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Minnesota's 1st Congressional District elections, 2014

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2012

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Minnesota's 1st Congressional District

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
August 12, 2014

Incumbent prior to election:
Tim Walz Democratic Party
Tim Walz.jpg

Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Likely D[1]

FairVote's Monopoly Politics: Lean D[2]
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe D[3]


Minnesota U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8

2014 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Minnesota.png
The 1st Congressional District of Minnesota will hold an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014.

Minnesota's 1st is a Democratic-leaning district, and since incumbent Tim Walz ran uncontested in the Democratic primary, he should not have much trouble retaining his seat. However, a few factors have the potential to make this a more competitive race. First, with President Barack Obama being in the middle of a term, Republicans across the country are trying to take advantage of any "mid-term dissatisfaction" with his performance by associating Democrats with his more unpopular legislation, such as the Affordable Care Act, informally known as "Obamacare." One article from the Minnesota Public Radio News explains that, on years with no presidential election, voters generally choose candidates from the opposite party of the president.[4] Second, an anti-incumbent sentiment seems to be growing across the nation. In response to one woman's comment about her dissatisfaction with incumbents, Walz stated, "I'm as frustrated as she is because I have to be there. The difference is there are some of us who are getting things done."[4]

Regardless, Walz maintains a hefty lead in campaign finances, with $411,216.60 cash on hand to Aaron Miller's $43,164.48, as of the April Quarterly Federal Election Commission (FEC) reports. The Cook Political Report also rates this race as "Likely Democratic," meaning that it is not expected to get competitive.[5]

Candidate Aaron Miller was considered the frontrunner to win the Republican nomination in the primary election on August 12, 2014, but he faced a difficult contest against Jim Hagedorn. Normal Minnesota precedent is for Republican candidates to face off in the district's GOP convention, and for all but the winner to withdraw from the race in order to support the GOP-endorsed candidate in the primary. This race, however, broke the precedent. When Miller won at the 1st District's Republican convention, Hagedorn agreed to drop out, but later decided to re-enter the race in response to alleged concerns that Miller was not putting enough time and effort into the election.[6] Miller also received criticism for his comments on teaching evolution in public schools. Although Miller denied it, media sources even accused him of running for congress in order to prevent public schools from teaching evolution altogether.[7]

In an upset against the GOP endorsement, Hagedorn defeated Miller in the Republican primary on August 12, 2014.[8][9]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
June 3, 2014
August 12, 2014
November 4, 2014

Primary: Minnesota is one of 14 states that uses an open primary system, in which registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party's primary.[10][11][12]

Voter registration: To vote in the primary, voters needed to register on election day, or pre-registered by July 22, 2014. For the general election, the voter registration deadline is October 14, 2014 (21st day before Election Day).[13]

See also: Minnesota elections, 2014

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent is Tim Walz (D), who was first elected in 2006.

Minnesota's 1st Congressional District extends across southern Minnesota from the border with South Dakota to the border with Wisconsin. It includes Pipestone, Murray, Cottonwood, Rock, Nobles, Jackson, Martin, Blue Earth, Le Seur, Brown, Freeborn, Steele, Mower, Olmsted, Fillmore, Winona, Wabasha and Houston counties.[14]

Candidates

General election candidates


August 12, 2014, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary

Withdrew from race


Primary results

U.S. House, Minnesota District 1 Republican Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngJim Hagedorn 54.5% 11,832
Aaron Miller 45.5% 9,872
Total Votes 21,704
Source: 94% reporting, Results via Associated Press Vote totals above are unofficial and will be updated once official totals are made available.

