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Colorado's 6th Congressional District elections, 2012

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Colorado's 6th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
June 26, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Mike Coffman Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Mike Coffman Republican Party
Mike Coffman.jpg

Colorado U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Colorado.png
The 6th Congressional District of Colorado held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Incumbent Mike Coffman won the election.[1]
Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
April 2, 2012
June 26, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Colorado has a closed primary system, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by March 5. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 9.[2]

See also: Colorado elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Mike Coffman (R), who was first elected in 2008.

This was the first election using new district maps based on 2010 Census data. The 6th District is one of five located in central Colorado.[3]

Candidates

General election candidates

Democratic Party Joe Miklosi
Republican Party Mike CoffmanGreen check mark transparent.png
Libertarian Party Patrick Provost
Independent Kathy Polhemus


June 26, 2012 primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

Libertarian Party Libertarian Primary

Independent Third Party Primary

Election results

General Election

U.S. House, Colorado District 6 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Joe Miklosi 45.8% 156,930
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngMike Coffman Incumbent 47.8% 163,922
     Libertarian Patrick Provost 2.5% 8,597
     Independent Kathy Polhemus 3.9% 13,442
Total Votes 342,891
Source: Colorado Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Race background

Colorado's 6th was considered to be Leaning Republican according to the New York Times race ratings. Incumbent Mike Coffman's district was redrawn to include nearly equivalent amounts of Republicans, Democrats and Independents. His opponent, Democrat Joe Miklosi, struggled to raise money for his campaign.[7]

Colorado's 6th District was included in the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's "Red to Blue List," which identified districts that the organization specifically targeted to flip from Republican to Democratic control.[8]

Incumbent Mike Coffman was a part of the National Republican Congressional Committee's Patriot Program, a program to help House Republicans stay on offense and increase their majority in 2012.[9]

Using the Federal Election Commission's October Quarterly campaign finance filings, the Brennan Center for Justice at The New York University School of Law published a report on October 22nd focusing on the 25 House races rated most competitive by The Cook Political Report, including the race for Colorado's 6th. The report examines the relative spending presence of non-candidate groups, candidates, and small donors in these races - "which will likely determine which party will control the House."[10]

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Colorado

According to the Washington Post, redistricting has transformed the 6th District from a safe Republican seat into a swing district. While the 6th formerly went safely for Mike Coffman, the newly drawn district was a battleground for Republicans and Democrats fighting for control of the House.[12]

The 6th District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[13][14]

Registration statistics

As of October 22, 2012, District 6 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the Colorado Secretary of State:

Colorado Congressional District 6[15]
Congressional District District Total Democrats Republicans Other & Unaffiliated Advantage Party Advantage Change in Advantage from 2010
District 6 305,951 98,816 118,389 90,746 Republican 22.28% -44.10%
"Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only.

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Colorado's 6th District became more Democratic because of redistricting.[16]

  • 2012: 51D / 49R
  • 2010: 43D / 57R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Colorado's 6th Congressional District has a PVI of R+1, which is the 225th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by Barack Obama (D), 54-46 percent over John McCain (R). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 54-46 percent over John Kerry (D).[17]

Campaign contributions

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2012 elections season. Below are candidate reports.

Joe Miklosi

Joe Miklosi (2012) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[18]April 13, 2012$170,786.68$232,474.07$(70,446.95)$332,813.80
Pre-Primary[19]June 14, 2012$332,413.80$175,998.97$(114,230.34)$394,182.43
Running totals
$408,473.04$(184,677.29)

Mike Coffman

Mike Coffman (2012) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[20]April 13, 2012$961,374.28$532,928.76$(125,181.77)$1,369,121.27
Pre-Primary[21]June 14, 2012$1,369,121.27$324,968.47$(107,916.88)$1,586,172.86
Running totals
$857,897.23$(233,098.65)

District history

Candidate ballot accecss
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2010

This is the 6th Congressional District prior to the 2010 redistricting.

On November 2, 2010, Mike Coffman won re-election to the United States House. He defeated John Flerlage and Rob McNealy in the general election.[22]

U.S. House, Colorado District 6 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngMike Coffman Incumbent 65.7% 217,368
     Democratic John Flerlage 31.5% 104,104
     Libertarian Rob McNealy 2.9% 9,466
Total Votes 330,938

See also

External links

References

  1. Politico, "2012 House Race Results," accessed November 6, 2012
  2. Colorado Secretary of State, "Go Vote Colorado," accessed July 21, 2012
  3. Colorado November 2011 Redistricting Map, "Map" accessed July 23, 2012
  4. "Video: Not your average Joe launches congressional campaign," denverpost.com, July 29, 2011
  5. Colorado Secretary of State "2012 Candidate List"
  6. [Colorado Secretary of State "2012 Candidate List"
  7. New York Times, "House Race Ratings," accessed August 7, 2012
  8. DCCC, "Red to Blue 2012"
  9. NRCC "Patriot Program 2012"
  10. Brennan Center for Justice, "Election Spending 2012: 25 Toss-Up House Races," October 22, 2012
  11. The Cook Political Report, "House: Race Ratings," updated October 18, 2012
  12. Washington Post blog, "The 10 House districts that might surprise you," May 11, 2012
  13. Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer, "Colorado's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"
  14. Labels & Lists, "VoterMapping software voter counts"
  15. Colorado Secretary of State, "2012 Voter Registration Statistics," February 1, 2012
  16. "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in Colorado," September 2012
  17. Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" accessed October 2012
  18. Federal Election Commission, "Joe Miklosi April Quarterly," accessed July 9, 2012
  19. Federal Election Commission, "Joe Miklosi Pre-Primary," accessed July 9, 2012
  20. Federal Election Commission, "Mike Coffman April Quarterly," accessed July 9, 2012
  21. Federal Election Commission, "Mike Coffman Pre-Primary," accessed July 9, 2012
  22. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013