Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District elections, 2012

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Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
April 24, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Mike Kelly Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Mike Kelly Republican Party
Mike Kelly.jpg

Pennsylvania U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9District 10District 11District 12District 13District 14District 15District 16District 17District 18

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Pennsylvania.png
The 3rd Congressional District of Pennsylvania held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Incumbent Mike Kelly won the election.[1]
Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
February 14, 2012
April 24, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Pennsylvania has a closed primary system, meaning only registered members of a particular party may vote in that party's primary.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by March 25. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 7.[2]

See also: Pennsylvania elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Mike Kelly, (R), who assumed office in 2011.

This was the first election using new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District is located in the northwest region of Pennsylvania and includes Erie, Crawford, Mercer, Lawrence, Butler, Armstrong, and Clarion counties.[3]

This is the 3rd Congressional District prior to the 2010 redistricting.

Candidates

General election candidates

Democratic Party Missa Eaton
Republican Party Mike Kelly Green check mark transparent.png
Independent Steven Porter


April 24, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic primary

Withdrawn:

Republican Party Republican primary

Election results

U.S. House, Pennsylvania District 3 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Missa Eaton 41% 123,933
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngMike Kelly Incumbent 54.8% 165,826
     Independent Steven Porter 4.2% 12,755
Total Votes 302,514
Source: Pennsylvania Department of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Race background

The Washington Post listed the House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania in 2012 as 1 of the 10 states that could determine whether Democrats would retake the House or Republicans would hold their majority in 2013.[8] Ohio tied with Pennsylvania for 9th on the list.[8]

Impact of Redistricting

See also Redistricting in Pennsylvania

The 3rd District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[9][10]

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Pennsylvania's 3rd District became more Republican because of redistricting.[11]

  • 2012: 43D / 57R
  • 2010: 46D / 54R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District has a PVI of R+5, which is the 179th most Republican district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by John McCain (R), 53-47 percent over Barack Obama (D). In 2004, George W. Bush (R) won the district 53-47 percent over John Kerry (D).[12]

Campaign contributions

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Elections Commission during the 2012 elections season. Below are candidate reports.

Mike Kelly

Mike Kelly (2012) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[13]March 31, 2012$28,469.69$51,672.37$(36,829.89)$43,312.17
July Quarterly[14]July 15, 2012$309,557.34$167,227.28$(87,646.25)$389,138.37
Running totals
$218,899.65$(124,476.14)

Missa Eaton

Missa Eaton (2012) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
July Quarterly[15]July 15, 2012$16,712.22$83,843.21$(79,073.92)$21,481.51
Running totals
$83,843.21$(79,073.92)

District History

2010

On November 2, 2010, Kelly won election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Kathleen A. Dahlkemper in the general election.[16]

U.S. House, Pennsylvania District 3 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngMike Kelly Incumbent 55.7% 111,909
     Democratic Kathleen A. Dahlkemper 44.3% 88,924
Total Votes 200,833

See also

External links

References