North Carolina's 10th Congressional District elections, 2012

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North Carolina's 10th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
May 8, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Patrick T. McHenry Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Patrick T. McHenry Republican Party
Patrick T. McHenry.jpg

North Carolina U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9District 10District 11District 12District 13

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of North Carolina.png
The 10th Congressional District of North Carolina held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
This is the 10th Congressional District prior to the 2011 redistricting.

Incumbent Patrick T. McHenry (R) won re-election to the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6th, 2012.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
February 29, 2012
May 8, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: North Carolina has a closed primary system, meaning only registered members of a particular party may vote in that party's primary.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by April 13. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 12.[2]

See also: North Carolina elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Patrick McHenry (R), who was first elected to the House in 2004. He won re-election on November 6, 2012.

This was the first election using new district maps based on 2010 Census data. North Carolina's 10th Congressional District was located in the southern portion of the state and included Rutherford, Murke, Cleveland, Lincoln, Gaston, Catawba, Iredell, Caldwell, Avery, and Mitchell counties.[3]

Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals were added after official election results had been certified. For more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan, click here. If you find any errors in this list, please email: Geoff Pallay.

General election candidates

Democratic Party Patricia Keever
Republican Party Patrick McHenryGreen check mark transparent.png


May 8, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic Primary

Republican Party Republican Primary


Election results

General Election

U.S. House, North Carolina District 10 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Patricia Keever 43% 144,023
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngPatrick McHenry Incumbent 57% 190,826
Total Votes 334,849
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Democratic Primary

U.S. House of Representatives-North Carolina, District 10 Democratic Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngPatsy Keever 57.9% 36,791
Terry Michelle Bellamy 26.5% 16,865
Timothy Murphy 15.6% 9,908
Total Votes 63,564

Republican Primary

U.S. House of Representatives-North Carolina, District 1 Republican Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngPatrick McHenry 72.5% 58,844
Ken H. Fortenberry 19.6% 15,936
Don Peterson 7.8% 6,337
Total Votes 81,117

Race background

The Washington Post listed the House of Representatives elections in North Carolina in 2012 as one of the states that could have determined whether Democrats retook the House or Republicans held their majority in 2013.[9] North Carolina was rated 8th on the list.[9]

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in North Carolina

Following the 2010 Census results, North Carolina did not gain or lose any congressional seats, maintaining its 13 representatives. Under the new map, the 10th District lost some Republican counties and included much of the liberal city of Asheville, but the district as a whole was still solidly Republican.[10]

Registration statistics

As of May 11, 2012, District 10 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the North Carolina Board of Elections:

North Carolina Congressional District 10[11]
Congressional District District Total Democrats Republicans Other & Unaffiliated Advantage Party Advantage Change in Advantage from 2010
District 10 487,558 185,172 172,812 129,574 Democratic 7.15% 25.84%
"Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only.

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. North Carolina's 10th District became less Republican because of redistricting.[12]

  • 2012: 39D / 61R
  • 2010: 33D / 67R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. North Carolina's 10th Congressional District has a PVI of R+11, which is the 101st most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 58-42 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 61-39 percent over John Kerry (D).[13]

Campaign contributions

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2012 elections season. Below are candidate reports.

Patrick McHenry

Patrick McHenry (2012) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[14]April 15, 2012$256,817.23$196,256.8$(105,082.28)$347,991.75
July Quarterly[15]July 15, 2012$323,727.47$141,020$(167,684.35)$297,063.12
Running totals
$337,276.8$(272,766.63)

Patricia Keever

Patricia Keever (2012) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[16]April 15, 2012$0.00$112,778.75$(72,198.12)$40,580.63
July Quarterly[17]July 15, 2012$29,479.59$67,147.84$(68,506.96)$28,120.47
Running totals
$179,926.59$(140,705.08)

District history

Candidate ballot accecss
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2010

See also

References

  1. Politico, "2012 Election Map, North Carolina"
  2. North Carolina State Board of Elections, "Registering to Vote in North Carolina," accessed July 26, 2012
  3. North Carolina Redistricting Map, "Map" accessed August 24, 2012
  4. Carolina Politics "Asheville Mayor Bellamy to run in newly drawn NC-10," accessed December 26, 2011
  5. Timothy Murphy Campaign Site, accessed December 26, 2011
  6. Asheville Citizen-Times "Asheville's Keever announces bid for Congress" accessed January 27, 2012
  7. Hickory Daily Record "Hudson man announces run for U.S. House," accessed December 26, 2011
  8. Gaston Gazette "Congressional candidate to challenge McHenry for U.S. House seat" accessed February 1, 2012
  9. 9.0 9.1 Washington Post, "The 10 states that will determine control of the House in 2012" accessed April 25, 2012
  10. Roll Call, "Race Ratings: GOP looks for major gains in North Carolina," accessed December 26, 2011
  11. North Carolina State Board of Elections, "US Congressional Districts by County and Precinct," May 11, 2012
  12. "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in North Carolina," September 2012
  13. Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" accessed October 2012
  14. Federal Election Commission, "Patrick McHenry April Quarterly," accessed August 20, 2012
  15. Federal Election Commission, "Patrick McHenry July Quarterly," accessed August 20, 2012
  16. Federal Election Commission, "Patricia Keever April Quarterly," accessed August 20, 2012
  17. Federal Election Commission, "Patricia Keever July Quarterly," accessed August 20, 2012