Florida's 15th Congressional District elections, 2012

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Florida's 15th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
August 14, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Dennis A. Ross Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Bill Posey Republican Party
Bill Posey.jpg

Florida U.S. House Elections
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2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Florida.png
The 15th Congressional District of Florida held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
This is the 15th congressional district prior to the 2010 redistricting.

Dennis A. Ross was re-elected on November 6, 2012.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
June 8, 2012
August 14, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Florida is one of 21 states to use a strictly closed primary system.

Voter registration: Voters were required to register to vote in the primary by July 16, 2012, which was 29 days before the primary took place.[2] (Information about registering to vote)

See also: Florida elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Bill Posey (R), who was first elected in 2008. Posey sought re-election in the new 8th District.[3]

This was the first election which used new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Florida's 15th Congressional District is located in central Florida and includes portions of Hillsborough and Polk counties.[4]


General election candidates

Democratic Party No candidates filed to run.
Republican Party Dennis A. Ross Green check mark transparent.png

August 14, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

No candidates filed to run.

Republican Party Republican Primary

Race background

Blue vs. Red

Possible race ratings are:

     Solid Democratic
     Likely Democratic
     Lean Democratic


     Lean Republican
     Likely Republican
     Solid Republican

     Florida's 15th District is a solidly Republican district.

In June 2012, Sabato's Crystal Ball rated Florida's 15th as a solidly Republican district.[7]

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Florida

In redistricting, the 12th District was renumbered as the 15th District. Dennis Ross, who had represented the 12th District since 2011, sought re-election.[8]

Prior to redistricting the 15th District contained most of Brevard County south of the city of Cocoa, all of Indian River County, most of Osceola County, and a very small portion of Polk County. The district also took in Kissimmee, Melbourne and Vero Beach.

The 15th District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[9][10]

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Florida's 15th District became more Republican because of redistricting.[11]

  • 2012: 43D / 57R
  • 2010: 46D / 54R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Florida's 15th Congressional District has a PVI of R+8, which is the 135th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 54-46 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 60-40 percent over John Kerry (D).[12]

District history

Candidate ballot access
Ballot Access Requirements Final.jpg

Find detailed information on ballot access requirements in all 50 states and Washington D.C.


On November 2, 2010, Posey won re-election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Shannon Roberts (D) in the general election.[13]

U.S. House, Florida District 15 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngBill Posey Incumbent 64.7% 157,079
     Democratic Shannon Roberts 35.3% 85,595
Total Votes 242,674

See also

External links