Kansas' 2nd Congressional District elections, 2014

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2012

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Kansas' 2nd Congressional District

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
August 5, 2014

Incumbent prior to election:
Lynn Jenkins Republican Party
Lynn Jenkins.jpg

Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid R[1]

Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R[2]

Fairvote's Monopoly Politics: Safe R[3]

Kansas U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4

2014 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Kansas.png
The 2nd Congressional District of Kansas will hold an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014.

The current incumbent is Lynn Jenkins (R), who was first elected in 2008. She won re-election in 2012 with 57 percent of the vote. She will face Democratic challenger Margie Wakefield (D) in the general election, along with third party candidate Chris Clemmons of the Libertarian Party. Jenkins faces favorable odds of being re-elected to her district seat. Voters tend to heavily support Republican candidates and Cook Political Report rates the district as "Solid R." Early September polls showed Jenkins with a comfortable lead.

Wakefield however saw some signs of emergence in mid-October. The Anzalone-Listz Grove poll only showed her down by 43-48, a margin significantly than previous estimates.[4] Moreover, the report showed Democratic gubernatorial Paul Davis and independent Greg Orman leading in this district over their Republican opponents. Combined with an aggressive effort in late fundraising, analysts believe Wakefield could make a push to strongly challenge Jenkins for her seat.

Republicans have responded to Wakefield's late surge by maneuvering to bolster Jenkins' position in the race before the general election. The narrowing lead of Jenkins has caused enough concern to force Republican lawmakers to increase fundraising efforts to fight off any further reemergence from Wakefield. These October reports have indicated that the Topeka area district could be a closer clash than many expected.[5]

Jenkins faced Joshua Joel Tucker in the Republican primary and comfortably won with almost a 50 point margin. Wakefield ran unopposed in the Democratic primary.

Financially, Jenkins possesses a tremendous financial advantage with her July Quarterly reporting close to $2 million of cash-on-hand.[6] Although Jenkins possesses a larger sum of campaign wealth, Wakefield has made strong efforts to garner enough contributions to become a competitive spender.

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
June 2, 2014
August 5, 2014
November 4, 2014

Primary: Kansas is one of 12 states to use a strictly closed primary process, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.[7][8][9]

Voter registration: To vote in the primary, voters had to register by June 15, 2014. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 14, 2014.[10]

See also: Kansas elections, 2014

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent is Lynn Jenkins (R), who was first elected in 2008.

Kansas' 2nd Congressional District coveres most of the eastern part of the state, except for the core of the Kansas City Metropolitan Area. The district encompasses less than a quarter of the state. The capital of Topeka is located within this district.[11]

Candidates

General election candidates

August 5, 2014, primary results

Republican Party Republican Primary

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Libertarian Party Libertarian Party Candidates

Declined to run

Election results

Primary results

U.S. House, Kansas District 2 Republican Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngLynn Jenkins Incumbent 69.1% 41,850
Joshua Joel Tucker 30.9% 18,680
Total Votes 60,530
Source: Kansas Secretary of State

Key votes

Below are important votes the current incumbent cast during the 113th Congress.

HR 676

See also: Boehner's lawsuit against the Obama administration

Yea3.png On July 30, 2014, the U.S. House approved a resolution 225 to 201 to sue President Barack Obama for exceeding his constitutional authority. Five Republicans--Thomas Massie of Kentucky, Paul Broun of Georgia, Scott Garrett of New Jersey, Walter Jones of North Carolina and Steve Stockman of Texas-- voted with Democrats against the lawsuit.[17] Jenkins joined the other 224 Republicans in favor of the lawsuit. All Democrats voted against the resolution.[18][19]

Government shutdown

See also: United States budget debate, 2013

Yea3.png On September 30, 2013, the House passed a final stopgap spending bill before the shutdown went into effect. The bill included a one-year delay of the Affordable Care Act's individual mandate and would have also stripped the bill of federal subsidies for congressional members and staff. It passed through the House with a vote of 228-201.[20] At 1 a.m. on October 1, 2013, one hour after the shutdown officially began, the House voted to move forward with going to a conference. In short order, Sen. Harry Reid rejected the call to conference.[21] Lynn Jenkins voted to approve the stopgap spending bill that would have delayed the individual mandate.[22]

Yea3.png The shutdown ended on October 16, 2013, when the House took a vote on HR 2775 after it was approved by the Senate. The bill to reopen the government lifted the $16.7 trillion debt limit and funded the government through January 15, 2014. Federal employees also received retroactive pay for the shutdown period. The only concession made by Senate Democrats was to require income verification for Obamacare subsidies.[23] The House passed the legislation shortly after the Senate, by a vote of 285-144, with all 144 votes against the legislation coming from Republican members. Lynn Jenkins voted for HR 2775.[24]

Polls

General election

Lynn Jenkins vs. Margie Wakefield
Poll Lynn Jenkins Margie WakefieldUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Tarrance Group
October 18-20, 2014
49%37%8%+/-4.9400
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Job approval

Lynn Jenkins' Job Rating
Poll Positive NegativeNeutralMargin of ErrorSample Size
Anzalone Liszt Grove
October 7-9, 2013
44%46%10%+/-4.9400
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Endorsements

