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Oregon gubernatorial election, 2014

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Oregon Gubernatorial Election

Primary Date:
May 20, 2014

General Election Date:
November 4, 2014

November 4 Election Winner:
John Kitzhaber Democratic Party
Incumbent prior to election:
John Kitzhaber Democratic Party
John Kitzhaber.jpg

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The Oregon gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent John Kitzhaber (D) was first elected in 2010 and was seeking re-election against state Rep. Dennis Richardson (R), Libertarian Party candidate Paul Grad, Constitution Party candidate Aaron Auer, Pacific Green Party candidate Jason Levin and Progressive Party candidate Chris Henry. Kitzhaber defeated Richardson, Grad and Auer to win a second term in office. His 5.8-point margin of victory exceeded his 1.5-point win in 2010, though Kitzhaber failed to win 50 percent of the vote in both races. Learn more about the dynamics of this election by jumping to the race background section.

The gubernatorial race was not the only race on the November ballot that could have shifted the balance of power in Oregon. The Oregon State Senate was identified by Ballotpedia as one of the top 20 legislative chambers to watch in 2014. Democrats maintained control of the governor's office and the state Senate, which kept Oregon as a state government trifecta. Learn more about the state's most competitive legislative races in 2014 on the battleground chambers page.

Oregon is one of 12 states to use a strictly closed primary process, in which the selection of a party's candidates in an election is limited to registered party members.[1][2][3]

Candidates

General election

Democratic Party John Kitzhaber - Incumbent Green check mark transparent.png
Republican Party Dennis Richardson - State Representative[4]
Libertarian Party Paul Grad
Constitution Party Aaron Auer - Pastor[5]
Green Party Jason Levin
Independent Progressive Party candidate Chris Henry

Lost in the primary

Democratic Party Ifeanyichukwu Diru[6]
Republican Party Gordon Challstrom - Businessman[7]
Republican Party Tim Carr - Former businessman[8]
Republican Party Bruce Cuff[9]
Republican Party Darren Karr[9]
Republican Party Mae Rafferty[9]

Withdrawn

Republican Party Allen Alley - Businessman, 2010 gubernatorial candidate[10][6]
Republican Party Jon Justesen - Rancher and businessman[11][9]
Republican Party Bruce Hanna - State Representative[12][9]

Results

General election

Governor of Oregon, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Kitzhaber Incumbent 49.9% 733,230
     Republican Dennis Richardson 44.1% 648,542
     Pacific Green Jason Levin 2% 29,561
     Libertarian Paul Grad 1.5% 21,903
     Constitution Aaron Auer 1.1% 15,929
     Progressive Chris Henry 0.9% 13,898
     Nonpartisan Write-in votes 0.5% 6,654
Total Votes 1,469,717
Election Results via Oregon Secretary of State.

Primary election

Republican primary

Governor of Oregon, Republican Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngDennis Richardson 65.9% 163,695
Gordon Challstrom 9.9% 24,693
Bruce Cuff 9.6% 23,912
Mae Rafferty 6.8% 16,920
Tim Carr 6% 14,847
Darren Karr 1% 2,474
Write-ins 0.8% 2,011
Total Votes 248,552
Election Results via Oregon Secretary of State.

Democratic primary

Governor of Oregon, Democratic Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Kitzhaber Incumbent 89.6% 286,654
Ifeanyichukwu Diru 8.7% 27,833
Write-ins 1.7% 5,388
Total Votes 319,875
Election Results via Oregon Secretary of State.


Race background

See also: Resignation of Oregon Governor John Kitzhaber

Incumbent John Kitzhaber previously served as Governor of Oregon from 1995 to 2003 and was running for a fourth non-consecutive term in 2014. He stressed a renewed focus on tax changes and job creation aimed at reducing inequality in his fourth term.[13][14]

Kitzhaber earned credit following his election in 2010 for increasing health coverage for Oregon residents and reducing the financial burdens of state pensions. Republican opponent Dennis Richardson and his supporters highlighted problems over the previous four years including a false start for the state's Cover Oregon health exchange that cost taxpayers $250 million.[15]

Kitzhaber also drew scrutiny for myriad revelations about potential conflicts of interest by first lady and advisor Cylvia Hayes. On October 13, Kitzhaber requested an investigation by the Oregon Government Ethics Commission into whether Hayes leveraged her role in the governor's office to improve her consulting business. Richardson jumped on the opportunity to criticize the governor over ethics concerns, calling his administration "inept and unethical" and musing rhetorically that he might have been hiding more secrets.[15] The seven-member ethics commission had no scheduled meetings prior to the November 4 general election.[16]

