Monica Vernon

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Monica Vernon
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Former candidate for
Lieutenant Governor of Iowa
PartyDemocratic
Elections and appointments
Last electionNovember 4, 2014
Term limitsN/A
Monica Vernon was a Democratic candidate for Iowa Lieutenant Governor in the 2014 elections.[1] Monica Vernon lost the general election on November 4, 2014.

Before entering the race for lieutenant governor, Vernon ran as a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House, to represent 1st Congressional District of Iowa. She unsuccessfully sought the party's nomination in the June 3 primary, losing to Pat Murphy.[2][3]

Elections

2014

Lieutenant Governor

See also: Iowa Lieutenant Gubernatorial election, 2014

Vernon ran for Lieutenant Governor of Iowa in 2014.[1] She and running mate Jack Hatch, the Democratic nominee for governor, took on the Republican ticket of incumbents Gov. Terry Branstad and Lt. Gov. Kim Reynolds in the general election. Also on the ballot were the Libertarian ticket of Lee Hieb and Tim Watson and two other minor party tickets.[4][5] The general election took place November 4, 2014.

Results

Governor and Lieutenant Governor of Iowa, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngTerry Branstad/Kim Reynolds Incumbent 59.1% 664,806
     Democratic Jack Hatch/Monica Vernon 37.3% 419,258
     Libertarian Lee Hieb/Tim Watson 1.8% 20,207
     New Independent Party Jim Hennager/Mary Krieg 0.9% 10,532
     Iowa Party Jonathan Narcisse/Michael Richards 0.9% 10,252
Total Votes 1,125,055
Election Results via The New York Times. Vote totals above are unofficial and reflect 100% precincts reporting.

Race background

Polls, approval ratings

Before Branstad formally launched his campaign, polls showed him in excellent standing for re-election, with an average lead of 20 percentage points in hypothetical general election match-ups.[6] Branstad had looked considerably less secure around the time ex-Democratic challenger Tyler Olson entered the race in July 2013, with only 43 percent of polled voters saying they believed the governor deserved to be re-elected and 54 percent answering that he held office long enough, even though 51 percent approved of his performance. A December 2013 poll by Quinnipiac University gave him a boost of 8 percent in both approval and "deserves to be re-elected" categories.[7][8] By mid-March 2014, polls continued to show Branstad sitting comfortably at 63 percent job approval and Hatch trailing behind by 15 points.[9]

A string of scandals inside the Branstad administration caused a steep downturn in the incumbent's job approval and trust rating among Iowa voters in spring 2014. In short order, Branstad was accused of using his office to commit or facilitate a variety of crimes and improprieties including the wrongful firing of a state trooper who nabbed the governor for speeding, crooked dealings with a state judge, abuse in an Iowa juvenile home and giving payments to fired state employees who claimed to be victims of political revenge. Amid the resulting storm of bad press directed at Branstad and his office, the governor maintained a policy of denying knowledge or involvement in these alleged transgressions. According to an April 22 Public Policy Poll for Progress Iowa, 83 percent of Iowa voters said they were either somewhat or very aware of the scandals and 56 percent indicated they were unconvinced by Branstad's official line of denial.[10] In addition, 30 percent of respondents said they thought Branstad should resign, while the rest were split almost evenly between believing he should stay and "Not sure." As of April, besides shedding voters' doubt on Branstad's honesty and integrity, the allegations cost the jobs of numerous state department leaders and prompted state lawmakers to call for an independent investigation.[10][11] Branstad closed out the month leading Hatch 45-43, according to a poll conducted on behalf of the conservative-leaning Daily Caller. The scandals did not weigh down Branstad's polling numbers, with his lead growing to 22 percent by a September poll from Loras College.[12]

