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New Jersey's 2nd Congressional District elections, 2012

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New Jersey's 2nd Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
June 5, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Frank LoBiondo Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Frank LoBiondo Republican Party
Frank LoBiondo.jpg

New Jersey U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9District 10District 11District 12

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of New Jersey.png
The 2nd Congressional District of New Jersey held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Incumbent Frank LoBiondo won the election.[1]
This was the congressional map approved by the 2011 redistricting committee. The 2nd District was the orange district covering the southern part of the state.
Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
April 2, 2012
June 5, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: New Jersey had a mostly closed primary system, in which registered Republicans and Democrats could only vote in their own party's primary, but voters who have never voted in a primary before could choose either party.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by March 11, 2012. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 16, 2012.[2]

See also: New Jersey elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Frank LoBiondo (R), who was first elected to the House in 1994.

This was the first election using new district maps based on 2010 Census data. New Jersey's 2nd Congressional District was located in the southern portion of the state and included the counties of Salem, Cumberland, Cape May, and Atlantic, and portions of Gloucester, Camden, Burlington, and Ocean counties.[3]

Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals will be added when official election results are certified. For more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan, click here. If you find any errors in this list, please email: Geoff Pallay.

General election candidates

Democratic Party Cassandra Shober
Republican Party Frank LoBiondo Green check mark transparent.png
Libertarian Party John Ordille
Independent David Bowen Sr.
Independent Charles Lukens
Independent Frank Faralli Jr.


June 5, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic primary

Republican Party Republican primary

Independent Third Party

Libertarian Party Libertarian Party

Election results

General Election

U.S. House, New Jersey District 2 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Cassandra Shober 40.3% 116,462
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngFrank LoBiondo Incumbent 57.7% 166,677
     Libertarian John Ordille 0.9% 2,699
     Independent David Bowen Sr. 0.3% 1,010
     Independent Charles Lukens 0.5% 1,329
     Independent Frank Faralli Jr. 0.3% 892
Total Votes 289,069
Source: New Jersey Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Democratic Primary

New Jersey's 2nd Congressional District Democratic Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngCassandra Shober 64.9% 9,810
Viola Hughes 26.3% 3,971
Gary Stein 8.8% 1,327
Total Votes 15,108

Republican Primary

New Jersey's 2nd Congressional District Republican Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngFrank LoBiondo Incumbent 87.6% 20,551
Michael Assad 12.4% 2,914
Total Votes 23,465

Race background

Analysts said that while the 2nd was fairly balanced between Democrats and Republicans, incumbent Frank LoBiondo was unlikely to lose. John Weingart, associate director of the Eagleton Institute for Politics at Rutgers University, posited that a Democrat would likely win if LoBiondo wasn't running.[8]

Republican primary

Michael Assad, 24-year-old Absecon school board member, was challenging incumbent Frank LoBiondo.[9] LoBiondo had the advantage of general approval of his performance, as well as a huge financial advantage over Assad.[8]

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in New Jersey

New Jersey lost a congressional seat following the results of the 2010 Census, bringing its number of representatives down to 12. A new map was approved on December 23, 2011.

The 2nd District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district was composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[10][11]

Registration statistics

As of October 25, 2012, District 2 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the New Jersey Secretary of State:

New Jersey Congressional District 2[12]
Congressional District District Total Democrats Republicans Other & Unaffiliated Advantage Party Advantage Change in Advantage from 2010
District 2 459,790 125,197 116,528 218,065 Democratic 7.44% -4.76%
"Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only.

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. New Jersey's 2nd District became slightly more republican because of redistricting.[13]

  • 2012: 50D / 50R
  • 2010: 51D / 49R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measured each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. New Jersey's 2nd Congressional District had an even PVI, which was the 239th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by Barack Obama (D), 54-46 percent over John McCain (R). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 51-49 percent over John Kerry (D).[14]

Campaign donors

Cassandra Shober

Cassandra Shober Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
Pre-primary[15]May 24$0.00$17,044.00$(8,159.00)$8,885.00
July Quarterly[16]July 15$8,885.00$16,371.99$(16,429.92)$8,827.07
Running totals
$33,415.99$(24,588.92)

Frank LoBiondo

Frank LoBiondo Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[17]April 15$709,260.23$63,803.32$(76,737.68)$696,325.87
Pre-primary[18]May 24$696,325.87$120,392.24$(73,456.73)$743,261.38
July Quarterly[19]July 15$743,261.38$153,610.23$(53,761.34)$843,110.27
Running totals
$337,805.79$(203,955.75)

District history

Candidate Ballot Access
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Find detailed information on ballot access requirements in all 50 states and Washington D.C.

2010

On November 2, 2010, Frank LoBiondo was re-elected to the United States House for a ninth term. He defeated Gary Stein (D), Peter F. Boyce (Constitution), Mark Lovett (marklovett.us), and Vitov Valdes-Munoz (American Labor).[20]

United States House, New Jersey General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngFrank LoBiondo Incumbent 65.5% 109,460
     Democratic Gary Stein 30.9% 51,690
     Constitution Peter F. Boyce 2.5% 4,120
     marklovett.us Mark Lovett 0.7% 1,123
     American Labor Vitov Valdes-Munoz 0.4% 727
Total Votes 167,120

See also

References

  1. Politico, "2012 House Race Results," accessed November 6, 2012
  2. New Jersey Department of State "Voter Registration Information," accessed June 30, 2012
  3. New Jersey Redistricting Map "Map" Accessed September 25, 2012
  4. The Press of Atlantic City "Gary Stein set to challenge Rep. Frank LoBiondo; but he doesn't expect to win," December 19, 2011
  5. 5.0 5.1 NJ.gov "U.S. Senate Primary Candidates," accessed April 2, 2012
  6. Press of Atlantic City "Absecon man announces challenge of LoBiondo for New Jersey House seat," accessed December 22, 2011
  7. 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.3 NJ.gov "Candidate List" accessed September 19, 2012
  8. 8.0 8.1 New Jersey Spotlight "U.S. Congressional Race: District 2," May 23, 2012
  9. Gloucester County Times "Candidates in Second Congressional District primaries discuss economy, taxes," May 25, 2012
  10. Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer "New Jersey's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"
  11. Labels & Lists "VoterMapping software voter counts"
  12. New Jersey Secretary of State, "Congressional Voter Registration Statistics," May 22, 2012
  13. FairVote "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in New Jersey," September 2012
  14. Cook Political Report "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" Accessed October 2012
  15. Federal Election Commission, "Pre-primary," Accessed September 26, 2012
  16. Federal Election Commission, "July Quarterly," Accessed September 26, 2012
  17. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly," Accessed September 26, 2012
  18. Federal Election Commission, "Pre-primary" Accessed September 26, 2012
  19. Election Commission "July Quarterly" Accessed September 26, 2012
  20. U.S. Congress House Clerk "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010"