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Ohio Gubernatorial and Lieutenant Gubernatorial election, 2014

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2010

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Ohio Gubernatorial Election

Primary Date
May 6, 2014

General Election Date:
November 4, 2014

Incumbent prior to election:
John Kasich Republican Party
John R Kasich.jpg

Ohio State Executive Elections
Top Ballot
Governor Lieutenant GovernorSecretary of StateAttorney General
Down Ballot
Treasurer, Auditor

Flag of Ohio.png
The Ohio Gubernatorial and Lieutenant Gubernatorial election will take place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Gov. John Kasich (R) is running for re-election.[1] Incumbent Lt. Gov. Mary Taylor (R) is eligible to seek re-election. The winners of the election will serve a 4-year term in office.

Ohio is one of 21 states with a mixed primary system. Only affiliated voters can vote for candidates in the primary election; however, voters do not choose their affiliation until election day, when they request a party's ballot.[2]

Candidates

Lost in primary

Disqualified

  • Green Party Suzanne Patzer - Information technology supervisor at Columbus State Community College

Declined to run or withdrew

Key deadlines

Deadline Event
February 5 Filing deadline
May 6 Primary election
November 4 General election

Primary results

Governor/Lt. Governor of Ohio - Democratic Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngEd FitzGerald/Sharen Neuhardt 83.2% 362,781
Larry Ealy/Ken Gray 16.8% 73,346
Total Votes 436,127
Election Results Via:WBNS-10TV Election Results. Vote totals above are unofficial and reflect 100% precincts reporting.


Race background

See also: Ballot access requirements for political candidates in Ohio#2013

Kasich has stated his intention to seek a second term as governor in 2014.[17]

U.S. Rep. Tim Ryan had been considered a strong potential Democratic candidate for the 2014 Ohio gubernatorial election, but ultimately opted against entering the race in March of 2013. He decided that challenging incumbent Gov. John Kasich (R) was not worth forfeiting his seat in the U.S. House, particularly in light of his reappointment to the influential Appropriations Committee in the 113th Congress.[18] [19][20]

Incumbent Republican John Kasich appeared to be vulnerable in late 2013, as it looked like he would face a primary challenge from the right and a general election made difficult by an full slate of Ohio Libertarian Party candidates. These challenges faded in early 2014, as Kasich faced no primary challengers and the Libertarian gubernatorial candidate was disqualified. Though he still faces two opponents, Democratic Cuyahoga County Executive Ed FitzGerald and Green Party candidate Anita Rios, polling in May 2014 showed Kasich with improved ratings and a growing lead.[21]


Signature controversies

Libertarian Party

The Libertarian Party of Ohio had intended to file a full slate of candidates to contest each election. All of these candidates failed to make it on to the ballot because the Ohio Secretary of State threw out enough signatures to disqualify them.[22]

On March 7, the Libertarian gubernatorial ticket was stricken from the ballot, having initially gotten the Secretary of State's approval, after a legal challenge from an apparent Libertarian voter.[23] The challenge alleged that Charlie Earl's signature-gathering effort had been led by Democrats but Ohio Secretary of State Jon Husted struck Charlie Earl from the ballot on a technicality instead of accepting this reasoning. He found that some of the signature gatherers had failed to properly identify their employer on the correct form and therefore threw out the signatures they had gathered.[24] The legal challenge may affect more than this one candidacy: according to Ballot Access News, "With no gubernatorial candidate on the November ballot, the party will lose its status as a qualified party," which could have consequences in future elections.[25] The Libertarian Party of Ohio failed to win an injunction against this disqualification twice at the district court and, after a similarly unsuccessful appeal to the Sixth Circuit, petitioned the Supreme Court for emergency relief that would have allowed Charlie Earl to appear on the May 6 primary ballot. The Supreme Court declined to hear the case.[26]On May 2, The Supreme Court rejected the petition.[27] On June 4, a petition for re-hearing before the full Sixth Circuit was rejected, leaving an appeal to the district court as the only possible source of redress.[28][29]

