North Carolina's 11th Congressional District elections, 2012

From Ballotpedia
Jump to: navigation, search
2014



CongressLogo.png

North Carolina's 11th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
May 8, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Mark Meadows Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Heath Shuler Democratic Party
Heath Shuler.jpg

North Carolina U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9District 10District 11District 12District 13

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of North Carolina.png
The 11th Congressional District of North Carolina held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
This is the 11th Congressional District prior to the 2011 redistricting.

Mark Meadows (R) won election to the U.S. House of Represention November 6th, 2012, defeating Hayden Rogers (D) 57% to 43%.[1] Rogers was the chief of staff to the outgoing Heath Shuler (D). This switched partisan control of the district.

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
February 29, 2012
May 8, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: North Carolina has a closed primary system, meaning only registered members of a particular party may vote in that party's primary.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by April 13. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 12.[2]

See also: North Carolina elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Heath Shuler (D), who was first elected to the House in 2006. In February 2012, however, Shuler announced he would not be running for re-election in 2012.[3]

This was the first election using new district maps based on 2010 Census data. North Carolina's 11th Congressional District was located in the western portion of the state and included Yancey, McDowell, Rutherford, Polk, Henderson, Buncombe, Madison, Haywood, Jackson, Transylvania, Swain, Macon, Clay, Graham, Cherokee counties.[4]

Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals will be added when official election results are certified. For more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan, click here. If you find any errors in this list, please email: Geoff Pallay.

General election candidates

Democratic Party Hayden Rogers
Republican Party Mark MeadowsGreen check mark transparent.png


July 17, 2012 Republican primary runoff candidates


May 8, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic primary

Republican Party Republican primary

Note: Dan Eichenbaum appeared on initial lists but ultimately withdrew prior to the primary.[13]


Election results

General Election

U.S. House, North Carolina District 11 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Hayden Rogers 42.6% 141,107
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngMark Meadows 57.4% 190,319
Total Votes 331,426
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Republican Primary

U.S. House of Representatives-North Carolina, District 11 Republican Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngMark Meadows 37.8% 35,733
Vance Patterson 23.6% 22,306
Jeff Hunt 14.1% 13,353
Ethan Wingfield 11.3% 10,697
Susan Harris 6.2% 5,825
Kenny West 4.2% 3,970
Spence Campbell 1.9% 1,799
Chris Petrella 0.8% 778
Total Votes 94,461

Democrat Primary

U.S. House of Representatives-North Carolina, District 11 Democratic Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngHayden Rogers 55.7% 35,518
Cecil Bothwell 30.1% 19,161
Tom Hill 14.2% 9,049
Total Votes 63,728

Race background

North Carolina's 11th was considered to be Leaning Republican according to the New York Times race ratings. After Democratic incumbent Heath Shuler's retirement, his former chief of staff, Hayden Rogers, struggled to keep the district in Democratic hands. He was challenged by Mark Meadows (R) in a redrawn district that was more conservative than before.[14]

The Washington Post listed the House of Representatives elections in North Carolina in 2012 as one of the states that could have determined whether Democrats retook the House or Republicans held their majority in 2013.[15] North Carolina was rated 8th on the list.[15]

North Carolina's 11th District was included in the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's "Red to Blue List," which identifies districts that the organization has specifically targeted to flip from Republican to Democratic control.[16]

Republican challenger Mark Meadows has been included in the National Republican Congressional Committee's Young Guns program. The program highlights challengers who represent the GOP's best chances to pick up congressional seats in the general election.[17]

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in North Carolina

Following the 2010 Census results, North Carolina did not gain or lose any congressional seats, maintaining its 13 representatives. Under the new map, the 11th District lost a significant portion of its Democratic territory, and became a swing district for 2012.[8]

Registration statistics

As of May 11, 2012, District 11 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the North Carolina Board of Elections:

North Carolina Congressional District 11[18]
Congressional District District Total Democrats Republicans Other & Unaffiliated Advantage Party Advantage Change in Advantage from 2010
District 11 511,513 177,436 190,030 144,047 Republican 7.10% 27.93%
"Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only.

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. North Carolina's 11th District became more Republican because of redistricting.[19]

  • 2012: 38D / 62R
  • 2010: 44D / 56R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. North Carolina's 11th Congressional District has a PVI of R+12, which is the 85th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 59-41 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 63-37 percent over John Kerry (D).[20]

Campaign contributions

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2012 elections season. Below are candidate reports.

Mark Meadows

Mark Meadows (2012) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[21]April 15, 2012$78,984.20$58,895.61$(141,380.32)$196,499.49
Running totals
$58,895.61$(141,380.32)

Hayden Rogers

Hayden Rogers (2012) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[22]April 15, 2012$0.00$301,489.90$(18,102.67)$283,387.23
July Quarterly[23]July 15, 2012$246,748.82$176,177.90$(230,658.65)$192,268.07
Running totals
$477,667.8$(248,761.32)

District history

Candidate Ballot Access
Ballot Access Requirements Final.jpg

Find detailed information on ballot access requirements in all 50 states and Washington D.C.

See also

References

  1. Politico, "2012 Election Map, North Carolina"
  2. North Carolina State Board of Elections "Registering to Vote in North Carolina," accessed July 26, 2012
  3. Washington Post, "North Carolina Democratic Rep. Heath Shuler to retire" Accessed February 25, 2012
  4. North Carolina Redistricting Map "Map" Accessed August 24, 2012
  5. Roll Call "Former Shuler Chief of Staff mounts congressional bid" accessed February 25, 2012
  6. Mountain XPress "Asheville Council member Cecil Bothwell announces run as Democrat against Rep. Shuler," accessed December 26, 2011
  7. Asheville Citizen Times "Hill running for Congress in 11th District" accessed February 25, 2012
  8. 8.0 8.1 8.2 Roll Call, "Race Ratings: GOP looks for major gains in North Carolina," accessed December 26, 2011
  9. 9.0 9.1 BlueRidgeNow.com "Two more candidates throw hat in ring for Shuler's seat," accessed December 26, 2011
  10. Hendersonville Times-News "Two more candidates throw hat in ring for Shuler's seat" accessed February 1,2012
  11. Morganton News Herald "List grows for Congressional seat" accessed February 25, 2012
  12. Mountain Xpress "Susan Harris files for U.S. Congress in 11th District" accessed April 27, 2012
  13. Black Mountain News "Eichenbaum drops out of 11th Congressional Republican primary" accessed April 28, 2012
  14. New York Times "House Race Ratings," accessed August 10, 2012
  15. 15.0 15.1 Washington Post, "The 10 states that will determine control of the House in 2012" Accessed April 25, 2012
  16. DCCC, "Red to Blue 2012"
  17. NRCC "Young Guns 2012"
  18. North Carolina State Board of Elections, "US Congressional Districts by County and Precinct," May 11, 2012
  19. "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in North Carolina," September 2012
  20. Cook Political Report "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" Accessed October 2012
  21. Federal Election Commission, "Mark Meadows April Quarterly," accessed August 20, 2012
  22. Federal Election Commission, "Hayden Rogers April Quarterly," accessed August 20, 2012
  23. Federal Election Commission, "Hayden Rogers July Quarterly," accessed August 20, 2012