Polls

Governor of Oregon
Poll John Kitzhaber * (D) Dennis Richardson (R)Undecided/OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
Harper Polling
April 1-2, 2014
46%43%11%+/-3.91670
DHM Research
April 30 - May 2, 2014
48%36%16%+/-4.9400
Public Policy Polling
May 22-27, 2014
49%36%15%+/-3.2956
SurveyUSA
June 5-9, 2014
48%35%17%+/-4.2560
SurveyUSA
August 1-5, 2014
48%36%16%+/-4.2564
The New York Times/CBS/YouGov
August 18-September 2, 2014
48%42%10%+/-4.01,541
Rasmussen Reports
September 2-3, 2014
48%38%14%+/-4.0750
SurveyUSA
September 22-24, 2014
50%38%12%+/-4.2568
The New York Times/CBS/YouGov
September 20-October 1, 2014
49%42%8%+/-31,508
SurveyUSA
October 16-19, 2014
51%38%12%+/-4.2561
New York Times/CBS News/YouGov
October 16-23, 2014
48%42%11%+/-41,421
Elway Research
October 26-27, 2014
45%38%16%+/-5403
AVERAGES 48.17% 38.67% 13.17% +/-4.07 825.17
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Note: An asterisk (*) denotes incumbent status.

Campaign finance

Comprehensive donor information for this election has been collected by Follow the Money. Based on available campaign finance records, the candidates raised a raised a total of $8,263,724 during the election. This information was last updated on February 2, 2015.[17]

Campaign Contribution Totals
Candidate Office Result Contributions
John Kitzhaber Democratic Party Oregon Governor Won $5,215,821
Dennis Richardson Republican Party Oregon Governor Defeated $3,007,041
Gordon Challstrom Republican Party Oregon Governor Defeated $16,101
Bruce Cuff Republican Party Oregon Governor Defeated $15,541
Mae Rafferty Republican Party Oregon Governor Defeated $9,220
Tim Carr Republican Party Oregon Governor Defeated $0
Ifeanyichukwu Diru Democratic Party Oregon Governor Defeated $0
Darren Karr Republican Party Oregon Governor Defeated $0
Aaron Auer Constitution Party Oregon Governor Defeated $0
Paul Grad Libertarian Party Oregon Governor Defeated $0
Chris Henry Independent Oregon Governor Defeated $0
Jason Levin Green Party Oregon Governor Defeated $0
Grand Total Raised $8,263,724

Past elections

2010

On November 2, 2010, John Kitzhaber won election to the office of Governor of Oregon. He defeated Chris Dudley, Wes Wagner and Greg Kord in the general election.

Governor of Oregon, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Green check mark transparent.pngJohn Kitzhaber 49.3% 716,525
     Republican Chris Dudley 47.8% 694,287
     Constitution Greg Kord 1.4% 20,475
     Libertarian Wes Wagner 1.3% 19,048
     Miscellaneous - 0.2% 3,213
Total Votes 1,453,548
Election Results Via: Oregon Secretary of State

Voter turnout

Political scientist Michael McDonald's United States Elections Project studied voter turnout in the 2014 election by looking at the percentage of eligible voters who headed to the polls. McDonald used voting-eligible population (VEP), or the number of eligible voters independent of their current registration status, to calculate turnout rates in each state on November 4. He also incorporated ballots cast for the highest office in each state into his calculation. He estimated that 81,687,059 ballots were cast in the 50 states plus the District of Columbia, representing 35.9 percent of the VEP.[18] By comparison, 61.6 percent of VEP voted in the 2008 presidential election and 58.2 percent of VEP voted in the 2012 presidential election.[19]

