Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District elections, 2012

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Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
May 22, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Brett Guthrie Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Brett Guthrie Republican Party
Brett Guthrie.jpg

Kentucky U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Kentucky.png
The 2nd Congressional District of Kentucky held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
This is the 2nd Congressional District prior to the 2010 redistricting.

Brett Guthrie was re-elected on November 6, 2012.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
February 7, 2012
May 22, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Kentucky has a closed primary system, meaning the selection of a party's candidates in a primary election is limited to registered members of that party.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by April 23. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 9.[2]

See also: Kentucky elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent is Brett Guthrie (R), who was first elected in 2008.

This was the first election using new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District is located in west central Kentucky, and includes Davies, Hancock, Breckinridge, Grayson, Butler, Warren, Edmonson, Barren, Hart, Green, Larue, Nelson, Washington, Mercer, Boyle, Garrard, Jessamine, Bulitt, Nelson, Spencer and Meade counties.[3]

Candidates

General election candidates

Democratic Party David Lynn Williams
Republican Party Brett Guthrie Green check mark transparent.png
Libertarian Party Craig Astor
Independent Andrew R. Beacham


May 22, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

Libertarian Party Libertarian Primary

Independent Independent Party

Election results

U.S. House, Kentucky District 2 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic David Lynn Williams 31.7% 89,541
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngBrett Guthrie Incumbent 64.3% 181,508
     Libertarian Craig Astor 1.7% 4,914
     Independent Andrew R. Beacham 2.2% 6,304
Total Votes 282,267
Source: Kentucky Board of Elections "2012 General Election Official Vote Totals"

Issues

Media

Guthrie had outlined his policy position on several YouTube videos. The following video, was released on September 13, 2012 and is titled "Representative Brett Guthrie on Restoring America's Economy."


Brett Guthrie, "Representative Brett Guthrie on Restoring America's Economy"[7]

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in Kentucky

In redistricting, the 2nd District was made slightly more favorable to Republicans with the additions of Butler, Mercer, Boyle and Garrard counties, as well as western Jessamine County..[8]

The 2nd District had to shrink from the more than 760,000 people it had.[8] As a result, it lost precincts in Jefferson County, as well as Republican-leaning Shelby and Taylor counties and part of Spencer County.[8] It also shed Marion County and the northern part of Ohio County.[8]

Registration statistics

As of October 24, 2012, District 2 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the Kentucky State Board of Elections:

Kentucky Congressional District 2[9]
Congressional District District Total Democrats Republicans Other & Unaffiliated Advantage Party Advantage Change in Advantage from 2010
District 2 488,923 266,296 188,993 33,634 Democratic 40.90% -13.60%
"Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only.

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Kentucky's 2nd District became more Republican because of redistricting.[10]

  • 2012: 34D / 66R
  • 2010: 35D / 65R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Kentucky's 2nd Congressional District has a PVI of R+15, which is the 44th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 62-38 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 66-34 percent over John Kerry (D).[11]

Campaign Donations

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2012 elections season. Below are Guthrie's reports.

Brett Guthrie (2012)[12] Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[13]April 14, 2012$688,675.50$205,104.81$(65,329.62)$828,450.69
July Quarterly[14]July 17, 2012$780,616.71$265,525.25$(154,444.19)$891,697.77
Running totals
$470,630.06$(219,773.81)


District history

Candidate Ballot Access
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2010

On November 2, 2010, Brett Guthrie won re-election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Ed Marksberry (D) in the general election.[15]

U.S. House, Kentucky District 2 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngBrett Guthrie Incumbent 67.9% 155,906
     Democratic Ed Marksberry 32.1% 73,749
Total Votes 229,655

See also

External links

References