Democratic candidates

Margie Wakefield received an endorsement from EMILY'S List on November 19, 2013.[25]

Campaign contributions

Lynn Jenkins

Lynn Jenkins (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[26]April 15, 2013$795,065.94$223,672.19$(64,816.92)$953,921.21
July Quarterly[27]July 15, 2013$953,921.21$276,318.8$(83,230.92)$1,247,009.09
October Quarterly[28]October 13, 2013$1,247,009.09$258,616.43$(58,486.10)$1,447,139.42
Year-end[29]January 31, 2014$1,447,139$239,825$(68,294)$1,621,170
April Quarterly[30]April 15, 2014$1,621,170$250,097$(109,006)$1,762,261
July Quarterly[31]July 15, 2014$1,762,261$382,106$(148,559)$1,996,842
Running totals
$1,630,635.42$(532,392.94)

Margie Wakefield

Margie Wakefield (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
October Quarterly[32]October 15, 2014$0$109,607$(13,882)$95,725
Year End[33]January 31, 2014$95,725$105,052$(64,189)$136,588
April Quarterly[34]April 15, 2014$136,588$140,382$(72,019)$204,952
July Quarterly[35]July 15, 2014$204,952$135,380$(104,568)$235,764
Running totals
$490,421$(254,658)

District history

Candidate ballot accecss
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2012

On November 6, 2012, Lynn Jenkins (R) won re-election to the United States House. She defeated Tobias Schlingensiepen and Dennis Hawver in the general election.

U.S. House, Kansas District 2 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngLynn Jenkins Incumbent 57% 167,463
     Democratic Tobias Schlingensiepen 38.7% 113,735
     Libertarian Dennis Hawver 4.3% 12,520
Total Votes 293,718
Source: Kansas Secretary of State "2012 General Election Official Vote Totals"

2010

On November 2, 2010, Lynn Jenkins won re-election to the United States House. She defeated Cheryl Hudspeth (D) and Robert Garrard (L) in the general election.[36]

U.S. House, Kansas District 2 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngLynn Jenkins incumbent 63.1% 130,034
     Democratic Cheryl Hudspeth 32.3% 66,588
     Libertarian Robert Garrard 4.5% 9,353
Total Votes 205,975

See also

External links

References

  1. Cook Political Report, "2014 HOUSE RACE RATINGS FOR June 26, 2014," accessed August 7, 2014
  2. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 House Races," accessed August 7, 2014
  3. Fairvote, "FairVote Releases Projections for the 2014 Congressional Elections," accessed August 7, 2014
  4. Anzalone-Listz Grove, "Kansas CD-2 Polling Results," accessed October 14, 2014
  5. Politico, "Lynn Jenkins and Kansas Republicans," accessed October 14, 2014
  6. Federal Election Commission, "Report for Receipts and Disbursements," accessed October 7, 2014
  7. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  8. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  9. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013 through January 3, 2014 researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  10. Kansas Secretary of State Website, "Registration & Voting," accessed January 3, 2014
  11. Kansas Redistricting Map "Map" accessed August 30, 2012
  12. 12.0 12.1 Kansas Secretary of State, "Candidates for the 2014 Primary (official)," accessed June 2, 2014
  13. KSDP, "Margie Wakefield Biography - 2nd Congressional District," accessed November 20, 2013
  14. Chris Clemmons for Kansas, "Home," accessed December 9, 2013
  15. ADN.com, "Kan. lawmaker to challenge Jenkins in primary," accessed January 25, 2014
  16. Hutchinson Kansas News, "Congressional shake up not likely," accessed July 31, 2014
  17. U.S. House, "House Resolution 676," accessed July 30, 2014
  18. Yahoo News, "Suing Obama: GOP-led House gives the go-ahead," accessed July 30, 2014
  19. Washington Post, "House clears way for lawsuit against Obama," accessed July 30, 2014
  20. Clerk of the U.S. House, "Final vote results for Roll Call 504," accessed October 31, 2013
  21. Buzzfeed, "Government Shutdown: How We Got Here," accessed October 1, 2013
  22. Clerk of the U.S. House, "Final vote results for Roll Call 504," accessed October 31, 2013
  23. The Washington Post, "Reid, McConnell propose bipartisan Senate bill to end shutdown, extend borrowing," accessed October 16, 2013
  24. U.S. House, "Final vote results for Roll Call 550," accessed October 31, 2013
  25. Emily's List, "EMILY’s List Puts Four New Women Leaders “On the List”," accessed November 20, 2013
  26. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly" accessed July 25, 2013
  27. Federal Election Commission, "July Quarterly" accessed July 25, 2013
  28. Federal Election Commission, "October Quarterly," accessed October 24, 2013
  29. Federal Election Commission, "Year End Report," accessed February 17, 2014
  30. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly," accessed April 21, 2014
  31. Federal Election Commission, "July Quarterly," accessed October 14, 2014
  32. Federal Election Commission, "October Quarterly," accessed March 3, 2014
  33. Federal Election Commission, "Year End," accessed March 3, 2014
  34. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly," accessed May 15, 2014
  35. Federal Election Commission, "July Quarterly," accessed July 14, 2014
  36. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013