Massachusetts House incumbents dominate ballot
By Caleb Palmer
In the Massachusetts House of Representatives, a state with no term limits, incumbents factor heavily on the ballot in this fall's election, according to a Ballotpedia analysis.
According to the data, states with term limits have a much higher rate of turnover than non-term limited states. Nationwide, 18 percent of seats are considered open -- where there is no incumbent running for re-election. But in states with term limits, that number jumps to 48.51 percent. In states without term limits, only 13.78 percent of seats are open.
In Massachusetts, there are 160 seats up for election. Incumbents ran for re-election in 85 percent of those seats. Of the 136 seats where an incumbent is running, 75 of them face no primary or general election challenge (67 Democrats and 8 Republicans).
With the current heavily Democratic state senate (see below), this fall's race will almost certainly see the Democrats retaining control.
|Party||As of April 2015|
According to Louis Jacobson, a political analyst with Governing magazine, the Massachusetts House of Representatives will safely remain Democratic, based on the nearly 9 to 1 current party banance.
Additionally, only 11, or 8.1%, of the incumbents in Massachusetts will face a challenge in the primary. Across the country, only 21.44% of all incumbents are facing a challenge in the primary. Furthermore, 55.1% of the incumbents in Massachusetts will face no challenge in the primary or general election. Nationally, 24.86 % of incumbents are not facing any primary or general election challenge.
Across the country, more Democrat incumbents are not running for re-election than Republicans. Additionally, more Democrats are facing primary opposition.
|Category||Democrats in Massachusetts||Republicans in Massachusetts||Democrats nationwide||Republicans nationwide|
|Incumbent seats open||19||5||TBD||TBD|
|Incumbents facing primary||11||0||TBD||TBD|
|Incumbents running unopposed in primary and general||67||8||TBD||TBD|