Cook Political Report

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The Cook Political Report was founded in 1984. This source bills itself as "an independent, nonpartisan newsletter that analyzes elections and campaigns for the US House of Representatives, US Senate, Governors and President as well as American political trends."

The Cook Political Report provides a subscription-only service for "lobbyists, trade associations, corporations, labor unions, Members of Congress, political action committees and interest groups across the political spectrum" as well as a considerable amount of free information on its website for non-subscribers.

Overall trends

2014

In Cook's October 17 gubernatorial race ratings, six Democratic and 13 Republican seats were considered likely or safe seats for those parties. The Alaska, Arkansas and Arizona gubernatorial races were rated as "lean R," meaning that the races were close but underlying factors provide the advantage to Republican candidates. Cook Political Report rated Maryland, New Hampshire and Rhode Island as "lean D."[1]

There were 11 states rated as "toss-ups" in the October 17 report. Five states with Democratic governors - Colorado, Connecticut, Hawaii, Illinois and Massachusetts- were listed as "toss-ups," meaning either party has a good chance at winning the seat. Cook rated six states with Republican governors in this category, including Florida, Georgia, Kansas, Maine, Michigan and Wisconsin.[1]

2010

Cook ranked half a dozen more races as 'toss-ups' than did CQ Politics. Eight seats held by Democrats and 10 seats held by Republicans were viewed as 'toss-ups' - competitive races that could go either way. Notable when looking at Cook's ratings was the block of southwestern states - California, Nevada, New Mexico, Colorado, Arizona and Texas - viewed as elections that could go either way. Of these, only Colorado and Nevada were toss-ups in the CQ Politics assessment.

Whereas CQ Politics ranked Hawaii, Connecticut and California as likely pick-ups for the Democrats, the Cook Report demurred on California, a hotly contested and closely scrutinized race.

Both services saw three solid Republican bets in the upcoming elections, though only one state, Nebraska, made both services' charts. Cook also had Idaho and Alaska marked as solid Republican seats, while CQ Politics called both as only 'likely' GOP wins and instead listed Wyoming and Utah as the Republican's safest races.

Of the 37 governorships up for election in November, 19 were held by Democrats and 18 by Republicans. As of late June 2010, Cook predicted Republican pick-ups in Michigan, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Kansas and Wyoming. They predicted a Democratic pick-up in Hawaii.

Race predictions

2014

Cook Political Report - 2014 Governors[1]
Party Seats Held Seats in Play Potential partisan flips
Democratic 21 14 6
Republican 29 22 7

2010

Cook Calls It - 2010 Governors
Party Seats Held Seats in Play Predicted Balance of Power
Democratic 27 19 23
GOP 23 18 27

Rankings by month

2014

Month Solid D Likely D Lean D Tossup Lean R Likely R Solid R
October 17, 2014[1] 3 3 3 11 3 4 9

2010

Month Solid D Likely D Lean D Tossup Lean R Likely R Solid R
August 10, 2010 3 0 4 18 4 5 3
July 17, 2010[2] 3 0 4 18 4 5 3
June 17, 2010[3] 3 0 4 18 4 5 3
June 10, 2010[4] 3 1 4 17 4 5 3
May 27, 2010[5] 3 1 4 17 4 5 3
April 15, 2010[6] 3 2 3 17 4 5 3
March 31, 2010[7] 3 2 2 18 4 5 3
March 25, 2010[8] 4 2 1 18 4 5 3
March 4, 2010[9] 4 3 1 18 4 4 3
February 4, 2010[10] 4 3 1 17 5 4 3
January 14, 2010[11] 4 3 4 14 5 4 3
Month Solid D Likely D Lean D Tossup Lean R Likely R Solid R
December 7, 2009[12] 4 3 4 14 5 4 3
November 12, 2009[13] 4 3 4 14 5 4 3
November 4, 2009[14] 4 3 4 13 4 6 3
October 29, 2009[15] 4 4 4 13 3 4 5
October 8, 2009[16] 4 4 4 11 3 4 5
September 3, 2009[17] 4 4 5 12 3 4 5
August 20, 2009[18] 4 4 5 11 3 5 5
August 6, 2009[19] 4 4 6 10 3 5 5
July 30, 2009[20] 5 4 5 10 3 5 5
July 15, 2009[21] 5 4 5 10 3 5 5
June 4, 2009[22] 5 4 5 10 3 6 4
June 2, 2009[23] 5 4 5 9 4 6 4
May 20, 2009[24] 5 4 5 6 5 6 4
May 12, 2009[25] 5 4 5 8 5 6 4
April 30, 2009[26] 5 4 5 7 6 5 4
March 26, 2009[27] 5 4 6 6 6 5 4
March 26, 2009[28] 5 4 6 6 6 5 4
January 30, 2009[29] 5 4 6 7 5 5 4
January 22, 2009[30] 5 4 6 7 5 5 4
Month Solid D Likely D Lean D Tossup Lean R Likely R Solid R
November 13, 2008[31] 5 4 6 7 5 5 4
  • The number of races on the 2010 ballot rose by one to 37 in late May 2010, when Utah Governor John Huntsman resigned to accept a diplomatic post under the Obama administration, causing a special election to be called in his state.

Recent news

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See also

External links

References

  1. 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 Cook Political Report, "Race Ratings," October 17, 2014
  2. , "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," July 17, 2010
  3. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," June 17, 2010
  4. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," June 10, 2010
  5. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," May 27, 2010
  6. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," April 15, 2010
  7. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," March 31, 2010
  8. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," March 25, 2010
  9. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," March 4, 2010
  10. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," February 4, 2010
  11. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," January 14, 2010
  12. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," December 7, 2009
  13. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," November 12, 2009
  14. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," November 4, 2009
  15. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," October 29, 2009
  16. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," October 8, 2009
  17. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," September 3, 2009
  18. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," August 20, 2009
  19. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," August 6, 2009
  20. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," July 30, 2009
  21. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," July 15, 2009
  22. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," June 4, 2009
  23. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," June 2, 2009
  24. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," May 20, 2009
  25. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," May 12, 2009
  26. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," April 30, 2009
  27. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," March 26, 2009
  28. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," March 26, 2009
  29. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," January 30, 2009
  30. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," January 22, 2009
  31. Cook Political Report, "2010 Governor's Race Ratings," November 13, 2008