GOP inroads projected in Tuesday's state legislative elections
| Partisan dominance in state legislatures|
heading into the 2010 state legislative elections
By Geoff Pallay and Leslie Graves
The Republican Party is poised to gain control of up to 18 state legislative chambers on election night. Going into the elections, Democrats control 28 state senates while Republicans control 20. We project that Republicans will gain control of the Alaska and Iowa senates. Meanwhile, Alabama, Maine, New Hampshire, New York, North Carolina and Wisconsin are still too close call and remain a toss-up.
Additionally, the GOP is poised to pick-up at least five state houses and could win as many as 10 houses on election night. Democrats currently control 32 state houses to the GOP’s 16. We project that the GOP will win a majority in Indiana, Montana, Ohio, Pennsylvaniaand Wisconsin. In addition, Democratic-controlled houses in Alabama, Colorado, North Carolina, New Hampshire and Iowa rest in the toss-up category.
Of the 99 state legislative chambers in the United States, 88 are holding state legislative elections on November 2, 2010. 1,167 of the country's 1,971 state senate seats are up for re-election, while 4,958 (91.6%) of the country's 5,413 state house seats are up for re-election. Altogether, 6,125 of the country's 7,384 state legislative seats are up for re-election in this volatile election year. Democrats control the majority in 52 of the chambers that are up for re-election while Republicans are the majority in 33.
Trifectas at stake
Leading into November 2, 2010, there's a "state house trifecta" in 24 states. A "state house trifecta" is when one political party holds three positions in a state; the governorship along with majority control of the state senate and state house.
Heading into Tuesday's election, the Democratic Party has 16 state house trifectas while the GOP has half that, at eight.
State Senate Predictions
- For all details, see Projected outcomes of state senate elections, 2010
Before election: 28
Predicted after election: 21
Before election: 20
Predicted after election: 22
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State House Predictions
- For all details, see Projected outcomes of state house elections, 2010
Before election: 32
Projected after election: 23
Before election: 16
Projected after election: 21
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