Michigan's 3rd Congressional District elections, 2014

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2012

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Michigan's 3rd Congressional District

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
August 5, 2014

November 4 Election Winner:
Justin Amash Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Justin Amash Republican Party
Justin Amash.jpg

Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid R[1]

Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe R[2]


Michigan U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9District 10District 11District 12District 13District 14

2014 U.S. Senate Elections

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The 3rd Congressional District of Michigan held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Cook Political Reports listed Michigan's 3rd Congressional District as a "Safe Republican" seat in 2014. Incumbent Justin Amash (R) defeated general election challengers Bob Goodrich (D) and Tonya Duncan (G).

Goodrich ran unopposed in the Democratic primary. Duncan, of the Green Party, successfully filed for candidacy and was the only third party candidate in this election. The Grand Rapids Press Editorial Board endorsed Amash as the favorite candidate due to his maturity and experience in Washington and that Goodrich ran a weaker campaign in comparison.[3] Amash maintained a financial advantage on both challenging candidates with having over $700,000 cash on hand since July.[4]

Reports from the October Quarterly showed Amash and Goodrich receiving about the same amount in contributions. Amash was able to receive most of his contributions through donations from local grassroots organizations. The majority of Goodrich's funds came from him his own personal wealth, but he stated he was not denied donations. "There are many committed and sincere candidates, and I didn't want to draw from contributors who are looking to give (to candidates in) the state race, senate race or on the statewide ticket," Goodrich said. "If I get the financial support, it comes at the expense of someone else."[5]

Although the seat is expected to remain in Republican control, Rep. Justin Amash first had to advance past a primary challenge from Brian Ellis who stated on his website that he challenged Amash because "Amash regularly votes with President Obama’s position and against conservative solutions."[6] Despite Ellis receiving some key endorsements, including former Rep. Pete Hoekstra and the Michigan Fraternal Order of Police, Amash received endorsements and financial backing from Club for Growth and FreedomWorks. The primary garnered some attention, but the polls showed Amash in a strong lead, which proved correct on election night.

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
April 22, 2014
August 5, 2014
November 4, 2014

Primary: Michigan is one of 14 states that uses an open primary system, in which registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party's primary.[7][8][9]

Voter registration: To vote in the primary, voters must have registered by June 7, 2014. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 6, 2014.[10]

See also: Michigan elections, 2014

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Justin Amash (R), who was first elected in 2010.

Michigan's 3rd Congressional District is located in the western region of the lower penninsula of Michigan and includes the city of Grand Rapids. It includes Kent, Ionia, Barry, Montcolm and Calhoun counties.[11]

Candidates

General election candidates


August 5, 2014, primary results

Republican Party Republican Primary

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Elections

General election results

The 3rd Congressional District of Michigan held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Justin Amash (R) defeated challengers Bob Goodrich (D) and Tonya Duncan (G) in the general election.

U.S. House, Michigan District 3 General Election, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJustin Amash Incumbent 57.9% 125,747
     Democratic Bob Goodrich 39% 84,713
     Green Tonya Duncan 3.1% 6,689
Total Votes 217,149
Source: Secretary of State 100% reporting Vote totals above are unofficial and will be updated once official totals are made available.

Primary results

U.S. House, Michigan District 3 Republican Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngJustin Amash Incumbent 57.4% 39,706
Brian Ellis 42.6% 29,422
Total Votes 69,128
Source: Michigan Secretary of State

Race background

The 2012 election race in Michigan's 3rd district was a close race, with Justin Amash securing victory with a 8.4 percent margin of victory. This district has become more competitive as a result of redistricting, with FairVote dropping the Republican edge from 8 percent to 6 percent.[13] Justin Amash, who spent $1,193,611, was out spent by his opponent, who spent $2,076,680, largely from extensive self-financing.[14]

Polls

Michigan's 3rd District Republican Primary
Poll Justin Amash Brian EllisMargin of ErrorSample Size
Strategic National (July 12-14, 2014)
47%24%+/-4.4500
EPIC-MRA (June 10-11, 2014)
55%35%+/-3.5814
Pratical Political Consulting (May 27-29, 2014)
42%23%+/-4.56,000
AVERAGES 48% 27.33% +/-4.13 2,438
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Media

In January 2014, the conservative Club for Growth purchased six-figures worth of radio time for an ad attacking Brian Ellis' tenure on the East Grand Rapids School Board and his position within Jennifer Granholm's administration.[15]


