Ohio gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2014

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This election page was last edited at 3:38 pm October 29, 2014.

2010

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Ohio Gubernatorial Election

Primary Date
May 6, 2014

General Election Date:
November 4, 2014

Incumbent prior to election:
John Kasich Republican Party
John R Kasich.jpg

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Governor Lieutenant GovernorSecretary of StateAttorney General
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The Ohio gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial election will take place on November 4, 2014. Incumbents John Kasich (R) and Mary Taylor first won election in 2010 and are running for re-election.[1] Kasich and Taylor face Democratic candidates Ed FitzGerald and Sharen Neuhardt as well as Green Party candidates Anita Rios and Bob Fitrakis. The winners of the election will serve concurrent four-year terms in office.

Ohio is one of 21 states with a mixed primary system. Only affiliated voters can vote for candidates in the primary election; however, voters do not choose their affiliation until election day, when they request a party's ballot.[2]

Candidates

General election

Republican Party John Kasich/Mary Taylor - Incumbents[3]
Democratic Party Ed FitzGerald/Sharen Neuhardt[4][5]
Green Party Anita Rios/Bob Fitrakis[6][7]

Lost in primary

Democratic Party Larry Ealy/Ken Gray[8]

Disqualified

Green Party Dennis S. Spisak/Suzanne Patzer[9]
Libertarian Party Charlie Earl/Sherry Clark[10][11]

Declined to run or withdrew

Democratic Party Tim Ryan - U.S. House Rep. Ohio's 13th Congressional District[12][13]
Democratic Party Betty Sutton - Former 13th District House Rep.[12][14]
Democratic Party Richard Cordray - Director of the United States Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, and former attorney general, state treasurer[12]
Democratic Party Todd Portune - Hamilton County Commissioner[15][16]

Results

Primary election

Democratic primary

Governor/Lt. Governor of Ohio - Democratic Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngEd FitzGerald/Sharen Neuhardt 83.2% 362,781
Larry Ealy/Ken Gray 16.8% 73,346
Total Votes 436,127
Election Results Via:WBNS-10TV Election Results. Vote totals above are unofficial and reflect 100% precincts reporting.


Republican primary

  • Uncontested

Race background

Incumbent Republican John Kasich appeared to be vulnerable in late 2013, as it looked like he would face a primary challenge from the right and a general election made difficult by a full slate of Ohio Libertarian Party candidates. These challenges faded in early 2014, as Kasich faced no primary challengers and the Libertarian gubernatorial candidate was disqualified. Though he still faces two opponents, Democratic Cuyahoga County Executive Ed FitzGerald and Green Party candidate Anita Rios, polling in May 2014 showed Kasich with improved ratings and a growing lead.[17]

In August 2014, The Washington Post reported on a series of setbacks for FitzGerald, including poor fundraising, a long-delayed driver's license, an unusual occurrence with a foreign trade representative and a major staff turnover.[18] These events took a heavy toll on FitzGerald's poll numbers, as Kasich's lead widened from single digits to 30 percent in September, according to a Columbus Dispatch poll.[19]

Potential candidates
See also: Ballot access requirements in Ohio

U.S. Rep. Tim Ryan had been considered a strong potential Democratic candidate for the 2014 Ohio gubernatorial election, but ultimately opted against entering the race in March of 2013. He decided that challenging incumbent Gov. John Kasich (R) was not worth forfeiting his seat in the U.S. House, particularly in light of his reappointment to the influential Appropriations Committee in the 113th Congress.[20] [21][22]

Tea Party primary challenge

Ted Stevenot, an Ohio Tea Party leader, had planned to announce a primary challenge to incumbent Governor Kasich.[23] In early January 2014, however, Stevenot and his running mate, Brenda Mack, decided not to challenge Kasich.[24] In his prepared statement, Stevenot said that his running mate's financial history, which had been the subject of recent critical news coverage, was not part of his consideration to withdraw.[25]

Signature controversies
Libertarian Party

The Libertarian Party of Ohio had intended to file a full slate of candidates to contest each election. All of these candidates failed to make it on to the ballot because the Ohio Secretary of State threw out enough signatures to disqualify them.[26]

On March 7, 2014, the Libertarian gubernatorial ticket was stricken from the ballot, having initially gotten the Secretary of State's approval, after a legal challenge from a self-identified Libertarian voter.[27] The challenge alleged that Charlie Earl's signature-gathering effort had been led by Democrats but Ohio Secretary of State Jon Husted struck Charlie Earl from the ballot on a technicality instead of accepting this reasoning. He found that some of the signature gatherers had failed to properly identify their employer on the correct form and therefore threw out the signatures they had gathered.[28] The legal challenge may affect more than this one candidacy: according to Ballot Access News, "With no gubernatorial candidate on the November ballot, the party will lose its status as a qualified party," which could have consequences in future elections.[29] The Libertarian Party of Ohio failed to win an injunction against this disqualification twice at the district court level and, after a similarly unsuccessful appeal to the Sixth Circuit Court of Appeals, petitioned the U.S. Supreme Court for emergency relief that would have allowed Charlie Earl to appear on the May 6 primary ballot. The Supreme Court declined to hear the case.[30]On May 2, The Supreme Court rejected the petition.[31] On June 4, a petition for re-hearing before the full Sixth Circuit was rejected, leaving an appeal to the district court as the only possible source of redress.[32][33]

