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Florida's 9th Congressional District elections, 2012

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Florida's 9th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
August 14, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Alan Grayson Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Gus M. Bilirakis Republican Party
Gus M. Bilirakis.jpg

Florida U.S. House Elections
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2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Florida.png
The 9th Congressional District of Florida held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
This is the 9th Congressional District prior to the 2010 redistricting.

Alan Grayson was elected on November 6, 2012.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
June 8, 2012
August 14, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Florida is one of 21 states to use a strictly closed primary system.

Voter registration: Voters were required to register to vote in the primary by July 16, 2012, which was 29 days before the primary took place.[2] (Information about registering to vote)

See also: Florida elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Gus M. Bilirakis (R), who was first elected in 2006. Bilirakis ran in Florida's 12th District in 2012.[3]

This was the first election which used new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Florida's 9th Congressional District is located in east central Florida and portions of Orange and Polk counties and all of Osceola County.[4]

Candidates

General election candidates

Democratic Party Alan GraysonGreen check mark transparent.png
Republican Party Todd Long


August 14, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

Election results

U.S. House, Florida District 9 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngAlan Grayson 62.5% 164,891
     Republican Todd Long 37.5% 98,856
Total Votes 263,747
Source: Florida Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Race background

Blue vs. Red

Possible race ratings are:

     Solid Democratic
     Likely Democratic
     Lean Democratic

     Tossup

     Lean Republican
     Likely Republican
     Solid Republican

     Florida's 9th District is a leaning Democratic district.

In June 2012, Sabato's Crystal Ball rated Florida's 9th as leaning Democratic.[8]

Florida's 9th was also considered to be Leaning Democratic according to the New York Times race ratings.[9]

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Florida

The new 9th District, an open seat located south of Orlando, was expected to favor Democrats.[10]

Prior to redistricting the 9th District encompassed most of rural eastern Hillsborough County, northern parts of Pinellas County (including Clearwater) and the Gulf coast of Pasco County (including New Port Richey).

The 9th District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[11][12]

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Partisanship figures from 2010 relating to the incumbent are unavailable for this district due to the seat being open.[13]

  • 2012: 57D / 43R
  • 2010: Unavailable

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Florida's 9th Congressional District has a PVI of D+4, which is the 156th most Democratic district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by Barack Obama (D), 61-39 percent over John McCain (R). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 51-49 percent over John Kerry (D).[14]

District history

Candidate ballot accecss
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2010

On November 2, 2010, Gus M. Bilirakis won re-election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Anita de Palma (D) in the general election.[15]

U.S. House, Florida District 9 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngGus M. Bilirakis Incumbent 71.4% 165,433
     Democratic Anita de Palma 28.6% 66,158
Total Votes 231,591

See also

External links

References