Florida's 1st Congressional District elections, 2012

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Florida's 1st Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
August 14, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Jeff Miller Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Jeff Miller Republican Party
Jefferson Miller.jpg

Florida U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9District 10District 11District 12District 13District 14District 15District 16District 17District 18District 19District 20District 21District 22District 23District 24District 25District 26District 27

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Florida.png
The 1st Congressional District of Florida held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
This was the 1st Congressional District prior to the 2010 redistricting.

Jeff Miller won re-election on November 6, 2012.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
June 8, 2012
August 14, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Florida was one of 21 states to use a strictly closed primary system.

Voter registration: Voters were required to register to vote in the primary by July 16, 2012, which was 29 days before the primary took place.[2] (Information about registering to vote)

See also: Florida elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Jeff Miller (R), who assumed office in 2001 in a special election to replace Joe Scarborough.

This was the first election using new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Florida's 1st Congressional District covered the state's western panhandle. It included Escambia, Santa Rosa, Okaloosa, Walton, and part of Holmes counties.[3]

Candidates

General election candidates

Democratic Party Jim Bryan
Republican Party Jeff MillerGreen check mark transparent.png
Libertarian Party Calen Fretts
Independent William Drummond II (Write In Candidate)


August 14, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

Libertarian PartyLibertarian Candidate

IndependentWrite In Candidate

Election results

U.S. House, Florida District 1 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJeff Miller Incumbent 69.6% 238,440
     Democratic James Bryan 27.1% 92,961
     Libertarian Calen Fretts 3.3% 11,176
     Write-In William Drummond II 0% 17
Total Votes 342,594
Source: Florida Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Race background

Blue vs. Red

Possible race ratings are:

     Solid Democratic
     Likely Democratic
     Lean Democratic

     Tossup

     Lean Republican
     Likely Republican
     Solid Republican

     Florida's 1st District was a solidly Republican district.

In June 2012, Sabato's Crystal Ball rated Florida's 1st as solidly Republican.[6]

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Florida

Pensacola anchored this western panhandle district that ranked as the most Republican in state.[7] The previous 1st District and the redrawn 1st District were nearly identical.[7]

Prior to redistricting the 1st District covered the state's western Panhandle. The district included all of Escambia, Holmes, Washington, and Santa Rosa counties and portions of Okaloosa and Walton counties. The district was anchored in Pensacola and also included Fort Walton Beach and stretched along the Redneck Riveria

The 1st District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district was composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[8][9]

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Florida's 1st District's partisanship was unaffected by redistricting.[10]

  • 2012: 29D / 71R
  • 2010: 29D / 71R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measured each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Florida's 1st Congressional District had a PVI of R+21, which was the 15th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 68-32 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 73-27 percent over John Kerry (D).[11]

District history

Candidate ballot accecss
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2010

On November 2, 2010, Jeff Miller won re-election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Joe Cantrell (I), John Krause (I), and Jim Bryan (I) in the general election.[12]

U.S. House, Florida District 1 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJeff Miller Incumbent 80% 170,821
     Independent Joe Cantrell 10.9% 23,250
     Independent John Krause 8.5% 18,253
     Independent Jim Bryan 0.6% 1,202
Total Votes 213,526

See also

External links

References