New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District elections, 2014

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2012

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New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
September 9, 2014

Incumbent prior to election:
Carol Shea-Porter Democratic Party
Carol Shea Porter.jpg

New Hampshire U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2

2014 U.S. Senate Elections

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The 1st Congressional District of New Hampshire will hold an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014.
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New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District is a battleground district in 2014. Both The Cook Political Report and FairVote rate the district as closely matched between Democratic and Republican voters. Cook's Partisan Voter Index (PVI) rates the district as R+1, or barely Republican, and FairVote rates the district as a toss up.[1][2] Democratic incumbent Carol Shea-Porter was first elected in 2006, but lost to Frank Guinta in 2010 and regained her seat again in the 2012 election, where she defeated Guinta by a 3.8 percent margin of victory. The 1st District also voted Democratic in the 2012 presidential elections, but President Barack Obama won by only 1.6 percent.

As of two weeks prior to the candidate filing deadline, Guinta had an advantage over Republican primary challenger Dan Innis in polls and fundraising. Guinta also has great name recognition, as he was the district's representative from 2011 to 2013. Nonetheless, Innis may yet close the gap. He has earned a high-profile endorsement from the Gay & Lesbian Victory Fund and is gaining media attention for being one of three openly gay Republicans running for Congress in 2014.[3]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
June 13, 2014
September 9, 2014
November 4, 2014

Primary: New Hampshire is one of 21 states with a mixed primary system. Unaffiliated voters may vote in the primary, but in order to do so, they have to choose a party before voting. This changes their status from unaffiliated to affiliated with that party, unless they fill out a card to return to undeclared status.[4]

Voter registration: Voters must register to vote in the primary by either August 30, 2014, if registering with a town clerk, or on election day. For the general election, the voter registration deadline is October 25, 2014 (10 days before election).[5]

See also: New Hampshire elections, 2014

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent is Carol Shea-Porter (D), who was first elected in 2012.

New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District is located in the eastern portion of the state.[6]

Candidates

Failed to file


Race background

Incumbent Carol Shea-Porter (D) is a member of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's Frontline Program. The program is designed to help protect vulnerable Democratic incumbents heading into the 2014 election.[12]

Endorsements

Carol Shea-Porter

Carol Shea-Porter has received the following endorsements:

Dan Innis

Dan Innis has received the following endorsements:

Frank Guinta

Frank Guinta has received the following endorsements:

  • New Hampshire Union Leader for Congress in New Hampshire's 1st District[22]
  • The Eagle Tribune[23]
  • Rep. Paul Ryan[24]
  • Sen. Kelly Ayotte[24]
  • Former Sen. Scott Brown[25]
  • Over 300 activists, elected officials, party chairs, town and community officials, listed in the following press releases:

Polls

General election polls

Frank Guinta vs. Carol Shea-Porter
Poll Frank Guinta Carol Shea-PorterOtherDon’t know/undecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
University of New Hampshire Survey Center (June 19-July 1, 2014)
46%43%2%10%+/-6.0263
University of New Hampshire Survey Center (April 1-9, 2014)
35%44%0%21%+/-6.1199
AVERAGES 40.5% 43.5% 1% 15.5% +/-6.05 231
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org


Dan Innis vs. Carol Shea-Porter
Poll Dan Innis Carol Shea-PorterOtherDon’t know/undecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
University of New Hampshire Survey Center (June 19-July 1, 2014)
38%45%1%16%+/-6.0263
University of New Hampshire Survey Center (April 1-9, 2014)
29%45%0%25%+/-6.1199
AVERAGES 33.5% 45% 0.5% 20.5% +/-6.05 231
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Campaign contributions

Carol Shea-Porter

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Shea-Porter's reports.[38]

