Minnesota's 8th Congressional District elections, 2014

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2012

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Minnesota's 8th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
August 12, 2014

Incumbent prior to election:
Rick Nolan Democratic Party
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Minnesota U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8

2014 U.S. Senate Elections

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The 8th Congressional District of Minnesota will hold an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014.
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Minnesota's 8th Congressional District is a battleground district in 2014. Cook's Partisan Voting Index (PVI) rates Minnesota's 8th as a D+1, or a barely Democratic district.[1] FairVote similarly rates the district as leaning slightly (52.4%) Democratic.[2] Although Democratic incumbent Rick Nolan won in 2012 with an 8.9% margin of victory, and the district voted for Democratic President Barack Obama in 2012 with a 5.5% margin of victory, Nolan was first elected in 2012, and representatives serving their first term are often more vulnerable than those who have been in office for many years. Moreover, Minnesota's 8th district was re-drawn in 2011, which could alter the ratio of Democrats to Republicans in the district.

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
June 3, 2014
August 12, 2014
November 4, 2014

Primary: Minnesota is one of 14 states that uses an open primary system, in which registered voters do not have to be members of a party to vote in that party's primary.[3][4][5]

Voter registration: Voters must register to vote in the primary by either July 22, 2014, to pre-register, or on election day. For the general election, the voter registration deadline is October 14, 2014 (21st day before Election Day).[6]

See also: Minnesota elections, 2014

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent is Rick Nolan (D), who was first elected in 2012.

The 8th District covers the northeastern part of Minnesota. It includes Koochiching, Itasca, Hubbard, St. Louis, Cook, Lake, Carlton, Pine, Aitkin, Cass, Crow Wing, Morrison, Kanabec, Benton, Pine and Chisago counties.[7]

Candidates

Failed to file


Race background

The 2012 election race in Minnesota's 8th Congressional District was a close race, with challenger Rick Nolan securing election by a 8.9% margin of victory. The district was considered a toss-up with Fairvote indicating that as a result of redistricting, the district had gone from a even balance between Democrats and Republicans to a 2% edge in favor of the Democrats.[10] Rick Nolan was out spent by incumbent Chip Cravaack, who spent $2,385,666 compared to Nolan's $1,194,314.[11]

The district was targeted by both the National Republican Congressional Committee's Patriot Program[12] and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's "Red to Blue List."[13]

The National Republican Congressional Committee added Stewart Mills (R) to their "On the Radar" list. According to the NRCC, candidates that make this list receive "...the tools they need to run successful, winning campaigns against their Democratic opponents."[14][15]

Endorsements

Stewart Mills

Stewart Mills has received the following endorsements:

Campaign contributions

Rick Nolan

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Nolan's reports.[20]

Rick Nolan (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[21]April 26, 2013$26,207.62$120,703.67$(27,972.83)$118,938.46
July Quarterly[22]July 15, 2013$118,938.00$134,764.34$(59,126.31)$194,576.03
October Quarterly[23]October 15, 2013$194,576.49$129,472.26$(62,989.02)$261,059.73
Year-End Quarterly[24]December 31, 2013$261,059$143,147$(94,514)$298,061
April Quarterly[25]April 15, 2014$315,001.22$265,772.54$(102,557.79)$478,215.97
Running totals
$793,859.81$(347,159.95)

Stewart Mills

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Mills' reports.[26]

Stewart Mills (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
October Quarterly[27]October 15, 2013$0$243,826.30$(9,383.77)$234,442.53
Year-End[28]January 31, 2014$234,442.53$205,263.98$(133,416.76)$306,289.75
April Quarterly[29]April 15, 2014$306,289.75$211,694.14$(162,245.00)$355,738.89
Running totals
$660,784.42$(305,045.53)

Media

Stewart Mills

  • Stewart Mills released his first television ad in May 2014, discussing his history with Mills Fleet Farm and how his experience has affected his views on Obamacare.
  • In a June 2014 campaign ad, Mills' wife praises him for his community involvement, including the "Walk a Mile in Her Shoes" event to raise money for victims of domestic violence.[30]

Mills 2014 campaign ad

Mills ad featuring his wife

District history

Candidate Ballot Access
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2012

Incumbent Chip Cravaack was defeated by Democratic challenger Rick Nolan in the general election on November 6, 2012.

U.S. House, Minnesota District 8 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngRick Nolan 54.3% 191,976
     Republican Chip Cravaack Incumbent 45.4% 160,520
     NA Write-in 0.3% 1,167
Total Votes 353,663
Source: Minnesota Secretary of State, "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

2010

On November 2, 2010, Chip Cravaack (R) won election to the United States House. He defeated James L. Obestar (D), Timothy Olson (Independence) and Richard "George" Burton (Constitution) in the general election.[31]

U.S. House, Minnesota District 8 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngChip Cravaak 48.6% 133,490
     Democratic James L. Obestar 47% 129,091
     Independence Timothy Olson 4.3% 11,876
     Constitution Richard George 0% 132
Total Votes 274,589

See also

External links

References

  1. The Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index, Districts of the 113th Congress," accessed May 24, 2014
  2. FairVote, "2014 Elections in Minnesota," accessed May 24, 2014
  3. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  4. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  5. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013 through January 3, 2014 researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  6. Minnesota Secretary of State Website, "How to Register," accessed January 3, 2014
  7. Minnesota Redistricting Map "Map" accessed August 30, 2012
  8. 8.0 8.1 8.2 Minnesota Secretary of State, "2014 State General Election Candidate Filings," accessed June 11, 2014
  9. Minnesota Public Radio "Stewart Mills to run for 8th Dist. seat," accessed July 17, 2013
  10. , "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in Minnesota," March 2013
  11. Open Secrets "2012 Race: Minnesota District 08" accessed March 2013
  12. NRCC "Patriot Program 2012"
  13. DCCC, "Red to Blue 2012"
  14. Roll Call, "House Republicans Put 36 Recruits ‘On the Radar’" accessed November 21, 2013
  15. NRCC Young Guns, "List," accessed March 20, 2014
  16. Politics in Minnesota, "Stewart Mills announces GOP endorsements for CD 8 bid," accessed November 23, 2013
  17. Stewart Mills for Congress, "Stewart Mills Announces the Endorsements of 16 Minnesota State Legislators," accessed May 24, 2014
  18. Minnesota Gun Owners Political Action Committee, "Press Release: MN Gun Owners PAC endorses Stewart Mills for Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District," accessed May 24, 2014
  19. Brainerd Dispatch, "Stewart Mills endorsed for Congress by 8th District GOP," accessed May 24, 2014
  20. Federal Election Commission, "Nolan 2014 Summary reports," accessed July 18, 2013
  21. FEC, "April Quarterly," accessed July 18, 2013
  22. FEC, "July Quarterly," accessed July 18, 2013
  23. FEC, "October Quarterly," accessed October 23, 2013
  24. FEC, "Year-End Quarterly," accessed February 11, 2014
  25. FEC, "April Quarterly," accessed May 16, 2014
  26. Federal Election Commission, "Stewart Mills Summary Report," accessed April 23, 2014
  27. Federal Election Commission, "Stewart Mills October Quarterly," accessed March 19, 2014
  28. Federal Election Commission, "Stewart Mills Year-End," accessed March 19, 2014
  29. Federal Election Commission, "Stewart Mills April Quarterly," accessed April 23, 2014
  30. YouTube, "In Her Shoes," accessed June 30, 2014
  31. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013