This is one of several complications arsing from the new ballot access rules. The rules set vote thresholds that no third parties had met. They would effectively eliminate third parties from the May primary ballots. As it stands, only two Green Party and two Libertarian candidates will be in the general and all four were emergency write-in candidates, not their parties' original choices, who qualified for the general election by receivingenough write-in votes in the primary. Additionally, with no candidate for governor, the Libertarian Party of Ohio will cease to exist as a political party as it cannot achieve the 2% of votes necessary to retain its status.[26]

Green Party

Both of the Green Party's candidates were disqualified for similar, signature-related issues. Two alternative candidates filed to run as write-ins on the Green Party line: Anita Rios and Bob Fitrakis for Governor and Lieutenant Governor, respectively. To get on the November ballot, Rios and Fitrakis need to receive 500 write-in votes in the primary on May 6. They succeeded and will contest the general election.[30]

Ballot access lawsuits

In late 2013, Ohio passed two laws that allegedly restrict minor parties' participation in the 2014 elections. The Libertarian Party of Ohio filed lawsuits against both laws, the outcomes of which could alter the candidate landscape of this race.[31]

Tea Party primary challenge

Ted Stevenot, an Ohio Tea Party leader, had planned to announce a primary challenge to incumbent Governor Kasich.[32] In early January 2014, however, Stevenot and his running mate, Brenda Mack, decided not to challenge Kasich.[33] In his prepared statement, Stevenot said that his running mate's financial history, which had been the subject of recent critical news coverage, was not part of his consideration to withdraw.[34]

Key deadlines

Deadline Event
February 5 Filing deadline
May 6 Primary election
November 4 General election

Polls

Ohio Governor's Race 2014 - Kasich vs. Fitzgerald
Poll John Kasich Ed FitzgeraldOtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
February 12-17, 2014
43%38%19%+/-2.71,370
Magellan Strategies for the Liberty Foundation of America
April 14-15, 2014
47%41%12%+/-3.35857
SurveyUSA
April 24-28, 2014
46%36%18%+/-4618
Rasmussen Reports
May 7-8, 2014
45%38%17%+/-4.0750
Quinnipiac
May 7-12, 2014
50%35%14%+/-2.91,174
AVERAGES 46.2% 37.6% 16% +/-3.39 953.8
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org
Ohio Governor's Race 2014
Poll John Kasich Ed FitzgeraldCharlie EarlNot sureMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling
(November 5-6, 2013)
41%41%6%13%+/-4.0595
Public Policy Polling
(December 6-8, 2013)
40%38%6%16%+/-3.11,011
AVERAGES 40.5% 39.5% 6% 14.5% +/-3.55 803
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org


Potential match-ups

Ohio Governor's Race 2014 - Kasich vs. Fitzgerald
Poll John Kasich Ed FitzgeraldOtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
(June 18-23, 2013)
47%33%20%+/-3.2941
Public Policy Polling
(August 16-19, 2013)
35%38%27%+/-4.2551
Quinnipiac University Poll
(November 19-24, 2013)
44%37%19%+/-2.71,361
AVERAGES 42% 36% 22% +/-3.37 951
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org
Ohio Governor's Race 2014 - Kasich vs. Cordray
Poll John Kasich Richard CordrayOtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
(June 18-23, 2013)
47%36%18%+/-3.2941
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org

Money in the race

Mid-year campaign financial reports detailing the first six months of the year were due on July 31, 2013. Incumbent Kasich reported about $4.4 million on hand at the end of June, raising nearly $2.6 million in the first half of the year. Challenger Ed FitzGerald brought in over $600,000, leaving him with $544,000 on hand.[35]

