Illinois primary 2014 state executive officials preview

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March 18, 2014

March 18, 2014 Election Preview
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Jump to the race for:
*Illinois Governor
*Illinois Lieutenant Governor
*Illinois Attorney General
*Illinois Secretary of State
*Illinois Treasurer
*Illinois Comptroller

By Maresa Strano

The 2014 Illinois primary elections are being held on March 18, 2014. There are six offices involved: Governor, Lieutenant Governor, Attorney General, Secretary of State, state treasurer and state comptroller. Incumbents are seeking election in four of the six races, and all will face at least one challenger in the general election. The two incumbents not running for re-election to their current posts are Lt. Gov. Sheila Simon (D), who is running for state comptroller, and state treasurer Dan Rutherford (R), who is pursuing the Republican nomination for governor along with a crowded field of hopefuls looking to unseat embattled Democratic incumbent Pat Quinn.

With governor and lieutenant governor running on a single ticket, that left ten potential contested fields. In the end, only three - both major party gubernatorial primaries and the GOP primary race for state treasurer - managed to draw enough candidates. Therefore, while a number of hopefuls have been resting comfortably on the knowledge they will automatically advance to the November ballot, these candidates have been sweating on the campaign trail in preparation for tomorrow's elections:

Democratic Primary - Governor

Republican Primary - Governor

Republican Primary - Treasurer

Below, Ballotpedia has put together a preview of these races. Key players and background information have been compiled, as well as a look at the current polling data. Thoughts on the outcome of the race have also been included for races.

Illinois' polling hours on Election Day are from 6:00 am to 7:00 pm, Central time.



Illinois Governor
See also: Illinois Gubernatorial and Lieutenant Gubernatorial election, 2014

Both Republicans and Democrats have contested primaries for Illinois Governor. There are four Gov./Lt. Gov. candidate teams vying for the Republican nomination. Millionaire businessman Bruce Rauner, in his first ever attempt at elected office, has maintained a solid lead in the polls over fellow duly qualified contenders, current state treasurer Dan Rutherford, and Illinois Senators Bill Brady and Kirk Dillard. This is Brady's third gubernatorial bid (his second, in 2010, came just short) and Dillard has become a favorite in public sector union circles for voting against a bill unions believed would hurt retiree benefits. Both senators were established names before the campaign season went underway, whereas Rauner rose from political obscurity to frontrunner status in mere months.[1][2][3]

On the Democratic side, there are only two tickets competing for the nomination: Incumbent Pat Quinn and his new running mate Paul Vallas, the former Chicago Public Schools chief tapped to fill the void left by outgoing Lt. Gov. Sheila Simon's defection to run for state comptroller this year, face a token challenge from relative unknown Tio Hardiman and his running mate Brunell Donald.

Ballotpedia predicts that the Rauner/Sanguinetti and Quinn/Vallas tickets will win their primaries.

Republican Primary Polls

Governor of Illinois: Quinn vs. Rauner vs. Quinn
Poll Pat Quinn* (D) Bruce Rauner (R)Chad Grimm (L)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
We Ask America/Reboot Illinois
September 2, 2014
37%46%7%10%+/-3.01,064
Global Strategy Group (D-DGA)
September 4-7, 2014
43%40%5%12%+/-4.0605
The Chicago Tribune/APC Research, Inc.
September 3-12, 2014
48%37%5%8%+/-3.5800
AVERAGES 42.67% 41% 5.67% 10% +/-3.5 823
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Governor of Illinois: Pat Quinn vs. Bruce Rauner
Poll Pat Quinn* (D) Bruce Rauner (R)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Rasmussen Reports
April 9-10, 2014
40%43%10%+/-4.0750
We Ask America/Reboot Illinois
June 10-11, 2014
37%47%16%+/-3.01,075
We Ask America/Capitol Fax
July 8, 2014
39%51%10%+/-3.2940
Rasmussen Reports
July 29-30, 2014
39%44%10%+/-4.0750
Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R)
August 4-5, 2014
40%48%12%+/-4.0567
We Ask America/Chicago Sun Times
August 6, 2014
38%51%11%+/-3.121,085
Garin-Hart-Yang (D)
August 12-14, 2014
43%46%11%+/-3.5802
CBS/NYT/YouGov
August 18-September 2, 2014
40%44%13%+/-3.04,363
AVERAGES 39.5% 46.75% 11.63% +/-3.48 1,291.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.




Illinois Treasurer
See also: Illinois down ballot state executive elections, 2014

State Rep. Tom Cross and DuPage County Auditor Bob Grogan are squaring off for the GOP nomination tomorrow in pursuit of the state treasurer's office, which is open this year thanks to incumbent Dan Rutherford's gubernatorial run. Both candidates support a merger that would eliminate the treasurer's office, making neither very popular with the press. Cross, being a two decade veteran of the state legislature and long time minority leader, has greater name recognition, but is initial consideration of an attorney general bid in 2014 has opened him up to speculation about whether his ambition might conflict with the needs of job at hand, if elected.[4][5] Ballotpedia predicts this race will go to Cross.

Illinois Treasurer - Republican Primary 2014
Poll Bob Grogan Tom CrossUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Battleground Polling
(November 11, 2013)
13%27%60%+/-3.97535
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

See also

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References

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