Press Release: Despite low approval ratings, congressional incumbents coast through primaries
Contact: Kelly O'Keefe
Ballotpedia study tracks competitiveness of 2012 House races
Madison - August 30, 2013: The congressional approval rating is perpetually low, but the majority of incumbents face minimal competition in primary elections.
Ballotpedia, a project of the non-profit, nonpartisan Lucy Burns Institute, recently released a study detailing the extent of this phenomenon in the 2012 election cycle. The study found that roughly half of 2012 House incumbents coasted to the general election without a primary challenger. The lack of competition in congressional primaries leaves voters with limited options.
According to Sarah Rosier, Congress Director for Ballotpedia, “Although the 2012 elections were still more competitive than previous years, the level of competitiveness does not match up to voters’ dissatisfaction with Congress.” If current trends continue, it is likely that the majority of incumbents will face relatively easy re-election in 2014.
- According to Gallup, the congressional approval rating hovers around 15%.
- Of the 393 House incumbents who ran for re-election in 2012, just over 50% faced a contested primary.
- Of the incumbents who were contested, merely 5% of these races were within a 10% margin of victory.
- Only thirteen House incumbents lost their primary. Of those thirteen, seven were incumbent versus incumbent races, due to redistricting. Only five incumbents lost a primary election to a non-incumbent challenger.
The most competitive primary involving an incumbent in 2012 was Florida’s 3rd Congressional District, which had a margin of victory of 1.4% (22,273 votes). The least competitive primary involving an incumbent was Maryland’s 7th Congressional District, which had a margin of victory of 88.27% (49,625 votes). Maryland boasted 3 of the 5 least contested primaries involving an incumbent in 2012.
Established in 2007, Ballotpedia is a nonprofit and nonpartisan collaborative wiki encyclopedia designed to connect people to politics through the free and open sharing of information. It includes information about the U.S. Congress, state legislatures, ballot measures (including ballot measure law, school bond and tax elections, recall elections and local ballot measures), and state executives. Ballotpedia is published by the non-profit, nonpartisan Lucy Burns Institute, which is based in Madison, Wisconsin.
If you’d like more information, or to schedule an interview with Ballotpedia’s project manager, please contact Kelly O'Keefe at email@example.com.