Florida's 18th Congressional District elections, 2012
November 6, 2012
August 14, 2012
- 1 Candidates
- 2 Election results
- 3 Race background
- 4 Polls
- 5 Impact of redistricting
- 6 Campaign donors
- 7 District history
- 8 See also
- 9 External links
- 10 References
|Candidate Filing Deadline||Primary Election||General Election|
Primary: Florida is one of 21 states to use a strictly closed primary system.
- See also: Florida elections, 2012
This was the first election which used new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Florida's 18th Congressional District is located in eastern Florida and includes St. Lucie and Martin counties, and part of Palm Beach county.
General election candidates
August 14, 2012, primary results
|U.S. House, Florida District 18 General Election, 2012|
|Republican||Allen West Incumbent||49.7%||164,353|
|Write-In||Marilyn Davis Holloman||0%||55|
|Source: Florida Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"|
|U.S. House, Florida District 18 Republican Primary, 2012|
|Allen West Incumbent||74.4%||45,761|
Florida's 18th District was included in the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's "Red to Blue List," which identified districts that the organization specifically targeted to flip from Republican to Democratic control.
Blue vs. Red
Possible race ratings are:
Florida's 18th District is a leaning Republican district.
Using the Federal Election Commission's October Quarterly campaign finance filings, the Brennan Center for Justice at The New York University School of Law published a report on October 22nd focusing on the 25 House races rated most competitive by The Cook Political Report, including the race for Florida's 18th. The report examines the relative spending presence of non-candidate groups, candidates, and small donors in these races - "which will likely determine which party will control the House."
|List of 25 Toss Up Races from the Cook Political Report:|
In June 2012, Sabato's Crystal Ball rated Florida's 18th as a leaning Republican district.
Florida's 18th was also considered to be Leaning Republican according to the New York Times race ratings.
Patrick Murphy V. Allen West
|Patrick Murphy V. Allen West|
|Poll||Patrick Murphy||Allen West||Undecided||Margin of Error||Sample Size|
(October 17, 2012)
|Public Policy Polling|
(October 25-26, 2012)
|Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to email@example.com|
Impact of redistricting
- See also: Redistricting in Florida
Prior to redistricting the 18th District included portions of Miami-Dade and Monroe counties. The Miami-Dade section included most of the city of Miami, the South Beach section of Miami Beach, and many of the southern Miami suburbs, including Coral Gables and Coral Terrace. The Monroe County section of the district included all of the Florida Keys.
- 66 percent from the 16th congressional district
- 2 percent from the 19th Congressional District
- 24 percent from the 22nd Congressional District
- 7 percent from the 23rd Congressional District
FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study
- See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012
In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Florida's 18th District's partisanship was unaffected by redistricting.
- 2012: 48D / 52R
- 2010: 48D / 52R
Cook Political Report's PVI
In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Florida's 18th Congressional District has a PVI of R+1, which is the 229th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by Barack Obama (D), 51-49 percent over John McCain (R). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 51-49 percent over John Kerry (D).
Allen B. West announced that he raised over $4 million during the 3rd quarter of the year, leaving him with over $3 million cash on hand. He raised over $14.5 million over the course of the election cycle. Patrick Murphy raised $1.1 million in the 3rd quarter, leaving himself with around $400,000 on hand for the rest of the race.
|Candidate Ballot Access|
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|U.S. House, Florida District 18 General Election, 2010|
|Republican||Ileana Ros-Lehtinen Incumbent||68.9%||102,360|
|Democratic||Rolando A. Banciella||31.1%||46,235|
- United States House of Representatives elections in Florida, 2012
- United States House of Representatives elections, 2012
- United States Senate elections in Florida, 2012
- Ileana Ros-Lehtinen's Campaign Website
- Patrick Murphy's Campaign Website
- Allen West's Campaign Website
- Updated Florida Congressional Districts List
- Florida 2012 Redistricting Map
- Politico, "Allen West falls further behind," accessed November 18, 2012
- ABC News, "2012 General Election Results," accessed November 6, 2012
- Florida Department of State, "Register to Vote," accessed April 25, 2012
- Florida 2012 Redistricting Map, "Map" accessed July 5, 2012
- The Palm Beach Post News "Patrick Murphy switches to District 22, will challenge GOP firebrand West for Congress" accessed February 14, 2012
- Palm Beach Post "Frankel No Longer Running for Congress Against West" accessed May 6, 2012
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- AP Results "U.S. House Results" accessed August 14, 2012
- Washington Post "Rep. Allen West to seek re-election in new district" accessed February 14, 2012
- DCCC, "Red to Blue 2012"
- NRCC "Patriot Program 2012"
- Brennan Center for Justice, "Election Spending 2012: 25 Toss-Up House Races," October 22, 2012
- The Cook Political Report, "House: Race Ratings," updated October 18, 2012
- Center for Politics, "2012 House Ratings," Updated June 27, 2012
- New York Times, "House Race Ratings," accessed August 7, 2012
- Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer, "Florida's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"
- Labels & Lists, "VoterMapping software voter counts"
- "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in Florida," September 2012
- Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" accessed October 2012
- National Journal, "West Raises Big, Spends Big," October 2, 2012
- U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010"