014 Governors Race Ratings California and rated California as "Solid Democratic."[24]


Polls

Governor of California
Poll Jerry Brown* (D) Tim Donnelly (R)Neel Kashkari (R) (Not included in Poll 1 or 3)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Institute of California
November 12-19, 2013
46%16%0%29%+/-4.51,081
The Field Poll
November 15-December 3, 2014
52%9%3%25%+/-3.5836
Public Policy Institute of California
January 14-21, 2014
53%17%0%28%+/-3.81,151
Public Policy Institute of California
March 11-18, 2014
47%10%2%36%+/-4.7936
The Field Poll
March 18-April 5, 2014
57%17%2%20%+/-4.5504
Public Policy Institute of California
April 8-15, 2014
46%9%2%38%+/-5.1944
Public Policy Institute of California
May 8-16, 2014
48%15%10%27%+/-3.61,702
Survey USA/KABC/KFSN/KGTV/KPIX
May 16-19, 2014
57%18%11%10%+/-4.0610
USC/LA Times Poll
May 21-28, 2014
50%13%18%10%+/-4.4671
AVERAGES 50.67% 13.78% 5.33% 24.78% +/-4.23 937.22
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

See also

External links

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References

  1. California Secretary of State, "Campaign Finance:Statement of Intention," accessed November 27, 2012
  2. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  3. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  4. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013 through January 3, 2014 researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  5. California Secretary of State, "Campaign Finance:Statement of Intention," accessed November 27, 2012
  6. Neel Kashkari for Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed February 2, 2014
  7. 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 7.5 VOLUNTARY CAMPAIGN SPENDING LIMITS FOR CANDIDATES FOR STATEWIDE ELECTIVE OFFICE," March 10, 2014
  8. Richard Aguirre for Governor 2014 Official Campaign Website, "Homepage," accessed September 11, 2013
  9. Glenn Champ for Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed March 26, 2014
  10. Tim Donnelly for Governor, accessed July 8, 2013
  11. Green Party Watch, "Luis Rodriguez announces Green campaign for Governor of California," accessed August 14, 2013
  12. Robert Newman for Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed January 20, 2014
  13. "Bo" Bogdan Ambrozewicz for Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed March 26, 2014
  14. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named Aug15candidates
  15. American Public Party Official Website, "A New Foundation for Development and Progress," accessed September 11, 2013
  16. Joe Leicht for Governor of California 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed March 26, 2014
  17. Cindy Sheehan for Governor 2014 Official Campaign Website, "Homepage," accessed September 11, 2013
  18. Calnewsroom.com, "In statewide debut, top-two primary blocks third parties from June ballot," February 14, 2014
  19. Ballot Access News, "California Special Election Returns, State Senate District 23," March 26, 2014
  20. Ballot Access News, "Top-Two System Again Excludes All Minor Parties from General Election Campaign if At Least Two Major Party Members Ran," June 4, 2014
  21. The Sacramento Bee, "Gov. Jerry Brown to become the longest serving governor in California history," October 5, 2013
  22. The Orange County Register, "Laguna Hills mayor drops out of governor's race," April 29, 2014
  23. Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research, "New University of Southern California Dornsife College of Letters, Arts and Sciences/Los Angeles Times Poll," May 21-28, 2014
  24. Cook Political Report, "2014 Governors Race Ratings," May 16, 2014