Incumbents with no primary challenger in the 2007 state legislative elections
|2007 Competitiveness Overview|
| Primary competition (state comparison) |
|Major party challengers (state comparison)|
|Open seats (state comparisons)|
| Competitiveness Index • Absolute Index|
• Comparisons Between Years
|2007 State Legislative Elections|
|Competitiveness Studies from Other Years|
|2009 • 2010 • 2011|
There were 578 state legislative districts, in 3 states, with a seat up for election on November 6, 2007 that were studied. We took a look at each of the 3 states to see how many state legislative incumbents who chose to run for re-election in 2007 faced a primary challenger.
Our main findings:
- The incumbent chose to run for re-election in 441 (76.3%) of the 578 districts holding state legislative elections in 2007.
- In 337 (58.3%) of those 578 districts, the incumbent faced no challenger in the primary.
- Thus, only 104 (23.6%) of incumbents faced a primary opponent.
- Of those 104 incumbents who faced a primary, only 8 were defeated.
- Virginia had the fewest incumbents facing primary opposition -- in other words, it had the least amount of competitiveness at the primary level.
- The state with the most competitive primaries in terms of incumbents facing primary challengers was Louisiana.
The score that states received based on their ratio of incumbents facing a primary challenger is one of 3 factors used in evaluating which states have the highest, and which states have the lowest, overall competitiveness in the 2007 state legislative elections.
Additionally, we have tracked incumbents that face no primary or general election opposition in the 2007 election. This data was not a primary component of the competitiveness index but is still compelling information regarding the elections.
There are 187 total incumbents (32.4%) who were guaranteed to win the race from the moment they registered for re-election -- because no major party opponent filed to run in the primary or general election.
States compared by primary competition
The state that is least competitive as defined by the percentage of its seats where the incumbent did not have a primary challenger in 2007 is defined as #4, while the state that is most competitive as defined by the percentage of its seats where the incumbent did have a primary challenger is defined as #1; that is, 1 = "most competitive", 3 = "least competitive".
|State||Senate at stake||Incumbents w/o primary||House at stake||Incumbents w/o primary||% w/o primary||Primary challenger rank||Overall competitive rank|
- State legislative elections, 2007
- 2007 state legislative elections analyzed using a Competitiveness Index
- Major party candidates with no major party challengers in the November 2007 state legislative elections
- Open seats in the 2007 state legislative elections