This is one of several complications arsing from new ballot access rules. The rules set vote thresholds that no third parties had met. They would effectively eliminate third parties from the May primary ballots. As it stands, only two Green Party and two Libertarian candidates will be in the general and all four were emergency write-in candidates, not their parties' original choices, who qualified for the general election by receiving enough write-in votes in the primary. Additionally, with no candidate for governor, the Libertarian Party of Ohio will cease to exist as a political party with ballot placement as it cannot achieve the 2 percent of votes necessary to retain its status.[30]

Green Party

Both of the Green Party's candidates were also disqualified for signature-related issues. Two alternative candidates filed to run as write-ins on the Green Party line: Anita Rios and Bob Fitrakis for Governor and Lieutenant Governor, respectively. To get on the November ballot, Rios and Fitrakis needed to receive 500 write-in votes in the primary on May 6. They succeeded and will contest the general election.[34]

Polls

Ohio Governor's Race 2014 - Kasich vs. Fitzgerald
Poll John Kasich Ed FitzgeraldOtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
February 12-17, 2014
43%38%19%+/-2.71,370
Magellan Strategies for the Liberty Foundation of America
April 14-15, 2014
47%41%12%+/-3.35857
SurveyUSA
April 24-28, 2014
46%36%18%+/-4618
Rasmussen Reports
May 7-8, 2014
45%38%17%+/-4.0750
Quinnipiac
May 7-12, 2014
50%35%14%+/-2.91,174
YouGov
July 7-24, 2014
49%43%8%+/-03,624
Qunnipiac
July 24-28, 2014
48%36%16%+/-2.71,366
YouGov
August 18, September 2, 2014
50%37%13%+/-3.02,978
Rasmussen Reports
September 8-9, 2014
50%30%20%+/-4.0780
Columbus Dispatch
September 3-12, 2014
59%29%10%+/-2.71,185
New York Times/CBS News/YouGov
October 16-23, 2014
54%35%11%+/-32,728
AVERAGES 49.18% 36.18% 14.36% +/-2.94 1,584.55
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Ohio Governor's Race 2014
Poll John Kasich Ed FitzgeraldCharlie EarlNot sureMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling
(November 5-6, 2013)
41%41%6%13%+/-4.0595
Public Policy Polling
(December 6-8, 2013)
40%38%6%16%+/-3.11,011
AVERAGES 40.5% 39.5% 6% 14.5% +/-3.55 803
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Potential match-ups

Ohio Governor's Race 2014 - Kasich vs. Fitzgerald
Poll John Kasich Ed FitzgeraldOtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
(June 18-23, 2013)
47%33%20%+/-3.2941
Public Policy Polling
(August 16-19, 2013)
35%38%27%+/-4.2551
Quinnipiac University Poll
(November 19-24, 2013)
44%37%19%+/-2.71,361
AVERAGES 42% 36% 22% +/-3.37 951
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Ohio Governor's Race 2014 - Kasich vs. Cordray
Poll John Kasich Richard CordrayOtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Quinnipiac University Poll
(June 18-23, 2013)
47%36%18%+/-3.2941
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Money in the race

Mid-year campaign financial reports detailing the first six months of the year were due on July 31, 2013. Incumbent Kasich reported about $4.4 million on hand at the end of June, raising nearly $2.6 million in the first half of the year. Challenger Ed FitzGerald brought in over $600,000, leaving him with $544,000 on hand.[35]

Campaign media

Ed FitzGerald


Ed FitzGerald ad: Working

John Kasich


John Kasich ad: Purpose

Past elections

2010

Governor/Lt. Governor of Ohio, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Kasich/Mary Taylor 49% 1,889,186
     Democratic Ted Strickland/Yvette McGee Brown Incumbent 47% 1,812,059
     Libertarian Ken Matesz/Margaret Ann Leech 2.4% 92,116
     Green Dennis Spisak/Anita Rios 1.5% 58,475
     Write-In David Sargent 0% 633
Total Votes 3,852,469
Election Results Via: Ohio Secretary of State

2006

Governor of Ohio, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngTed Strickland 60.5% 2,435,505
     Republican J. Kenneth Blackwell 36.6% 1,474,331
     Non-Partisan William S. Peirce 1.8% 71,437
     Non-Partisan Robert Fitrakis 1% 40,967
     Write-In James Lundeen 0% 579
     Write-In Larry Bays 0% 73
Total Votes 4,022,892
Election Results Via: Ohio Secretary of State

Key deadlines

Deadline Event
February 5, 2014 Filing deadline
May 6, 2014 Primary election
November 4, 2014 General election
November 25, 2014 Completion of state canvass of vote results

Recent news

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All stories may not be relevant to this page due to the nature of the search engine.

