North Carolina's 12th Congressional District elections, 2014

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2012

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North Carolina's 12th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 4, 2014

Primary Date
May 6, 2014

Incumbent prior to election:
Vacant
Race Ratings
Cook Political Report: Solid D[1]

FairVote's Monopoly Politics: Safe D[2]
Sabato's Crystal Ball: Safe D[3]


North Carolina U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9District 10District 11District 12District 13

2014 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of North Carolina.png
The 12th Congressional District of North Carolina will hold an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014.

In Congress, incumbents tend to have an advantage when running for re-election.[4] Consequently, vacant seats are often highly contested. However, North Carolina's 12th District leans heavily Democratic, so although incumbent Melvin Watt (D) resigned and left his seat vacant, Republicans are not likely to win the seat for their party. Watt defeated Republican challenger Jack Brosch in 2012 by a huge 59.2 percent margin of victory, showing that Democratic voters constituted a large percentage of the voting population.[5] Moreover, 2014 Democratic candidate Alma Adams has a financial advantage over her Republican counterpart, Vince Coakley. As of the Pre-Primary FEC reports, Adams had raised $386,323.18 to Coakley's $60,021.65. Likewise, The Cook Political Report rates Watt's vacant seat as "Solid Democratic."[6]

In the May 6 primary election, Coakley had only one competitor for the Republican nomination, whom he easily defeated. In contrast, Adams faced a six other Democratic candidates, though she defeated all of them by a safe margin of victory.[7] Adams is currently a member of the North Carolina House of Representatives.[8]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
February 28, 2014
May 6, 2014
November 4, 2014

Primary: North Carolina is one of 21 states with a mixed primary system. Parties decide who may vote, and they opened the primary election to unaffiliated voters. They may choose which ballot they want to vote on without affecting their unaffiliated status.[9]

Voter registration: To vote in the primary, voters had to register by April 11, 2014. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 10, 2014 (25 days before the day the election).[10]

See also: North Carolina elections, 2014

Incumbent: Melvin Watt (D), who was first elected in 1992, resigned from his seat in January 2014 to take a position in the Obama administration.[11]

North Carolina's 12th Congressional District is located in the west-central portion of the state and includes Mecklenburg, Cabbarus, Rowan, Davidson, Forsyth and Guilford counties.[12]

Candidates

General election candidates


May 6, 2014, primary results

Republican Party Republican Primary

Democratic Party Democratic Primary


Election results

Primary results

U.S. House, North Carolina District 12 Republican Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngVince Coakley 78% 8,652
Leon Threatt 22% 2,439
Total Votes 11,091
Source: Results via the North Carolina State Board of Elections
U.S. House, North Carolina District 12 Democratic Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngAlma Adams 44% 15,235
Malcolm Graham 23.6% 8,180
George Battle 12.5% 4,342
Marcus Brandon 8.2% 2,856
James "Smuggie" Mitchell 5.1% 1,775
Curtis Osborne 5% 1,733
Rajive Patel 1.4% 502
Total Votes 34,623
Source: Results via the North Carolina State Board of Elections

Endorsements

Vince Coakley

Vince Coakley has received the following endorsements:

  • Liberty Conservatives[14]

Issues

Government shutdown

See also: United States budget debate, 2013

Nay3.png On September 30, 2013, the House passed a final stopgap spending bill before the shutdown went into effect. The bill included a one-year delay of the Affordable Care Act's individual mandate and would have also stripped the bill of federal subsidies for congressional members and staff. It passed through the House with a vote of 228-201.[15] At 1 a.m. on October 1, 2013, one hour after the shutdown officially began, the House voted to move forward with going to a conference. In short order, Sen. Harry Reid rejected the call to conference.[16] Melvin Watt voted against the stopgap spending bill that would have delayed the individual mandate.[17]

Yea3.png The shutdown ended on October 16, 2013, when the House took a vote on HR 2775 after it was approved by the Senate. The bill to reopen the government lifted the $16.7 trillion debt limit and funded the government through January 15, 2014. Federal employees also received retroactive pay for the shutdown period. The only concession made by Senate Democrats was to require income verification for Obamacare subsidies.[18] The House passed the legislation shortly after the Senate, by a vote of 285-144, with all 144 votes against the legislation coming from Republican members. Melvin Watt voted for HR 2775.[19]

Polls

Democratic primary polls

Democratic primary candidates
Poll Alma Adams Malcolm GrahamGeorge BattleJames MitchellMarcus BrandonCurtis OsborneRajive PatelUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Hamilton Campaigns
February 28-March 4, 2014
26%19%9%9%4%3%1%29%+/-4.4500
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Campaign contributions