"Fit Right In"

Campaign contributions

Justin Amash

Justin Amash (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[16]April 15, 2013$77,843.52$124,307.31$(87,659.08)$114,491.75
July Quarterly[17]July 15, 2013$114,491.75$219,463.20$(169,535.80)$164,419.15
October Quarterly[18]October 15, 2013$164,419.15$207,884.69$(58,459.13)$313,844.71
Year-End[19]January 31, 2014$313,844.71$518,776.33$(100,743.15)$731,877.89
April Quarterly[20]April 15, 2014$731,877.89$224,593.18$(115,463.81)$841,007.26
July Quarterly[21]July 15, 2014$841,007.00$272,200.00$(311,994.00)$801,487.00
October Quarterly[22]October 15, 2014$768,967$139,633$(432,504)$476,097
Running totals
$1,706,857.71$(1,276,358.97)

Brian Ellis

Brian Ellis (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
Year-End[23]January 31, 2014$0$507,532.09$(168,577.54)$338,954.55
April Quarterly[24]April 15, 2014$338,954.55$322,109.55$(247,640.72)$413,423.38
Running totals
$829,641.64$(416,218.26)

Bob Goodrich

Bob Goodrich (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
July QuarterlyJuly 15, 2014$0.00$60,300.00$(58,862.00)$1,437.00
Running totals
$60,300$(58,862)

District history

Candidate ballot accecss
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2012

The 3rd Congressional District of Michigan held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Incumbent Justin Amash won re-election in the district.[25]

U.S. House, Michigan District 3 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Steve Pestka 44.2% 144,108
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJustin Amash Incumbent 52.6% 171,675
     Libertarian Bill Gelineau 3.2% 10,498
     Write-in Steven Butler 0% 2
Total Votes 326,283
Source: Michigan Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

2010

On November 2, 2010, Justin Amash won election to the United States House. He defeated Pat Miles (D), James Rogers (L), Ted Gerrard (U.S. Taxpayers) and Charlie Shick (G) in the general election.[26]

U.S. House, Michigan District 3 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJustin Amash 59.7% 133,714
     Democratic Pat Miles 37.5% 83,953
     Libertarian James Rogers 1.2% 2,677
     U.S. Taxpayers Ted Gerrard 1% 2,144
     Green Charlie Shick 0.7% 1,575
Total Votes 224,063

See also

External links

References

  1. Cook Political Report, "2014 HOUSE RACE RATINGS FOR JULY 26, 2014," accessed July 31, 2014
  2. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 House Races," accessed July 31, 2014
  3. MLive, "Editorial: Voters should send Amash back to Washington," October 19, 2014
  4. Federal Election Commission, "Report for Receipts and Disbursements," accessed October 6, 2014
  5. MLive, "Challenger Bob Goodrich largely self-funded as Rep. Justin Amash outperforms opponent," October 17, 2014
  6. Ellis 4 Congress, "Why I Am Running," accessed July 21, 2014
  7. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  8. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  9. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013 through January 3, 2014 researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  10. Michigan Department of State Website, "Registering to Vote: Step 2," accessed January 3, 2014
  11. Michigan Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed August 31, 2012
  12. Politico, "GOP rival announces Justin Amash primary," accessed October 8, 2013
  13. "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in Michigan," August 2014
  14. Open Secrets, "2012 Race: Michigan District 03," accessed August 2014
  15. Politico, "Club for Growth ads target Brian Ellis in Michigan," accessed January 22, 2014
  16. Federal Election Commission, "Justin Amash April Quarterly," accessed July 26, 2013
  17. Federal Election Commission, "Justin Amash July Quarterly," accessed July 26, 2013
  18. Federal Election Commission, "Justin Amash October Quarterly," accessed October 22, 2013
  19. Federal Election Commission, "Justin Amash Year-End," accessed February 10, 2014
  20. Federal Election Commission, "Justin Amash April Quarterly," accessed April 21, 2014
  21. Federal Election Commission, "July Quarterly," accessed October 20, 2014
  22. Federal Election Commission, "October Quarterly," accessed October 20, 2014
  23. Federal Election Commission, "Brian Ellis Year-End," accessed February 11, 2014
  24. Federal Election Commission, "Brian Ellis April Quarterly," accessed April 21, 2014
  25. Politico, "2012 Election Map, Michigan," accessed November 3, 2012
  26. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013