Incumbents with a primary challenger in the 2014 state legislative elections

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2014 Competitiveness Overview
Competitiveness2014.jpg
Primary competition (state comparison)
Incumbents defeatedVictorious challengers
Primary competitiveness
Major party challengers (state comparison)
Candidates with no challenges at all in 2014
Open seats (state comparisons)
Impact of term limits on # of open seats
Long-serving senatorsLong-serving reps
Star bookmark.png   Chart Comparing 2014 Results   Star bookmark.png
Chart Comparing 2014 ResultsComparisons Between Years
Competitiveness IndexAbsolute Index
2014 State Legislative Elections
State legislative incumbent turnover in 2014
Competitiveness Studies from Other Years
200720092010201120122013

The number of incumbents facing primary opposition decreased between 2012 and 2014, from 24.6 percent in 2012 to 19.4 percent in 2014.

In the 46 states with elections there were 6,057 state legislative districts with a seat up for election on November 4, 2014.[1]

How many state legislative incumbents who chose to run for re-election in 2014 faced a primary challenger?

  • The incumbent chose to run for re-election in 5,026 (83.0%) of the 6,057 analyzed districts with state legislative elections in 2014.
  • A total of 4,017 (79.9%) of those 5,026 incumbents did not face a challenger in the primary.
  • Thus, only 1,009 (20.1%) of incumbents faced a primary opponent.
CA2014image1.png

The top five states included:

  1. Maryland
  2. California
  3. Wyoming
  4. Arizona
  5. Hawaii

The lowest ranking states included:

45. Maine
44. Connecticut
43. Colorado
42. Vermont
41. Minnesota

States ranked under composite scores for open seats, incumbents facing primary opposition and major party competition can be found on this page.

States compared by incumbents with primary opposition

The following table details the number of seats where the incumbent faced primary opposition in 2014.

"Senate (or house) at stake" represents the number of seats up in the chamber. The number of incumbents that faced a primary challenger in each chamber is listed in the columns labeled "Senate Incumbents w/ primary" and "House Incumbents w/ primary." Those figures are added and used in the columns "Total Incumbents w/ primary" and "% w/ primary."

Each state is ranked under the column "Primary challenger rank," with the highest percentage of incumbents with primary opposition at rank one. "Overall competitive rank" is based on composite scores from data collected on open seats, incumbents facing primary opposition and seats with more than one general election candidate.

Legend:      Top 5 Most Competitive
according to challenged incumbents
     Bottom 5 Least Competitive
according to challenged incumbents
States compared by incumbents with primary opposition
State Senate at stake Senate Incumbents w/ primary House at stake House Incumbents w/ primary Total Incumbents w/ primary  % w/ primary Primary challenger rank Overall competitive rank
Alabama 35 10 105 30 40 28.6% 10 27
Alaska 14 0 40 4 4 8.7% 37 22
Arizona 30 6 60 18 24 38.1% 4 8
Arkansas 18 3 100 5 8 9.2% 36 40
California 20 1 80 42 43 64.2% 2 1
Colorado 18 0 65 2 2 3.3% 45 15
Connecticut 36 3 151 5 8 5.5% 42 23
Delaware 10 2 41 7 10 18.4% 23 29
Florida 20 7 120 15 22 17.9% 25 36
Georgia 56 12 180 36 48 21.9% 20 45
Hawaii 13 6 51 15 21 35.6% 5 13
Idaho 35 9 70 22 31 33.0% 6 16
Illinois 19 1 118 13 14 11.4% 34 41
Indiana 25 2 100 9 11 9.4% 35 39
Iowa 25 4 100 4 8 7.3% 40 37
Kansas -- -- 125 21 21 18.8% 22 24
Kentucky 19 3 100 11 14 13.0% 30 35
Maine 35 2 151 1 3 2.3% 46 10
Maryland 47 17 141 75 92 66.7% 1 4
Massachusetts 40 3 160 12 15 8.4% 38 42
Michigan 38 9 110 15 24 24.7% 14 3
Minnesota -- -- 134 5 5 4.2% 44 14
Missouri 17 2 163 18 20 13.3% 29 30
Montana 25 2 100 16 18 23.1% 18 5
Nebraska 25 1 - - 1 12.5% 31 2
Nevada 11 2 42 11 13 30.2% 9 12
New Hampshire 24 4 400 94 98 32.1% 7 6
New Mexico -- -- 70 7 7 11.9% 33 34
New York 63 13 150 16 29 15.1% 28 28
North Carolina 50 9 120 19 28 18.0% 24 31
North Dakota 24 0 48 4 4 6.8% 41 20
Ohio 17 5 99 18 23 25.8% 12 7
Oklahoma 25 2 101 11 13 24.6% 16 25
Oregon 16 0 60 5 5 8.3% 39 19
Pennsylvania 25 3 203 39 42 20.8% 21 32
Rhode Island 38 8 75 16 24 22.6% 19 43
South Carolina -- -- 124 20 20 17.4% 26 46
South Dakota 35 2 70 15 17 23.3% 17 17
Tennessee 17 7 99 19 26 25.0% 13 33
Texas 15 6 150 33 39 26.0% 11 38
Utah 14 4 75 15 19 24.7% 15 11
Vermont 30 1 150 6 7 4.6% 43 44
Washington 25 4 98 13 17 15.5% 27 18
West Virginia 17 1 100 32 33 31.13% 8 9
Wisconsin 17 1 99 10 11 12.2% 32 26
Wyoming 15 6 60 21 27 42.2% 3 21

See also

References

  1. Louisiana, Mississippi, New Jersey and Virginia hold state legislative elections in odd-numbered years.