Carol Shea-Porter (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[39]April 15, 2013$24,944.53$86,057.21$(40,138.20)$70,863.54
July Quarterly[40]July 15, 2013$70,863.54$103,973.46$(34,793.15)$140,043.85
October Quarterly[41]October 14, 2013$140,968.85$183,491.97$(43,459.87)$281,000.95
Year-End Quarterly[42]December 31, 2013$281,000$156,890$(78,896)$357,389
April Quarterly[43]April 15, 2014$357,389.15$201,335.60$(44,826.80)$513,897.95
Running totals
$731,748.24$(242,114.02)

Dan Innis

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Innis' reports.[44]

Dan Innis (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
Year-End[45]January 31, 2014$0.00$106,394.93$(75,353.39)$31,041.54
April Quarterly[46]April 15, 2014$31,041.54$61,442.00$(35,813.73)$56,669.81
Running totals
$167,836.93$(111,167.12)

Frank Guinta

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Guinta's reports.[47]

Frank Guinta (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[48]April 15, 2013$34,444.63$460.25$(34,757.27)$147.61
July Quarterly[49]July 15, 2013$147.61$2,442.57$(2,177.57)$412.61
October Quarterly[50]October 15, 2013$412.61$1,655.00$(1,301.16)$766.45
Year-End[51]January 31, 2014$766.45$166,945.00$(39,568.04)$128,143.41
April Quarterly[52]April 15, 2014$128,143.41$154,506.11$(62,741.85)$219,907.67
Running totals
$326,008.93$(140,545.89)

**As of the 2013 Year-End Report, Guinta's committee owed $289,575.00 in outstanding loans to Frank Guinta.


Media

Dan Innis


Innis announces his candidacy.[53]

Frank Guinta


Frank Guinta campaign ad

District history

Candidate Ballot Access
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2012

On November 6, 2012, Carol Shea-Porter (D) won election to the United States House. She defeated Frank Guinta (R) and Brendan Kelly (L) in the general election.

U.S. House, New Hampshire District 1 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Frank Guinta Incumbent 46% 158,659
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngCarol Shea-Porter 49.8% 171,650
     Libertarian Brandan Kelly 4.2% 14,521
Total Votes 344,830
Source: New Hampshire Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

2010

On November 2, 2010, Frank Guinta won election to the United States House. He defeated Carol Shea-Porter (D) and Philip Hodson (L) in the general election.[54]

U.S. House, New Hampshire District 1 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngFrank C. Guinta 54% 121,655
     Democratic Carol Shea-Porter incumbent 42.4% 95,503
     Libertarian Philip Hodson 3.5% 7,966
Total Votes 225,124