Vince Coakley

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Coakley's reports.[20]

Vince Coakley (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[21]April 15, 2014$0.00$55,581.65$(19,826.84)$35,754.81
Pre-Primary[22]April 24, 2014$35,754.81$4,440.00$(15,596.27)$24,598.54
Running totals
$60,021.65$(35,423.11)

Alma Adams

Candidates for Congress are required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2014 elections season. Below are Adams' reports.[23]

Alma Adams (2014) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
October Quarterly[24]April 15, 2014$0.00$89,493.07$(20,350.09)$69,142.98
Year-End[25]April 15, 2014$69,142.98$112,658.41$(89,463.73)$92,337.66
April Quarterly[26]April 15, 2014$92,337.66$150,953.48$(128,303.61)$114,987.53
Pre-Primary[27]April 24, 2014$114,987.53$33,218.22$(92,352.86)$55,852.89
Running totals
$386,323.18$(330,470.29)

District history

Candidate ballot accecss
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2012

The 12th Congressional District of North Carolina held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012, in which incumbent Melvin Watt (D) won re-election. He defeated Jack Brosch (R) in the general election.[28]

U.S. House, North Carolina District 12 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMelvin L. Watt Incumbent 79.6% 247,591
     Republican Jack Brosch 20.4% 63,317
Total Votes 310,908
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

2010

On November 2, 2010, Melvin L. Watt won re-election to the United States House. He defeated Greg Dority (R) and Lon Cecil (Libertarian) in the general election.[29]

U.S. House, North Carolina District 12 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngMelvin L. Watt incumbent 63.9% 103,495
     Republican Greg Dority 34.1% 55,315
     Libertarian Lon Cecil 2% 3,197
Total Votes 162,007

See also

External links

References

  1. Cook Political Report, "2014 House Race Ratings for August 8, 2014," accessed August 25, 2014
  2. FairVote's Monopoly Politics, "2014 House Projections," accessed August 25, 2014
  3. Sabato's Crystal Ball, "2014 House Races," accessed August 25, 2014
  4. Open Secrets, "Incumbent Advantage," accessed July 14, 2014
  5. North Carolina State Board of Elections, "2012 General Election Results," accessed July 14, 2014
  6. The Cook Political Report, "2014 House Race Ratings for June 26, 2014," accessed July 14, 2014
  7. Associated Press, "North Carolina - Summary Vote Results," accessed July 14, 2014
  8. North Carolina General Assembly, "Representative Alma Adams (Dem)," accessed July 14, 2014
  9. NC Election Connection, "Who Can Vote in Which Elections?," accessed January 3, 2014
  10. North Carolina Center for Voter Education, "Register to Vote in North Carolina," accessed January 3, 2014
  11. Charlotte Observer, "Mel Watt to resign from Congress Jan. 6," accessed May 19, 2014
  12. North Carolina Redistricting Map, "Map," accessed August 24, 2012
  13. 13.0 13.1 North Carolina State Board of Elections, "Candidate Filing List," accessed March 18, 2014
  14. Liberty Conservatives, "Liberty Conservatives Interview and Endorsement of Vince Coakley," accessed August 27, 2014
  15. Clerk of the U.S. House, "Final vote results for Roll Call 504," accessed October 31, 2013
  16. Buzzfeed, "Government Shutdown: How We Got Here," accessed October 1, 2013
  17. Clerk of the U.S. House, "Final vote results for Roll Call 504," accessed October 31, 2013
  18. The Washington Post, "Reid, McConnell propose bipartisan Senate bill to end shutdown, extend borrowing," accessed October 16, 2013
  19. U.S. House, "Final vote results for Roll Call 550," accessed October 31, 2013
  20. Federal Election Commission, "Vince Coakley Summary Report," accessed May 16, 2014
  21. Federal Election Commission, "Vince Coakley April Quarterly," accessed May 16, 2014
  22. Federal Election Commission, "Vince Coakley Pre-Primary," accessed May 16, 2014
  23. Federal Election Commission, "Alma Adams Summary Report," accessed May 16, 2014
  24. Federal Election Commission, "Alma Adams October Quarterly," accessed May 16, 2014
  25. Federal Election Commission, "Alma Adams Year-End," accessed May 16, 2014
  26. Federal Election Commission, "Alma Adams April Quarterly," accessed May 16, 2014
  27. Federal Election Commission, "Alma Adams Pre-Primary," accessed May 16, 2014
  28. Politico, "2012 Election Map, North Carolina," accessed November 7, 2012
  29. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013