New Jersey's 4th Congressional District elections, 2012

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New Jersey's 4th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
June 5, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Chris Smith (New Jersey) Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Chris Smith (New Jersey) Republican Party
Chris Smith.jpg

New Jersey U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9District 10District 11District 12

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of New Jersey.png
The 4th Congressional District of New Jersey held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Incumbent Chris Smith won the election.[1]
This was the congressional map approved by the 2011 redistricting committee. The 4th District was the purple district in the middle part of the state.
Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
April 2, 2012
June 5, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: New Jersey had a mostly closed primary system, in which registered Republicans and Democrats could only vote in their own party's primary, but voters who had never voted in a primary before could choose either party.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by March 11, 2012. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 16, 2012.[2]

See also: New Jersey elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election was incumbent Chris Smith (R), who was first elected to the House in 1980.

This was the first election using new district maps based on 2010 Census data. New Jersey's 4th Congressional District was located in the central portion of the state and included most of Monmouth County and parts of Mercer and Ocean counties.[3]

Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals will be added when official election results are certified. For more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan, click here. If you find any errors in this list, please email: Geoff Pallay.

General election candidates

Democratic Party Brian Froelich
Republican Party Chris Smith Green check mark transparent.png
Independent Leonard Marshall


June 5, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic primary

Note: Doug DeMeo withdrew before the primary[5]

Republican Party Republican primary

IndependentThird Party'

Election results

General Election

U.S. House, New Jersey District 4 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Brian Froelich 35.3% 107,991
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngChris Smith Incumbent 63.7% 195,145
     Independent Leonard Marshall 1% 3,111
Total Votes 306,247
Source: New Jersey Secretary of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Republican Primary

New Jersey's 4th Congressional District Republican Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngChris Smith Incumbent 83.6% 21,520
Terrance McGowan 16.4% 4,209
Total Votes 25,729

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in New Jersey

New Jersey lost a congressional seat following the results of the 2010 Census, bringing its number of representatives down to 12. A new map was approved on December 23, 2011. The new 4th District was even more strongly Republican than it was before.[7]

The 4th District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district was composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[8][9]

Registration statistics

As of October 25, 2012, District 4 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the New Jersey Secretary of State:

New Jersey Congressional District 4[10]
Congressional District District Total Democrats Republicans Other & Unaffiliated Advantage Party Advantage Change in Advantage from 2010
District 4 469,972 107,756 119,949 240,267 Republican 11.32% 8.42%
"Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only.

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. New Jersey's 4th District became more Republican because of redistricting.[11]

  • 2012: 42D / 58R
  • 2010: 44D / 56R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measured each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. New Jersey's 4th Congressional District had a PVI of R+7, which was the 147th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 54-46 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 57-43 percent over John Kerry (D).[12]

Campaign donors

Brian Froelich

Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
Pre-primary[13]May 30$0.00$18,336.50$(5,952.38)$12,386.50
July Quarterly[14]July 15$12,386.50$4,179.25$(5,531.90)$11,213.85
Running totals
$22,515.75$(11,484.28)

Chris Smith

Chris Smith Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[15]April 15$180,101.03$115,525.09$(38,086.45)$257,539.67
Pre-Primary[16]May 24$257,539.67$7,133.09$(18,482.35)$246,190.41
July Quarterly[17]July 15$246,190.41$112,534.82$(51,936.92)$306,788.31
Running totals
$235,193$(108,505.72)

Race background

Incumbent Chris Smith had represented New Jersey's strongly Republican 4th District since 1980. Former Navy seal Terrence McGowan challenged Smith in the primary. McGowan said he was dissatisfied with the representation from Smith, who he alleges lives full-time in Virginia. However, Smith's campaign responded that he lives in Robbinsville, which is the eastern part of the 4th District.[18][7]

District history

Candidate Ballot Access
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2010

On November 2, 2010, Chris Smith was re-elected to the United States House for a sixteenth term. He defeated Howard Kleinhendler (D), Joe Siano (Libertarian), Steven Welzer (Green), and David R. Meiswinkle (American Renaissance Movement).[19]

United States House, New Jersey General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngChris Smith Incumbent 69.4% 129,752
     Democratic Howard Kleinhendler 27.9% 52,118
     Libertarian Joe Siano 1.6% 2,912
     Green Steven Welzer 0.8% 1,574
     American Renaissance Movement David R. Meiswinkle 0.3% 582
Total Votes 186,938

See also

References

  1. Politico, "2012 House Race Results," accessed November 6, 2012
  2. New Jersey Department of State, "Voter Registration Information," accessed June 30, 2012
  3. New Jersey Redistricting Map, "Map" accessed September 25, 2012
  4. 4.0 4.1 NJ.gov "U.S. Senate Primary Candidates," accessed April 2, 2012
  5. The Times of Trenton "Opinion: U.S. economy would benefit from air quality improvements," September 13, 2011
  6. Nj.gov "Candidate List" accessed September 19, 2012
  7. 7.0 7.1 NJSpotlight, "U.S. Congressional Race: District 4," May 22, 2012
  8. Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer, "New Jersey's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"
  9. Labels & Lists, "VoterMapping software voter counts"
  10. New Jersey Secretary of State, "Congressional Voter Registration Statistics," May 22, 2012
  11. FairVote, "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in New Jersey," September 2012
  12. Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" accessed October 2012
  13. Federal Election Commission, "Pre-primary," accessed September 27, 2012
  14. Federal Election Commission, "July Quarterly," accessed September 27, 2012
  15. Federal Election Commission, "April Quarterly," accessed September 27, 2012
  16. Federal Election Commission, "Pre-primary," accessed September 27, 2012
  17. Federal Election Commission, "July Quarterly," accessed September 27, 2012
  18. Email with Smith campaign, July 26, 2012
  19. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010"