Florida's 10th Congressional District elections, 2012

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Florida's 10th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
August 14, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Daniel Webster Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
C. W. Bill Young Republican Party
CW Bill Young.jpg

Florida U.S. House Elections
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2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Florida.png
The 10th Congressional District of Florida held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
This is the 10th Congressional District prior to the 2010 redistricting.

Daniel Webster was re-elected on November 6, 2012.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
June 8, 2012
August 14, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Florida is one of 21 states to use a strictly closed primary system.

Voter registration: Voters were required to register to vote in the primary by July 16, 2012, which was 29 days before the primary took place.[2] (Information about registering to vote)

See also: Florida elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was C. W. Bill Young (R), who was first elected in 1970. Young ran in the new 13th District.[3]

This was the first election which used new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Florida's 10th Congressional District is located in central Florida and includes portions of Lake, Orange, and Polk counties.[4]

Candidates

General election candidates

Democratic Party Val Demings
Republican Party Daniel WebsterGreen check mark transparent.png
Independent Naipaul Seegolam


August 14, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

Independent No Party Affiliation Party

Election results

U.S. House, Florida District 10 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngDaniel Webster Incumbent 51.7% 164,649
     Democratic Val Demings 48.3% 153,574
     Independent Naipaul Seegolam 0% 46
Total Votes 318,269
Source: Florida Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Race background

Florida's 10th District was included in the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's "Red to Blue List," which identified districts that the organization specifically targeted to flip from Republican to Democratic control.[7]

Blue vs. Red

Possible race ratings are:

     Solid Democratic
     Likely Democratic
     Lean Democratic

     Tossup

     Lean Republican
     Likely Republican
     Solid Republican

     Florida's 10th District is a likely Republican district.

In June 2012, Sabato's Crystal Ball rated Florida's 10th as a likely Republican district.[8]

Florida's 10th was considered to be Leaning Republican according to the New York Times race ratings.[9]

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Florida

In redistricting, the 8th District was renumbered as the 10th District. Incumbent Daniel Webster, who had represented the 8th District since January 2011, sought re-election in the 10th District.[10]

Prior to redistricting the 10th District was the only Florida district entirely within a single county, Pinellas County, Florida.

The 10th District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[11][12]

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Florida's 10th District became more Republican because of redistricting.[13]

  • 2012: 44D / 56R
  • 2010: 49D / 51R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Florida's 10th Congressional District has a PVI of R+7, which is the 152nd most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 53-47 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 58-42 percent over John Kerry (D).[14]

District history

Candidate Ballot Access
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2010

On November 2, 2010, C. W. Bill Young won re-election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Charlie Justice (D) in the general election.[15]

U.S. House, Florida District 10 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngC.W. Bill Young Incumbent 65.9% 137,943
     Democratic Charlie Justice 34.1% 71,313
Total Votes 209,256

See also

External links

References