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Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District elections, 2012

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Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District

General Election Date
November 6, 2012

Primary Date
April 24, 2012

November 6 Election Winner:
Michael G. Fitzpatrick Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Michael G. Fitzpatrick Republican Party
Mike Fitzpatrick.jpg

Pennsylvania U.S. House Elections
District 1District 2District 3District 4District 5District 6District 7District 8District 9District 10District 11District 12District 13District 14District 15District 16District 17District 18

2012 U.S. Senate Elections

Flag of Pennsylvania.png
The 8th Congressional District of Pennsylvania held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012. Incumbent Michael G. Fitzpatrick won the election.[1]
Candidate Filing Deadline Primary Election General Election
February 14, 2012
April 24, 2012
November 6, 2012

Primary: Pennsylvania has a closed primary system, meaning only registered members of a particular party may vote in that party's primary.

Voter registration: Voters had to register to vote in the primary by March 25. For the general election, the voter registration deadline was October 7.[2]

See also: Pennsylvania elections, 2012

Incumbent: Heading into the election the incumbent was Michael Fitzpatrick, (R), who assumed office in 2011, but also represented the state from 2005 to 2007.

This was the first election using new district maps based on 2010 Census data. Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District is located in eastern Pennsylvania and borders the state of New Jersey. It includes portions of Bucks and Montgomery counties.[3]

This is the 8th Congressional District prior to the 2010 redistricting.

Candidates

General election candidates

Democratic Party Kathryn Boockvar
Republican Party Michael G. Fitzpatrick Green check mark transparent.png


April 24, 2012, primary results

Democratic Party Democratic primary

Republican Party Republican primary

Election results

U.S. House, Pennsylvania District 8 General Election, 2012
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Democratic Kathryn Boockvar 43.4% 152,859
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngMichael G. Fitzpatrick Incumbent 56.6% 199,379
Total Votes 352,238
Source: Pennsylvania Department of State "Official Election Results, 2012 General Election"

Race background

Republican incumbent Michael G. Fitzpatrick was challenged by Kathryn Boockvar (D) in a slightly more conservative district than before. Democrats believed they had a strong candidate in Boockvar, who is on the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's Red-to-Blue list.[5]

The Washington Post listed the House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania in 2012 as 1 of the 10 states that could determine whether Democrats would retake the House or Republicans would hold their majority in 2013.[6] Ohio tied with Pennsylvania for 9th on the list.[6]

Pennsylvania's 8th District was rated as Leaning Republican according to the New York Times race projections in the summer of 2012. In October, The Cook Political Report rated is as Democratic toss-up while the Daily Kos moved it from Leaning Republican to Likely Republican in reaction to a reduction in campaign advertising for both candidates, among other factors.[7][8]

Pennsylvania's 8th District was included in the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee's "Red to Blue List," which identified districts that the organization specifically targeted to flip from Republican to Democratic control.[9]

Incumbent Michael G. Fitzpatrick was a part of the National Republican Congressional Committee's Patriot Program, a program to help House Republicans stay on offense and increase their majority in 2012.[10]

Impact of Redistricting

See also Redistricting in Pennsylvania

The 8th District was re-drawn after the 2010 Census. The new district is composed of the following percentages of voters of the old congressional districts.[11][12]

District partisanship

FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012 study

See also: FairVote's Monopoly Politics 2012

In 2012, FairVote did a study on partisanship in the congressional districts, giving each a percentage ranking (D/R) based on the new 2012 maps and comparing that to the old 2010 maps. Pennsylvania's 8th District's became more Republican because of redistricting.[13]

  • 2012: 50D / 50R
  • 2010: 51D / 49R

Cook Political Report's PVI

See also: Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index

In 2012, Cook Political Report released its updated figures on the Partisan Voter Index, which measures each congressional district's partisanship relative to the rest of the country. Pennsylvania's 8th Congressional District has a PVI of D+1, which is the 184th most Democratic district in the country. In 2008, this district was won by Barack Obama (D), 54-46 percent over John McCain (R). In 2004, John Kerry (D) won the district 51-49 percent over George W. Bush (R).[14]

Campaign contributions

Candidates for Congress were required to file up to seven main reports with the Federal Election Commission during the 2012 elections season. Below are candidate reports.

Michael G. Fitzpatrick

Michael Fitzpatrick (2012) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
April Quarterly[15]March 31, 2012$55,377.33$1,103.35$(45,699.34)$10,781.34
July Quarterly[16]July 15, 2012$10,781.34$3,218.23$(13,037.74)$961.83
October Quarterly[17]October 15, 2012$1,201,687.07$575,977.90$(1,466,782.73)$310,882.24
Running totals
$580,299.48$(1,525,519.81)

Kathryn Boockvar

Kathryn Boockvar (2012) Campaign Finance Reports
ReportDate FiledBeginning BalanceTotal Contributions
for Reporting Period
ExpendituresCash on Hand
July Quarterly[18]July 15, 2012$250,430.21$41,496.59$(170,824.47)$421,102.33
October Quarterly[19]October 15, 2012$421,102.33$521,128.20$(741,236.71)$200,993.82
Running totals
$562,624.79$(912,061.18)

Campaign media

Campaign websites

Bookckvar

Fitzpatrick

Advertisments

Boockvar

"Right Fit"

"Solutions"

Fitzpatrick

"College"

"Health"

District History

2010

On November 2, 2010, Fitzpatrick won election to the United States House of Representatives. He defeated Patrick Murphy in the general election.[20]

U.S. House, Pennsylvania District 8 General Election, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngMichael Fitzpatrick Incumbent 53.7% 126,404
     Democratic Patrick Murphy 46.3% 109,157
Total Votes 235,561

See also

External links

References

  1. Politico, "2012 House Race Results," accessed November 6, 2012
  2. Pennsylvania Department of State "Registration Deadlines," accessed June 28, 2012
  3. Pennsylvania Redistricting Map "Map" Accessed July 30, 2012
  4. PoliticsPA "It’s Official: Boockvar to Challenge Fitzpatrick" accessed April 20, 2012
  5. New York Times "House Race Ratings," accessed August 10, 2012
  6. 6.0 6.1 Washington Post, "The 10 states that will determine control of the House in 2012" Accessed April 25, 2012
  7. Daily Kos, "House Ratings 2012," October 5, 2012
  8. The Cook Political Report, "House:Race Ratings," October 11, 2012
  9. DCCC, "Red to Blue 2012"
  10. NRCC "Patriot Program 2012"
  11. Moonshadow Mobile's CensusViewer "Pennsylvania's congressional districts 2001-2011 comparison"
  12. Labels & Lists "VoterMapping software voter counts"
  13. "2011 Redistricting and 2012 Elections in Pennsylvania," September 2012
  14. Cook Political Report "Partisan Voting Index Districts of the 113th Congress: 2004 & 2008" Accessed October 2012
  15. Federal Election Commission, "Michael Fitzpatrick April Quarterly," accessed July 26, 2012
  16. Federal Election Commission, "Michael Fitzpatrick July Quarterly," accessed July 26, 2012
  17. Federal Election Commission, "Michael Fitzpatrick October Quarterly Report," October 15, 2012
  18. Federal Election Commission, "Kathryn Boockvar July Quarterly," accessed July 26, 2012
  19. Federal Election Commission, "Kathryn Boockvar October Quarterly Report," October 15, 2012
  20. U.S. Congress House Clerk "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010"