Is April 20 the real signature deadline in California?
In advance of every even-numbered year, the California Secretary of State publishes a "suggested initiative deadlines" document. The document works backward from the state's final deadline through the various steps in the qualification process to produce a list of suggested deadlines for the various steps required. The document is prefaced with a disclaimer, "The following suggested deadlines are not substitutes for California election laws, regulations, or policy. Other factors, such as amending the initiative measure before circulation or the length of time for circulation, will affect the time it takes to complete the process."
But how set-in-stone are these "suggested deadlines?"
The suggested deadlines to qualify for the November 6, 2012 ballot give separate deadlines depending on how many signatures are submitted. If enough signatures are submitted that the random sampling technique can be used, the deadline is much later in the year than if the "full check" method must be used.
This chart shows the "suggested deadlines" if enough signatures are submitted to trigger a random sampling process:
|File signatures with counties||Raw count completed||SOS notifies counties||Counties certify results to SOS|
|April 20||May 2||May 11||June 25|
If the set of suggested deadlines is accurate, then this Friday, April 20, is the last day by which petition sponsors can submit signatures with the hope of qualifying for the November 6, 2012 ballot.
Ballot initiatives have 150 days from the time they receive their ballot title and summary to collect the required signatures. The 150-day deadline may be past the deadline for qualifying for the November 2012 ballot. If sponsors submit signatures after April 20, but before the 150-day deadline, they may still qualify for the ballot, but it would be for a future year's ballot.
Ballot observers in California this year will find out just how firm the April 20 "suggested deadline" is by whether or not two of the most closely-watched ballot initiatives submit signatures by Friday: the Molly Munger Tax Increase Initiative and the Jerry Brown/Millionaire's Tax Merger Tax Increase Initiative.
At least one ballot initiative group, Consumer Watchdog, doesn't take the April 20 deadline seriously. In comments to the press about an initiative they are backing, they said they had "until mid-May" to submit signatures to get on the November ballot.
May 5 update
- 2012 suggested initiative deadlines
- 2010 suggested initiative deadlines
- Ventura County Star, "Initiative to regulate health insurance hikes sparks big debate," April 14, 2012
- Sacramento Bee, "Jerry Brown says tax signatures in hand," May 3, 2012
- 89.3 KPCC, "Initiative to close tax exemption for out-of-state businesses to join November ballot," May 4, 2012
- FireDogLake Elections, "CA: Genetically Modified Food Labeling Initiative Likely to Make the Ballot," May 2, 2012
- Sacramento Bee, "Signatures for Molly Munger's tax plan submitted in Los Angeles," May 2, 2012