See also

External links

References

  1. The Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index, Districts of the 113th Congress," accessed May 28, 2014
  2. FairVote, "2014 Elections in New Hampshire," accessed May 28, 2014
  3. Newsmax, "Gay Republicans Competing in Three Congressional Races," accessed May 28, 2014
  4. New Hampshire Secretary of State Website, "How to Register to Vote in New Hampshire," accessed January 3, 2014
  5. New Hampshire Secretary of State Website, "How to Register to Vote in New Hampshire," accessed January 3, 2014
  6. New Hampshire Redistricting Map "Map" accessed September 25, 2012
  7. 7.0 7.1 7.2 New Hampshire Secretary of State, "2014 Filing Period," accessed June 23, 2014
  8. Seacoast Online, "UNH dean may make bid for Congress," accessed July 25, 2013
  9. The Green Papers, "NH #01," accessed September 24, 2013
  10. Portsmouth Patch, "Frank Guinta Announces Congressional Run on YouTube," accessed March 20, 2014
  11. WMUR.com, "State Rep. Pam Tucker is considering a run for Congress against Shea-Porter," accessed September 6, 2013
  12. Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, "DCCC Chairman Steve Israel Announces 2013-2014 Frontline Members," accessed March 5, 2013
  13. SNAP PAC, "SNAP PAC Endorses Representative Carol Shea-Porter and Lee Rogers," accessed May 27, 2014
  14. EMILY's List, "Carol Shea-Porter," accessed May 27, 2014
  15. 15.0 15.1 Portsmouth Patch, "Doug and Stella Scamman Endorse Dan Innis," accessed May 27, 2014
  16. The Gay & Lesbian Victory Fund, "Dan Innis," accessed May 27, 2014
  17. The Washington Post, "LGBT group to back two gay Republicans for Congress," accessed May 27, 2014
  18. Portsmouth Patch, "Jim Waddell Endorses Dan Innis," accessed May 27, 2014
  19. Portsmouth Patch, "Senator John Reagan Endorses Dan Innis," accessed May 27, 2014
  20. Portsmouth Patch, "Ruth Griffin Endorses Dan Innis," accessed May 27, 2014
  21. Portsmouth Patch, "Dan Innis Releases List of 21 Endorsements," accessed May 27, 2014
  22. Frank Guinta for Congress, "New Hampshire Union Leader Endorses Frank Guinta for Congress," accessed May 27, 2014
  23. Frank Guinta for Congress, "Eagle Tribune endorses Guinta for Congress in NH-01," accessed May 27, 2014
  24. 24.0 24.1 WMUR, "Paul Ryan to visit N.H. for Guinta," accessed May 27, 2014
  25. The Hill, "Scott Brown headlining fundraiser for Guinta in New Hampshire," accessed May 27, 2014
  26. Frank Guinta for Congress, "Guinta Begins March of Endorsements," accessed May 27, 2014
  27. Frank Guinta for Congress, "Guinta Continues March of Endorsements," accessed May 27, 2014
  28. Frank Guinta for Congress, "Granite Staters Flocking to Guinta's Candidacy," accessed May 27, 2014
  29. Frank Guinta for Congress, "Granite Staters Continue to Coalesce Around Team Guinta," accessed May 27, 2014
  30. Frank Guinta for Congress, "Grassroot Support Continues to Grow for Team Guinta," accessed May 27, 2014
  31. Frank Guinta for Congress, "Team Guinta Marches into April," accessed May 27, 2014
  32. Frank Guinta for Congress, "Team Guinta Locks Down More Grassroots Support," accessed May 27, 2014
  33. Frank Guinta for Congress, "Granite Staters Continue to Unite Behind Team Guinta!," accessed May 27, 2014
  34. Frank Guinta for Congress, "April Ends Where March Began," accessed May 27, 2014
  35. Frank Guinta for Congress, "10 Straight Weeks and Counting!," accessed May 27, 2014
  36. Frank Guinta for Congress, "11th Straight Week of Endorsements for Team Guinta!," accessed May 27, 2014
  37. Frank Guinta for Congress, "Milestone Reached for Team Guinta," accessed May 27, 2014
  38. Federal Election Commission, "Shea-Porter 2014 Summary reports," accessed July 22, 2013
  39. FEC, "April Quarterly," accessed July 22, 2013
  40. FEC, "July Quarterly," accessed July 22, 2013
  41. FEC, "October Quarterly," accessed October 25, 2013
  42. FEC, "Year-End Quarterly," accessed February 12, 2014
  43. FEC, "April Quarterly," accessed May 16, 2014
  44. Federal Election Commission, "Dan Innis Summary Report," accessed April 30, 2014
  45. Federal Election Commission, "Dan Innis Year-End," accessed March 20, 2014
  46. Federal Election Commission, "Dan Innis April Quarterly," accessed April 30, 2014
  47. Federal Election Commission, "Frank Guinta Summary Report," accessed April 30, 2014
  48. Federal Election Commission, "Frank Guinta April Quarterly," accessed March 20, 2014
  49. Federal Election Commission, "Frank Guinta July Quarterly," accessed March 20, 2014
  50. Federal Election Commission, "Frank Guinta October Quarterly," accessed March 20, 2014
  51. Federal Election Commission, "Frank Guinta Year-End," accessed March 20, 2014
  52. Federal Election Commission, "Frank Guinta April Quarterly," accessed April 30, 2014
  53. YouTube, "Dan Innis Announcement," accessed May 28, 2014
  54. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013