Ohio Gubernatorial elections News Feed

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See also

External links

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References

  1. Columbus Dispatch, "Kasich focused on his own re-election bid," November 8, 2012
  2. Ohio Secretary of State Website, "Frequently Asked Questions about General Voting and Voter Registration," accessed January 3, 2014
  3. Columbus Dispatch, "Kasich focused on his own re-election bid," November 8, 2012
  4. The Plain Dealer, "Cuyahoga County Executive Ed FitzGerald files paperwork needed to intensify gubernatorial run (video)," March 11, 2013
  5. The Columbus Dispatch, "Ed FitzGerald names Sharen Neuhardt as running mate," February 6, 2014
  6. The Plain Dealer, "Libertarian, Green parties post write-in candidates for primary in hopes of reaching November ballot," February 26, 2014
  7. Ohio Secretary of State, "Results," accessed May 9, 2014
  8. Ohio Secretary of State, "SECRETARY OF STATE JON HUSTED RECEIVES STATEWIDE CANDIDATE PETITIONS FOR MAY PRIMARY," February 6, 2014
  9. Cleveland.com, "Green Party candidate Dennis Spisak plans second bid for governor," November 25, 2013
  10. Facebook, "Earl and Clark for Ohio," accessed August 29, 2013
  11. Ballot Access News, "Ohio Secretary of State Removes Libertarian Party Statewide Candidates from the Libertarian Primary Ballot," March 10, 2014
  12. 12.0 12.1 12.2 Plain Dealer, "Former Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland to pass on rematch with John Kasich," January 8, 2013
  13. VIndy.com, "Ryan decides not to run for governor," March 16, 2013
  14. The Plain Dealer, "Former Rep. Betty Sutton will not run for governor," March 22, 2013
  15. WCPO Cincinnati, "Hamilton County Commissioner Todd Portune announces bid for Ohio governor mansion," December 31, 2013
  16. The Plain Dealer, "Todd Portune ends exploration of governor's race," February 4, 2014
  17. Quinnipiac, "Ohio Gov Roars Past Little Known Challenger, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; Support For Life Options Outweighs Death Penalty," May 14, 2014
  18. The Washington Post, "The remarkable implosion of Ed FitzGerald," August 26, 2014
  19. Columbus Dispatch, "Ohio governor: Kasich ahead by 30 points in new poll," September 14, 2014
  20. VIndy.com, "Ryan decides not to run for governor," March 16, 2013
  21. The Plain Dealer-Sun News, "Rep. Tim Ryan considering a run for Ohio governor," April 25, 2012
  22. Plain Dealer, "Former Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland to pass on rematch with John Kasich," January 8, 2013
  23. Cleveland Plain Dealer, "Tea party leader takes first step toward challenging John Kasich in GOP primary," January 6, 2014
  24. Cleveland Plain Dealer, "Tea Party primary challenge to Kasich fizzles," January 6, 2014
  25. Ohio Liberty Coalition, "Stevenot Decides Not to Run for Governor," January 6, 2014
  26. The Plain Dealer, "Ed FitzGerald faces only primary among statewide candidates; Libertarians fail to field full slate," March 10, 2014
  27. Akron Beacon Journal Online, "Libertarian governor candidate challenged in Ohio," March 10, 2014
  28. The Republic, "Ohio elections chief disqualifies 2 Libertarian candidates from May primary after protests," March 10, 2014
  29. Ballot Access News, "Ohio Secretary of State Removes Libertarian Party Statewide Candidates from the Libertarian Primary Ballot," March 10, 2014
  30. 30.0 30.1 Libertarian Party of Ohio v. Jon Husted, "APPLICATION FOR STAY AND EMERGENCY INJUNCTION ADDRESSED TO JUSTICE KAGAN," accessed May 2, 2014
  31. The Republic, "Ohio Libertarians' ballot plea denied at US Supreme Court, re-filed with 2nd justice," May 2, 2014
  32. Ballot Access News, "Sixth Circuit Won’t Rehear Ohio Libertarian Party Ballot Access Case," June 4, 2014
  33. Seymour Tribune, "Legal options trimmed for Libertarian Ohio governor candidate; federal court won't rehear case," June 4, 2014
  34. Ballot Access News, "Ohio Green Party Still Has Chance to Qualify its Gubernatorial Candidate for the November Ballot," March 24, 2014
  35. The Bellingham Herald, "Ohio gov holds $4.4M in campaign cash for 2014 bid," July 31, 2013