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In Florida House, Republicans are more affected by term limits than Democrats

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August 11, 2010

Audrey Gibson, who is ineligible to run for Florida House of Representatives District 15 because of term limits. Lawson has held the seat since 2002.

By Gabrielle Thompson

Florida enacted state legislative term limits in 1992. In 2010, the impact of the term limits that Florida voters approved when they enacted Amendment 9 in 1992 will be felt by more Republicans than Democrats.

Republican representatives Adam Hasner, Baxter Troutman, Bill Galvano, Carl Domino, Dave Murzin, David Rivera, Ed Homan, Faye Culp, Greg Evers, Juan Zapata, Juan-Carlos Planas, Julio Robaina, Kevin Ambler, Marcelo Llorente, Pat Patterson, Ralph Poppell, Ron Reagan, Sandra Adams, Thomas Anderson, and House speaker Larry Cretul are ineligible to run for re-election to the Florida legislature in 2010, along with Democratic representatives Audrey Gibson, Mary Brandenburg, and Yolly Roberson.[1]

Republicans hold a 32-seat advantage over Democrats going into the November 2 election, but their prospects of holding onto their state house majority are at risk by the fact that they are losing twenty representatives because of term limits, while the Democratic Party is only losing three representatives.


Party As of April 2014
     Democratic Party 45
     Republican Party 74
     Vacancy 1
Total 120


Louis Jacobson, a staff writer for PolitiFact, did an early-season analysis of which state legislatures may change majority party control as the result of the November elections. He does not rate the Florida House of Representatives as likely to change in this regard, and this may be partly due to the differential impact of term limits on the state senate's partisan make-up.[2]

Nationally, the Republican Party is taking more of a hit from term limits in the 2010 state legislative elections than the Democratic Party, both in terms of how many individual incumbent legislators the Republican Party is losing (190, versus 182 for the Democratic Party) and in terms of how many state legislative chambers are losing more Republicans (13, versus 10 for the Democratic Party).

Incumbents

Party # of termed senators # of termed representatives Total
Democratic 55 127 182
Republican 66 124 190
Non-partisan 1 2 3

Chambers

Party Senates with most losses Houses with most losses Total
Democratic 4 6 10
Republican 7 6 13
Equal D/R losses (or nonpartisan chamber) 3 1 4

See also

References