Primary change: Five more incumbents toppled in Hawaii legislative primaries
By Geoff Pallay
MADISON, Wisconsin: On July 26, 2012, Ballotpedia released an analysis of the rate at which incumbents are being defeated by challengers in state legislative primaries. That study was conducted roughly halfway through the primary season, and found that 76 incumbents had been defeated through the first 48 percent of primaries. After each primary, we will update those figures. This update focuses on Hawaii, where a total of 5 incumbents fell to opponents on August 11, 2012.
A total of 71 Hawaii legislative incumbents filed for re-election. Twenty-seven incumbents faced a primary, and challengers were victorious in five of those races. Thus, 18.5 percent of opposed incumbents were defeated by their primary challenger.
The 5 total incumbents who lost on August 11 brought the nationwide figure to 140 defeated in 2012 primaries. Incumbents have been defeated in 18.30 percent of the primaries where they faced an actual opponent. Three of the races in Hawaii were incumbent vs. incumbent battles.
Of the 140 incumbents that have lost a primary in 2012, 48 are Democratic incumbents and 92 are Republican incumbents.
Cumulative table of results
|Individual State Results||Nationwide Cumulative Results|
|State||Primary date||Total Incumbents Running||Total Incumbents Facing Primary||Total Incumbents Defeated||% Incumbents Defeated***||Total Incumbents Defeated||Total Incumbents Facing primary||% Incumbents Defeated***|
|***Note: The percent is calculated by dividing the total number of incumbents who lost by the number of incumbents who actually faced a primary. It is not using the total number of incumbents who ran for re-election.
+++Note: As of August 10, 2012, there are two remaining races involving incumbents that are too close to call.
- Incumbents defeated in 2012's state legislative elections
- State legislative elections, 2012
- 2012 state legislative elections analyzed using a Competitiveness Index
- Ballotpedia's Competitiveness Analysis for 2012
- Major party candidates with no major party challengers in the November 2012 state legislative elections
- Open seats in the 2012 state legislative elections
- Incumbents with a primary challenger in the 2012 state legislative elections