Quick facts

  • According to PBS Newshour, voter turnout in the 2014 midterms was the lowest since the 1942 midterms, which took place during the nation's involvement in World War II.[20]
  • Forty-three states and the District of Columbia failed to surpass 50 percent turnout in McDonald's analysis.
  • The three states with the lowest turnout according to McDonald's analysis were Texas (28.3 percent), Tennessee (28.6 percent) and Indiana (28.8 percent).
  • Maine (58.5 percent), Wisconsin (56.5 percent) and Colorado (54.5 percent) were the three states with the highest turnout.
  • There were only 12 states that increased voter turnout in 2014 compared to the 2010 midterm elections.[21]
Voter turnout rates, 2014
State Total votes counted  % voter eligible population Top statewide office up for election Size of lead (Raw votes) Size of lead (%)
Alabama 1,191,274 33.2 Governor 320,319 27.2
Alaska 285,431 54.4 Governor 4,004 1.6
Arizona 1,537,671 34.1 Governor 143,951 12.5
Arkansas 852,642 40.1 Governor 118,664 14
California 7,513,972 30.8 Governor 1,065,748 17.8
Colorado 2,080,071 54.5 Governor 50,395 2.4
Connecticut 1,096,509 42.5 Governor 26,603 2.5
Delaware 234,038 34.4 Attorney General 31,155 13.6
District of Columbia 177,176 35.8 Mayor 27,934 19
Florida 6,026,802 43.3 Governor 66,127 1.1
Georgia 2,596,947 38.5 Governor 202,685 8
Hawaii 369,554 36.5 Governor 45,323 12.4
Idaho 445,307 39.6 Governor 65,852 14.9
Illinois 3,680,417 40.9 Governor 171,900 4.9
Indiana 1,387,622 28.8 Secretary of State 234,978 17.8
Iowa 1,142,284 50.2 Governor 245,548 21.8
Kansas 887,023 43.4 Governor 33,052 3.9
Kentucky 1,435,868 44 U.S. Senate 222,096 15.5
Louisiana 1,472,039 43.8 U.S. Senate 16,401 1.1
Maine 616,996 58.5 Governor 29,820 4.9
Maryland 1,733,177 41.5 Governor 88,648 6.1
Massachusetts 2,186,789 44.6 Governor 40,361 1.9
Michigan 3,188,956 43.2 Governor 129,547 4.3
Minnesota 1,992,613 50.5 Governor 109,776 5.6
Mississippi 631,858 28.9 U.S. Senate 141,234 33
Missouri 1,426,303 31.8 Auditor 684,074 53.6
Montana 373,831 47.3 U.S. Senate 65,262 17.9
Nebraska 552,115 41.5 Governor 97,678 18.7
Nevada 547,349 29 Governor 255,793 46.7
New Hampshire 495,565 48.4 Governor 24,924 5.2
New Jersey 1,955,042 32.5 N/A N/A N/A
New Mexico 512,805 35.7 Governor 73,868 14.6
New York 3,930,310 29 Governor 476,252 13.4
North Carolina 2,939,767 41.2 U.S. Senate 48,511 1.7
North Dakota 255,128 45 U.S. House At-large seat 42,214 17.1
Ohio 3,149,876 36.2 Governor 933,235 30.9
Oklahoma 824,831 29.8 Governor 122,060 14.7
Oregon 1,541,782 53.5 Governor 59,029 4.5
Pennsylvania 3,495,866 36 Governor 339,261 9.8
Rhode Island 329,212 42.2 Governor 14,346 4.5
South Carolina 1,261,611 35.2 Governor 179,089 14.6
South Dakota 282,291 44.9 Governor 124,865 45.1
Tennessee 1,374,065 28.6 Governor 642,214 47.5
Texas 4,727,208 28.3 Governor 957,973 20.4
Utah 577,973 30.2 Attorney General 173,819 35.2
Vermont 193,087 38.8 Governor 2,095 1.1
Virginia 2,194,346 36.6 U.S. Senate 16,727 0.8
Washington 2,123,901 43.1 N/A N/A N/A
West Virginia 451,498 31.2 U.S. Senate 124,667 27.6
Wisconsin 2,410,314 56.5 Governor 137,607 5.7
Wyoming 168,390 39.3 Governor 52,703 33.6

Note: Information from the United States Elections Project was last updated on December 16, 2014.

Key deadlines

Deadline Event
March 11, 2014 Filing deadline
May 20, 2014 Partisan primaries and nonpartisan elections
November 4, 2014 General election
December 4, 2014 Certification of results
January 12, 2015 Inauguration day for state executive officials elected in 2014

Recent news

This section displays the most recent stories in a Google news search for the term "Oregon + Governor + elections"

All stories may not be relevant to this page due to the nature of the search engine.

Oregon Gubernatorial Election News Feed

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See also

External links

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Suggest a link

References

  1. National Conference of State Legislatures Website, "State Primary Election Types," accessed January 6, 2014
  2. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 6, 2014
  3. Ballotpedia research conducted December 26, 2013, through January 3, 2014, researching and analyzing various state websites and codes.
  4. Oregon Live, "Oregon Rep. Dennis Richardson announces run for governor," July 24, 2013
  5. Constitution Party of Oregon, "Aaron Auer – Candidate For Governor 2014," accessed April 17, 2014
  6. 6.0 6.1 The Oregonian, "Election 2014: Some surprises on the last day to file for Oregon primary," March 12, 2014
  7. Oregon Secretary of State, "Candidate Information," January 10, 2014
  8. The Oregonian, "Portland businessman becomes latest to join growing group of Republican candidates for governor," January 14, 2014
  9. 9.0 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.4 The Statesman-Journal, "A complete list of primary election races for the city, county and state," March 12, 2014
  10. Oregon Live, "Allen Alley considering run for Oregon governor, John Kitzhaber hits the road," July 31, 2013
  11. Oregon Live, "Eastern Oregon rancher becomes first GOP candidate for Oregon governor," April 17, 2013
  12. Oregon Live, "Republicans search for ways to revive GOP brand in Oregon," March 10, 2013
  13. Statesman Journal, "Kitzhaber's 2014 campaign will focus on tax reform," January 8, 2014
  14. KGW Portland, "Kitzhaber announces bid for historic 4th term," January 8, 2014
  15. 15.0 15.1 Willamette Week, "First Lady Inc.," October 8, 2014
  16. KGW, "Kitzhaber requests ethics review of Cylvia Hayes," October 15, 2014
  17. Follow the Money, "Overview of Wisconsin 2014 elections," accessed February 2, 2015
  18. United States Elections Project, "2014 November General Election Turnout Rates," November 7, 2014
  19. TIME, "Voter Turnout in Midterm Elections Hits 72-Year Low," November 10, 2014
  20. PBS, "2014 midterm election turnout lowest in 70 years," November 10, 2014
  21. U.S. News & World Report, "Midterm Turnout Down in 2014," November 5, 2014