Candidate withdrawals

Democratic State Rep. Tyler Olson declared his candidacy for governor in July 2013 and was considered a strong contender for the party's nomination before withdrawing from the race in December 2013.[13] He decided to drop out following the announcement of his separation from wife Sarah Olson, who had been an instrumental part of his family-oriented campaign.[14][15] Olson's withdrawal was followed soon thereafter by former state Sen. Bob Krause's announcement he was shutting down his campaign. Their absences cleared the path for remaining Democratic hopeful Jack Hatch to face Branstad in the general election. Krause immediately gave Hatch his support, while Olson declined to endorse Hatch upon dropping out of the race.[13][16]

Polls

General election
Polls in October 2014

Governor of Iowa: Branstad v. Hatch
Poll Terry Branstad* (R) Jack Hatch (D)Undecided/OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
NBC News/Marist
October 2014
58%36%6%+/-2.81,235
New York Times/CBS News/YouGov
October 16-23, 2014
50%37%13%+/-32,322
AVERAGES 54% 36.5% 9.5% +/-2.9 1,778.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Polls through September 2014

Governor of Iowa: Branstad vs. Hatch
Poll Terry Branstad* (R) Jack Hatch (D)Undecided/OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
(December 10-15, 2013)
49%33%18%+/-2.41,617
Selzer & Company/The Des Moines Register Poll
(December 8-11, 2013)
52%29%19%+/-3.8650
Quinnipiac University Poll
(March 5-10, 2014)
46%35%15%+/-2.61,411
Suffolk
(April 3-8, 2014)
42%32%24%+/-3.5800
Public Policy Poll/Progress Iowa*
(April 19-20, 2014)
43%38%19%+/-3.8677
Public Policy Poll/Progress Iowa Continued*
(April 19-20, 2014)
41%40%19%+/-3.8677
Vox Populi/Daily Caller Poll
(April 22-24, 2014)
45%43%12%+/-4.0600
Hickman Analytics Poll
(April 24-30, 2014)
50%40%10%+/-4.4500
Global Strategy Group
(May 13-15, 2014)
47%40%13%+/-4.0602
Public Policy Poll
(May 15-19, 2014)
48%40%12%+/-3.3914
Vox Populi Polling
(June 4-5, 2014)
51%40%9%+/-3.8667
Rasmussen
(June 4-5, 2014)
49%40%8%+/-4.0750
Quinnipiac University Poll
(June 12-16, 2014)
47%38%14%+/-2.71,277
NBC News/Marist Poll
(July 16, 2014)
53%38%10%+/-2.51,599
Loras College Poll
(September 2-5, 2014)
55.5%33.5%11%+/-2.821,200
AVERAGES 47.9% 37.3% 14.2% +/-3.43 929.4
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

*The April 19-20 Progress Iowa poll is displayed above as two separate polls to delineate responses registered before and after respondents were provided information on recent scandals effecting the administration of Gov. Branstad.

Hypothetical match-ups

Governor of Iowa: Branstad vs. Krause
Poll Terry Branstad* (R) Bob Olson (D)Undecided/OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
(December 10-15, 2013)
49%31%19%+/-2.41,617
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Governor of Iowa: Branstad vs. Olson
Poll Terry Branstad* (R) Tyler Olson (D)Undecided/OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
(December 10-15, 2013)
50%32%18%+/-2.41,617
Selzer & Company/The Des Moines Register Poll
(December 8-11, 2013)
51%28%21%+/-3.8650
AVERAGES 50.5% 30% 19.5% +/-3.1 1,133.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Note: An asterisk (*) denotes incumbent status.

U.S. House, Iowa District 1

See also: United States House of Representatives elections in Iowa, 2014

Vernon ran for election to the U.S. House, representing the 1st Congressional District of Iowa.[17] She was defeated by Pat Murphy in the Democratic primary on June 3, 2014.[3]

U.S. House, Iowa District 1 Democratic Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngPat Murphy 36.7% 10,189
Monica Vernon 23.6% 6,559
Swati Dandekar 18.3% 5,076
Anesa Kajtazovic 14.7% 4,067
Dave O'Brien 6.7% 1,846
Total Votes 27,737
Source: Iowa Secretary of State

