North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District elections, 2012

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North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
May 8, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Renee Ellmers Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Renee Ellmers Republican Party
Renee Ellmers.jpg

North Carolina U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9District 10District 11District 12District 13

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of North Carolina.png
The 2nd Congressional District of North Carolina held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012.
This is the 2nd Congressional District prior to the 2011 redistricting.

Incumbent Renee Ellmers (R) won re-election to the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6th, 2012.[1]

Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
February 29, 2012
May 8, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: North Carolina has a closed primary system, meaning only registered members of a particular party may vote in that party's primary.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by April 13. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 12.[2]

See also: North Carolina elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Renee Ellmers (R), who was first elected to the House in 2010. She won re-election on November 6, 2012.

This was the first election using new district maps based on 2010 Census data. North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District was located in the central portion of the state and included Vance, Franklin, Nash, Johnston, Harnett, Sampson, Harnett, Lee, and Chatham counties.[3]

In 2011 redistricting, The Hill published a list of the Top Ten House Members who were helped by redistricting.[4] Renee Ellmers ranked 2nd on the list.[4]

Candidates

Note: Election results were added on election night as races were called. Vote totals were added after official election results had been certified. For more information about Ballotpedia's election coverage plan, click here. If you find any errors in this list, please email: Geoff Pallay.

General election candidates

Democratic Party Steve Wilkins
Republican Party Renee EllmersGreen check mark transparent.png
Libertarian Party Brian Irving


May 8, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic primary

Republican Party Republican primary

Libertarian Party Libertarian Candidate

  • Note: Jim Bibbs initially declared but did not appear on the primary ballot:[10]

Election results

General Election

U.S. House, North Carolina District 2 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Steve Wilkins 41.4% 128,973
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRenee Ellmers Incumbent 55.9% 174,066
     Libertarian Brian Irving 2.7% 8,358
Total Votes 311,397
Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Democratic Primary

U.S. House of Representatives-North Carolina, District 2 Democratic Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngSteve Wilkins 54.4% 24,327
Toni Morris 45.6% 20,431
Total Votes 44,758

Republican Primary

U.S. House of Representatives-North Carolina, District 2 Republican Primary, 2012
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngRenee Ellmers Incumbent 56% 37,661
Sonya Holmes 9.7% 6,535
Clement F. Munno 4.4% 2,982
Richard Speer 29.9% 20,099
Total Votes 67,277

Race background

The Washington Post listed the House of Representatives elections in North Carolina in 2012 as one of the states that could have determined whether Democrats retook the House or Republicans held their majority in 2013.[11] North Carolina was rated 8th on the list.[11]

Campaign contributions

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2012 elections season. Below are candidate reports.

Renee Ellmers

Renee Ellmers (2012) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[12]April 15, 2012$328,116.48$122,502.62$(133,792.89)$316,826.21
Pre-primary[13]April 26, 2012$316,826.21$33,586.1$(70,196.44)$280,215.87
July Quarterly[14]July 15, 2012$280,215.87$148,031.02$(217,442.43)$210,804.46
October Quarterly[15]October 15$210,804.46$157,829.09$(164,421.98)$204,211.57
Running totals
$461,948.83$(585,853.74)


Steve Wilkins

Steve Wilkins(2012) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[16]April 15, 2012$0.00$5,373.98$(4,270.55)$1,103.43
Pre-primary[17]April 23, 2012$1,103.43$3,264.80$(1,835.74)$2,532.49
July Quarterly[18]July 15, 2012$2,532.49$13,549.00$(9,758.51)$6,322.98
October Quarterly[19]October 15, 2012$6,322.00$41,984.68$(25,512.97)$22,793.71
Running totals
$64,172.46$(41,377.77)

Impact of redistricting

See also: Redistricting in North Carolina

Following the 2010 Census results, North Carolina did not gain or lose any congressional seats, maintaining its 13 representatives. Under the new map, the 2nd District was more heavily Republican than it was in 2010, when Republican Renee Ellmers defeated Democratic incumbent Bob Etheridge.[20]

