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Iowa gubernatorial election, 2014

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Iowa Gubernatorial Election

Primary Date
June 3, 2014

General Election Date:
November 4, 2014

Incumbent prior to election:
Terry E. Branstad Republican Party
Terry Branstad.jpg

Iowa State Executive Elections
Top Ballot
Governor Lieutenant GovernorSecretary of StateAttorney General
Down Ballot
Treasurer, Auditor, Agriculture Commissioner

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The Iowa gubernatorial election will take place on November 4, 2014. As Iowa has no gubernatorial term limits, incumbent Terry E. Branstad (R) is eligible for, and is seeking re-election. The winner of the election will serve a 4-year term in office.

Iowa has a mostly closed primary system: voters must be registered with the Democratic or Republican party in order to vote in the primary, but they may switch their party affiliation on election day.

Candidates

Race background

Republican incumbent Terry Branstad is running for re-election to a sixth non-consecutive term as governor in 2014. Branstad first held the office from 1983 to 1999, and emerged after years of political retirement to reclaim the office in the 2010 gubernatorial election, becoming Iowa's longest serving governor as well as the longest serving governor in U.S. History.[7] Branstad will face Tom Hoefling in the GOP primary election on June 3, 2014. Incumbent Lt. Gov. Kim Reynolds (R) is also seeking re-election in 2014. This will be her second time sharing a ticket with Branstad.[8]

Before Branstad formally launched his campaign, polls showed him in excellent standing for winning re-election, with an average lead of 20 percentage points in hypothetical general election match-ups.[9] Branstad had looked considerably less secure around the time ex-Democratic challenger Tyler Olson entered the race back in July 2013, with only 43% of polled voters saying they believed the governor deserved to be re-elected and 54% answering that he has held office long enough, even though 51% approved of his performance. December's numbers from Quinnipiac University gave him a boost of eight percentage points in both approval and "deserves to be re-elected" categories.[10][11] As of mid-March, polls continue to show Branstad sitting comfortably at 63% job approval and Hatch trailing behind by 15 percentage points.[12]

Democratic State Rep. Tyler Olson declared his candidacy for governor in July 2013 and was considered a strong contender for the party's nomination before withdrawing from the race in December of that year.[13] He decided to drop out following the announcement of his separation from wife Sarah Olson, who had been an instrumental part of his family-oriented campaign.[14][15] Olson's withdrawal was followed soon thereafter by former state Sen. Bob Krause's announcement he was shutting down his campaign. Their absences cleared the path for remaining Democratic hopeful Jack Hatch to take on Branstad, the presumptive Republican nominee, in the general election. Krause immediately gave Hatch his support, while Olson noticeably declined to endorse Hatch upon dropping out of the race.[13][16]

The major party nominees will appear on the November general election ballot along with Libertarian candidate Lee Hieb.[17]


Polls

Governor of Iowa: Branstad vs. Olson
Poll Terry Branstad* (R) Tyler Olson (D)Someone elseWouldn't voteUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
(December 10-15, 2013)
50%32%1%3%14%+/-2.41,617
Selzer & Company/The Des Moines Register Poll
(December 8-11, 2013)
51%28%8%0%13%+/-3.8650
AVERAGES 50.5% 30% 4.5% 1.5% 13.5% +/-3.1 1,133.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org
Governor of Iowa: Branstad vs. Hatch
Poll Terry Branstad* (R) Jack Hatch (D)Someone elseWouldn't voteUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
(December 10-15, 2013)
49%33%1%3%14%+/-2.41,617
Selzer & Company/The Des Moines Register Poll
(December 8-11, 2013)
52%29%8%0%11%+/-3.8650
AVERAGES 50.5% 31% 4.5% 1.5% 12.5% +/-3.1 1,133.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org
Governor of Iowa: Branstad vs. Krause
Poll Terry Branstad* (R) Bob Olson (D)Someone elseWouldn't voteUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
(December 10-15, 2013)
49%31%1%3%15%+/-2.41,617
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

See also

External links

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References

  1. Branstad and Reynolds 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed November 7, 2013
  2. Tom Hoefling for Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed December 5, 2013
  3. Jack Hatch for Governor 2014 Official Campaign Website, "Homepage," accessed September 17, 2013
  4. The Daily Iowan, "Iowa senator announces campaign for governor," September 17, 2013
  5. SunHerald.com, "Democratic state senator launches run for governor," September 16, 2013
  6. Dr. Lee Hieb for Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed March 17, 2014
  7. Smart Politics, "The Top 50 Longest-Serving Governors of All Time," April 10, 2013
  8. The DesMoines Register, "It’s official: Terry Branstad will run for sixth term as Iowa governor," January 15, 2014
  9. The Des Moines-Register, "Iowa Poll: Iowans widely approve of state's direction, Branstad's performance," December 16, 2013
  10. Quinnipiac University, Iowa Voters Like Gov. Branstad, But Say It's Time To Go, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Possible 2014 Challengers Are Largely Unknown, July 19, 2013
  11. Quinnipiac University Poll, "December 17, 2013 - Iowa Gov's Approval, Re-election Prospects Improve, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Christie Tops Clinton By 5 Points In 2016 Race," December 17, 2013
  12. Des Moines Register, "Iowa Poll: Support for Branstad up; Hatch sees little progress," March 8, 2014
  13. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named withdrew
  14. Tyler Olson for Governor 2014, "Homepage," accessed July 11, 2013
  15. The Des Moines-Register, "Iowa Poll: Iowans widely approve of state's direction, Branstad's performance," December 16, 2013
  16. The Desmoines-Register, "Krause ends bid for governor, endorses fellow Democrat Hatch," January 2, 2013
  17. Lee Hieb for Governor 2014 Official campaign website, "Homepage," accessed March 17, 2014