See also

External links

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References

  1. Columbus Dispatch, "Kasich focused on his own re-election bid," November 8, 2012
  2. Ohio Secretary of State Website, "Frequently Asked Questions about General Voting and Voter Registration," accessed January 3, 2014
  3. Columbus Dispatch, "Kasich focused on his own re-election bid," November 8, 2012
  4. The Plain Dealer, "Cuyahoga County Executive Ed FitzGerald files paperwork needed to intensify gubernatorial run (video)," March 11, 2013
  5. The Columbus Dispatch, "Ed FitzGerald names Sharen Neuhardt as running mate," February 6, 2014
  6. The Plain Dealer, "Libertarian, Green parties post write-in candidates for primary in hopes of reaching November ballot," February 26, 2014
  7. Ohio Secretary of State, "Results," accessed May 9, 2014
  8. 8.0 8.1 Ohio Secretary of State, "SECRETARY OF STATE JON HUSTED RECEIVES STATEWIDE CANDIDATE PETITIONS FOR MAY PRIMARY," February 6, 2014
  9. Cleveland.com, "Green Party candidate Dennis Spisak plans second bid for governor," November 25, 2013
  10. Facebook, "Earl and Clark for Ohio," accessed August 29, 2013
  11. Ballot Access News, "Ohio Secretary of State Removes Libertarian Party Statewide Candidates from the Libertarian Primary Ballot," March 10, 2014
  12. 12.0 12.1 12.2 Plain Dealer, "Former Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland to pass on rematch with John Kasich," January 8, 2013
  13. VIndy.com, "Ryan decides not to run for governor," March 16, 2013
  14. The Plain Dealer, "Former Rep. Betty Sutton will not run for governor," March 22, 2013
  15. WCPO Cincinnati, "Hamilton County Commissioner Todd Portune announces bid for Ohio governor mansion," December 31, 2013
  16. The Plain Dealer, "Todd Portune ends exploration of governor's race," February 4, 2014
  17. Columbus Dispatch, "Kasich focused on his own re-election bid," November 8, 2012
  18. VIndy.com, "Ryan decides not to run for governor," March 16, 2013
  19. The Plain Dealer-Sun News, "Rep. Tim Ryan considering a run for Ohio governor," April 25, 2012
  20. Plain Dealer, "Former Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland to pass on rematch with John Kasich," January 8, 2013
  21. Quinnipiac, "Ohio Gov Roars Past Little Known Challenger, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Support For Life Options Outweighs Death Penalty," May 14, 2014
  22. The Plain Dealer, "Ed FitzGerald faces only primary among statewide candidates; Libertarians fail to field full slate," March 10, 2014
  23. Akron Beacon Journal Online, "Libertarian governor candidate challenged in Ohio," March 10, 2014
  24. The Republic, "Ohio elections chief disqualifies 2 Libertarian candidates from May primary after protests," March 10, 2014
  25. Ballot Access News, "Ohio Secretary of State Removes Libertarian Party Statewide Candidates from the Libertarian Primary Ballot," March 10, 2014
  26. 26.0 26.1 Libertarian Party of Ohio v. Jon Husted, "APPLICATION FOR STAY AND EMERGENCY INJUNCTION ADDRESSED TO JUSTICE KAGAN," accessed May 2, 2014
  27. The Republic, "Ohio Libertarians' ballot plea denied at US Supreme Court, re-filed with 2nd justice," May 2, 2014
  28. Ballot Access News, "Sixth Circuit Won’t Rehear Ohio Libertarian Party Ballot Access Case," June 4, 2014
  29. Seymour Tribune, "Legal options trimmed for Libertarian Ohio governor candidate; federal court won't rehear case," June 4, 2014
  30. Ballot Access News, "Ohio Green Party Still Has Chance to Qualify its Gubernatorial Candidate for the November Ballot," March 24, 2014
  31. The Columbus Dispatch, "Federal judge suspends Ohio law concerning who can collect petition signatures," January 3, 2014
  32. Cleveland Plain Dealer, "Tea party leader takes first step toward challenging John Kasich in GOP primary," January 6, 2014
  33. Cleveland Plain Dealer, "Tea Party primary challenge to Kasich fizzles," January 6, 2014
  34. Ohio Liberty Coalition, "Stevenot Decides Not to Run for Governor," January 6, 2014
  35. The Bellingham Herald, "Ohio gov holds $4.4M in campaign cash for 2014 bid," July 31, 2013