In redistricting, The Hill published a list of the Top Ten House Members who were helped by redistricting.[4] Ellmers ranked 2nd on the list.[4] According to the article, after 2001 redistricting by Democrats attempted to make the district more Democratic-leaning, the 2011 redistricting by Republicans took the district from a slightly Republican-leaning district to one that’s more solidly Republican.[4]

Registration statistics

As of May 11, 2012, District 2 had the following partisan registration breakdown according to the North Carolina Board of Elections:

North Carolina Congressional District 2[21]
Congressional District District Total Democrats Republicans Other & Unaffiliated Advantage Party Advantage Change in Advantage from 2010
District 2 453,968 166,167 162,729 125,072 Democratic 2.11% -79.20%
"Party advantage" is the percentage gap between the two major parties in registered voters. "Change in advantage" is the spread in difference of party advantage between 2010 and 2012 based on the congressional district number only.

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. North Carolina's 2nd District became more Republican because of redistricting.[22]

  • 2012: 40D / 60R
  • 2010: 49D / 51R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. North Carolina's 2nd Congressional District has a PVI of R+11, which is the 98th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 56-44 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 63-37 percent over John Kerry (D).[23]

District history

Candidate ballot accecss
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2010

On November 2, 2010, Renee Ellmers was elected to the United States House. She defeated Bob Etheridge (D) and Tom Rose (Libertarian).[24]

United States House, North Carolina General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRenee Ellmers 49.5% 93,876
     Democratic Bob Etheridge 48.7% 92,393
     Libertarian Tom Rose 1.8% 3,505
Total Votes 189,774

See also

References

  1. Politico, "2012 Election Map, North Carolina," accessed November 7, 2012
  2. North Carolina State Board of Elections, "Registering to Vote in North Carolina," accessed July 26, 2012
  3. North Carolina Redistricting Map, "Map" accessed August 24, 2012
  4. 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 The Hill, "House members most helped by redistricting," accessed April 17, 2012
  5. Opensecrets.org "North Carolina" accessed February 6, 2012
  6. wbtv.com "NC candidate filings for federal, statewide races" accessed March 2, 2012
  7. Fayetteville Observer" Renee Ellmers gets another opponent in U.S. congressional race" accessed February 25, 2012
  8. Fayetteville Observer" Renee Ellmers gets another opponent in U.S. congressional race" accessed February 25, 2012
  9. wral.com "NC GOP candidates seek Ellmers, Myrick seats" accessed February 25, 2012
  10. NBC17 "Republican challenger joins race for District 4" "Democrat Jim Bibbs dropping out of 2nd District congressional election" accessed April 27, 2012
  11. 11.0 11.1 Washington Post, "The 10 states that will determine control of the House in 2012," accessed April 25, 2012
  12. Federal Election Commission, "Renee Ellmers April Quarterly," accessed August 12, 2012
  13. Federal Election Commission, "Renee Ellmers Pre-primary," accessed October 18, 2012
  14. Federal Election Commission, "Renee Ellmers July Quarterly," accessed August 12, 2012
  15. Federal Election Commission, "Renee Ellmers October Quarterly," accessed October 18, 2012
  16. Federal Election Commission, "Steve Wilkins April Quarterly," accessed August 12, 2012
  17. Federal Election Commission, "Steve Wilkins Pre-primary," accessed October 18, 2012
  18. Federal Election Commission, "Steve Wilkins July Quarterly," accessed August 12, 2012
  19. Federal Election Commission, "Steve Wilkins October Quarterly," accessed October 18, 2012
  20. Roll Call, "Race Ratings: GOP looks for major gains in North Carolina," accessed December 26, 2011
  21. North Carolina State Board of Elections, "US Congressional Districts by County and Precinct," May 11, 2012
  22. "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in North Carolina," September 2012
  23. Cook Political Report, "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" accessed October 2012
  24. U.S. Congress House Clerk, "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010," accessed March 28, 2013