Polls

General election
Poll Pat Murphy Rod BlumUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Loras College (September 2-5, 2014)
34.6%33%32.3%+/-5.6300
Polling Co. Inc.
August 11-12, 2014
40%35%25%+/-4.9401
Myers Research and Strategic Services
July 31-August 4, 2014
51%40%9%+/-4.9400
AVERAGES 41.87% 36% 22.1% +/-5.13 367
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org


Democratic primary
Poll Pat Murphy Monica VernonSwati DandekarAnesa KajtazovicDave O'BrienUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Loras College
April 8-10, 2014
30%9%9%11%6%34%+/-5.65300
David Binder Research
February 27-March 2, 2014
30%11%13%13%9%0%+/-4.9400
Myers Research
February 11-13, 2014
36%17%13%11%8%0%+/-4.9400
AVERAGES 32% 12.33% 11.67% 11.67% 7.67% 11.33% +/-5.15 366.67
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org


Republican primary
Poll Rod Blum Steve RathjeGail BoliverUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Loras College
April 10-11, 2014
17%12%2%68%+/-5.65300
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Campaign donors

2014

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Vernon's reports.[18]

Monica Vernon (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
July Quarterly[19]July 15, 2013$0.00$103,687.00$(4,344.80)$99,342.20
October Quarterly[20]October 16, 2013$99,342.20$120,712.30$(57,745.81)$162,308.69
Year-End[21]January 31, 2014$162,308$224,422$(115,824)$270,906
April Quarterly[22]April 15, 2014$270,906$194,707$(184,436)$281,177
Running totals
$643,528.3$(362,350.61)

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References

  1. 1.0 1.1 Iowa Secretary of State, "Candidate Listing by Office 2014 General Election," accessed July 24, 2014
  2. Bleeding Heartland, "IA-01: Democrat Monica Vernon is in" accessed June 5, 2013
  3. 3.0 3.1 Associated Press, "Election Results," accessed June 3, 2014
  4. The Daily Iowan, "Iowa senator announces campaign for governor," September 17, 2013
  5. 'Desmoines Register, "Register Exclusive: Bruce Braley weighs bid for governor," January 13, 2013
  6. The Des Moines-Register, "Iowa Poll: Iowans widely approve of state's direction, Branstad's performance," December 16, 2013
  7. Quinnipiac University, Iowa Voters Like Gov. Branstad, But Say It's Time To Go, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Possible 2014 Challengers Are Largely Unknown, July 19, 2013
  8. Quinnipiac University Poll, "December 17, 2013 - Iowa Gov's Approval, Re-election Prospects Improve, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Christie Tops Clinton By 5 Points In 2016 Race," December 17, 2013
  9. Des Moines Register, "Iowa Poll: Support for Branstad up; Hatch sees little progress," March 8, 2014
  10. 10.0 10.1 Progress Iowa, "NEW POLL: Branstad Approval Rating Plummets After Scandals," April 22, 2014
  11. The Des Moines Register, "Branstad fires state director over secret settlement scandal," April 8, 2014
  12. Daily Caller, "Iowa Governor Poll," April 22-24, 2014
  13. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named withdrew
  14. Tyler Olson for Governor 2014, "Homepage," accessed July 11, 2013
  15. The Des Moines-Register, "Iowa Poll: Iowans widely approve of state's direction, Branstad's performance," December 16, 2013
  16. The Des Moines-Register, "Krause ends bid for governor, endorses fellow Democrat Hatch," January 2, 2013
  17. Bleeding Heartland, "IA-01: Democrat Monica Vernon is in" accessed June 5, 2013
  18. Federal Election Commission, "Monica Vernon 2014 Summary reports," accessed November 6, 2013
  19. Federal Election Commission, "July Quarterly" accessed July 30, 2013
  20. Federal Election Commission, "October Quarterly," accessed November 6, 2013
  21. Federal Election Commission, "Year End Report," accessed March 3, 2014
  22. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly," accessed May 12, 2014