Campaign contributions

Tim Walz

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Walz's reports.[19]

Tim Walz (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[20]April 15, 2013$63,236.95$100,367.00$(77,208.40)$86,395.55
July Quarterly[21]July 15, 2013$86,395.55$202,712.02$(115,229.90)$173,877.67
October Quarterly[22]October 15, 2013$173,877.67$176,648.52$(112,013.90)$238,512.29
Year-End Quarterly[23]December 31, 2013$238,512$157,838$(102,859)$293,490
April Quarterly[24]April 15, 2014$293,490.85$210,473.65$(92,747.90)$411,216.60
Running totals
$848,039.19$(500,059.1)

Aaron Miller

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Miller's reports.[25]

Aaron Miller (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
October Quarterly[26]October 14, 2013$0.00$56,127.00$(1,412.23)$54,714.77
Year-End[27]January 29, 2014$54,714.77$48,330.00$(62,050.74)$40,994.03
April Quarterly[28]April 15, 2014$40,994.03$47,550.50$(45,380.05)$43,164.48
Running totals
$152,007.5$(108,843.02)

District history

Candidate ballot accecss
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2012

On November 6, 2012, Tim Walz (D) won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Allen Quist (R) in the general election.

U.S. House, Minnesota District 1 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngTim Walz Incumbent 57.5% 193,211
     Republican Allen Quist 42.3% 142,164
     NA Write-in 0.2% 505
Total Votes 335,880
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State, "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

2010

On November 2, 2010, Tim Walz (D) won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Randy Demmer (R), Steven Wilson (I) and Lars Johnson (Party Free) in the general election.[29]

U.S. House, Minnesota District 1 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngTim Walz incumbent 49.3% 122,365
     Republican Randy Demmer 44% 109,242
     Independent Steven Wilson 5.3% 13,242
     Party Free Lars Johnson 1.2% 3,054
     N/A Write-in 0% 102
Total Votes 248,005

See also

External links

References

  1. Cook Political Report, "2014 House Race Ratings for August 8, 2014," accessed August 25, 2014
  2. FairVote's Monopoly Politics, "2014 House Projections," accessed August 25, 2014
  3. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 House Races," accessed August 25, 2014
  4. 4.0 4.1 Minnesota Public Radio News, "Rep. Walz presses re-election bid as voters sour on Congress," accessed July 1, 2014
  5. The Cook Political Report, "2014 House Race Ratings for June 26, 2014," accessed July 1, 2014
  6. Mankato Free Press, "Hagedorn re-entering 1st District race," accessed July 1, 2014
  7. Huffington Post, "GOP Candidate Wants To Get Elected To Keep His Daughter From Learning Evolution," accessed July 1, 2014
  8. Associated Press, "Minnesota - 2014 Primary Results," accessed August 12, 2014
  9. Star Tribune, "Hagedorn upsets Miller in First District GOP primary," accessed August 12, 2014
  10. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  11. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  12. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013 through January 3, 2014 researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  13. Minnesota Secretary of State Website, "How to Register," accessed January 3, 2014
  14. Minnesota Redistricting Map "Map" accessed August 30, 2012
  15. Minnesota Secretary of State, "2014 State General Election Candidate Filings," accessed June 11, 2014
  16. The State.com, "Political newcomer joins GOP 1st District race," accessed August 19, 2013
  17. 17.0 17.1 NU Journal, "Hagedorn to announce run for 1st District today," accessed September 4, 2013
  18. 18.0 18.1 Star Tribune, "GOP delegates select businessman Miller to oppose Rep. Tim Walz after 2 challengers step aside," accessed April 8, 2014
  19. Federal Election Commission, "Walz 2014 Summary reports," accessed July 18, 2013
  20. FEC, "April Quarterly, Walz 2013," accessed July 18, 2013
  21. FEC, "July Quarterly, Walz 2013," accessed July 18, 2013
  22. FEC, "October Quarterly, Walz 2013," accessed October 15, 2013
  23. FEC, "Year-End Quarterly, Walz 2013," accessed February 11, 2014
  24. FEC, "April Quarterly, Walz 2014," accessedMay 16, 2014
  25. Federal Election Commission, "Aaron Miller Summary Report," accessed April 23, 2014
  26. Federal Election Commission, "Aaron Miller October Quarterly," accessed April 23, 2014
  27. Federal Election Commission, "Aaron Miller Year-End," accessed April 23, 2014
  28. Federal Election Commission, "Aaron Miller April Quarterly," accessed April 23, 2014
  29. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013