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Incumbents with a primary challenger in the 2012 state legislative elections

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2012 Competitiveness Overview
Competitiveness study logo 2012.jpg
Primary competition (state comparison)
Incumbents with no challenges at all in 2012
Incumbents defeatedVictorious challengers
Primary competitiveness
Major party challengers (state comparison)
List of candidates with no competition
Open seats (state comparisons)
Impact of term limits on # of open seats
Long-serving senatorsLong-serving reps
Star bookmark.png   Chart Comparing 2012 Results   Star bookmark.png
Chart Comparing 2012 ResultsComparisons Between Years
Competitiveness IndexAbsolute Index
2012 State Legislative Elections
2012 Competitiveness Tracker
Competitiveness Studies from Other Years
200720092010201120132014

There were 6,015 state legislative districts, in 44 states, with a seat up for election on November 6, 2012. We took a look at each of the states to see how many state legislative incumbents who chose to run for re-election in 2012 faced a primary challenger.

Our main findings:

  • The incumbent chose to run for re-election in 4,783 (79.5%) of the 6,015 analyzed districts holding state legislative elections in 2012.
  • A total of 3,608 (75.4%) of those 4,783 incumbents faced no challenger in the primary.
  • Thus, only 1,175 (24.6%) of incumbents faced a primary opponent.
State Senate at stake Senate Incumbents w/ primary House at stake House Incumbents w/ primary Total Incumbents w/ primary  % w/ primary Primary challenger rank Overall competitive rank
Alaska 19 6 40 11 17 32.1% 16 16
Arizona 30 6 60 21 27 45.8% 3 12
Arkansas 35 7 100 6 13 14.8% 34 29
California 20 3 80 17 20 35.7% 10 1
Colorado 20 1 65 3 4 7.6% 41 11
Connecticut 36 1 151 5 6 3.7% 44 26
Delaware 21 4 41 6 10 18.9% 28 40
Florida 40 5 120 31 36 32.7% 15 21
Georgia 56 14 180 35 49 23.3% 23 43
Hawaii 25 9 51 18 27 38% 8 24
Idaho 35 12 70 21 33 47.8% 1 4
Illinois 59 14 118 18 32 21.9% 24 39
Indiana 25 5 100 13 18 17.5% 31 31
Iowa 26 3 100 13 16 16.2% 33 23
Kansas 40 20 125 33 53 41.7% 4 7
Kentucky 19 4 100 18 22 20.8% 25 38
Maine 35 0 151 5 5 4.1% 43 9
Massachusetts 40 5 160 16 21 11.1% 38 44
Michigan - - 110 36 36 39.1% 7 2
Minnesota 67 7 134 5 12 7.6% 40 13
Missouri 17 2 163 33 35 27.8% 21 37
Montana 26 3 100 14 17 20.7% 26 10
Nebraska 26 5 - - 5 29.4% 20 5
Nevada 12 1 42 11 12 33.3% 14 6
New Hampshire 24 3 400 141 144 46.5% 2 3
New Mexico 42 12 70 17 29 31.9% 17 27
New York 63 14 150 25 39 20.6% 27 28
North Carolina 50 10 120 28 39 30.7% 18 17
North Dakota 25 2 50 5 7 11.5% 37 15
Ohio 17 1 99 14 15 14.6% 35 18
Oklahoma 24 4 101 15 19 18.6% 29 36
Oregon 16 2 60 2 4 6.2% 42 30
Pennsylvania 25 4 203 33 37 18.5% 30 41
Rhode Island 38 10 75 24 34 33.7% 13 34
South Carolina 46 15 124 22 37 25.0% 22 42
South Dakota 35 7 70 15 22 30.1% 19 14
Tennessee 16 5 99 32 37 37.8% 9 25
Texas 31 6 150 45 51 34.7% 12 33
Utah 16 8 75 23 31 39.7% 6 8
Vermont 30 9 150 4 13 8.4% 39 32
Washington 26 5 98 9 14 14.3% 36 22
West Virginia 17 3 100 37 40 40.8% 5 20
Wisconsin 16 2 99 14 16 17.0% 32 19
Wyoming 15 7 60 14 21 35% 11 35
Totals: 1,301 267 4,714 908 1,175 24.6% NA NA

See also