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Primary preview: Maryland state executive elections, 2014

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June 23, 2014

By Kristen Mathews

June 24, 2014 Election Preview
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Jump to the section for:
*Maryland Governor and Lieutenant Governor
*Maryland Attorney General
*Maryland comptroller

Annapolis, Maryland: A crowded field of gubernatorial hopefuls will steal the show on June 24. Both Republican and Democratic gubernatorial and lieutenant gubernatorial candidates will face off in the primary election. The only other contested state executive race is the Democratic primary for Maryland Attorney General, with three candidates vying for a place on the general election ballot. The other state executive race, the one for Maryland Comptroller, has no contested primaries and three candidates ready for the general election in November.

Maryland is one of 21 states with a mixed primary system. Parties decide who may vote in their primary election and generally close it to all voters except those registered with their party.[1]

In Maryland, the polls are open from 7:00 a.m. to 8:00 p.m.[2]



Maryland Governor and Lieutenant Governor

See also: Maryland Gubernatorial and Lieutenant Gubernatorial election, 2014

Democratic nomination

Incumbent Martin O'Malley (D) was prevented by term limits from seeking a third consecutive term in office.

Lieutenant Governor Anthony Brown officially launched his 2014 gubernatorial campaign on May 10, 2013. If he would have won, Brown would have been the first lieutenant governor (since the lieutenant governor's office was created in 1970) and first black candidate to be elected governor of Maryland.[3][4] O'Malley, with whom Brown shared winning tickets in both the 2006 and 2010 elections, supported Brown as his successor.[5] Brown's lieutenant gubernatorial running-mate is Howard County Executive Ken Ulman.[6] Immediately after formalizing their partnership for the 2014 campaign, the Brown-Ulman ticket received the endorsement of U.S. Rep. Elijah Cummings (D-MD). A number of Cumming's congressional colleagues announced their support soon thereafter, as well as influential branches of SEIU, a major labor union.[7][8][9]

On July 17, 2013, another potentially history-making candidate entered the Democratic primary field to give Brown some competition: Maryland House Delegate Heather Mizeur.[10] Mizeur would have been the first female Governor of Maryland, as well as the country's first openly gay governor, if she had won the general election.[11] Current state attorney general Doug Gansler also sought the Democratic nomination for governor in 2014. On Oct. 14, 2013, Gansler selected Prince George County Delegate Jolene Ivey as his lieutenant gubernatorial running-mate. Keeping with the trailblazer theme established earlier by Brown and Mizeur to entice more progressive-leaning voters, the Gansler-Ivey ticket also carried the promise of setting an historical record, statewide and national. After joining Gansler's campaign, Ivey stated, "I am proud to be the first African-American woman to run for lieutenant governor, and when we win, to be the first Democratic African-American woman to be lieutenant governor in our nation's history."[12] Both Gansler and Mizeur lost in the Democratic primary on June 24, 2014.

Republican nomination

The Republican ticket of Larry Hogan and Boyd Rutherford emerged from a field of four potential tickets after the June 24 primary. The winning ticket managed a 14-percent margin of victory over Harford County Executive David Craig and state Delegate Jeannie Haddaway-Riccio. Hogan and Rutherford were both former appointees of former Gov. Robert Ehrlich (R).[13]

Campaign issues

Change Maryland inquiry

Republican candidate Larry Hogan was the subject of a complaint to the Maryland State Board of Elections, related to potential assistance of the candidate by Change Maryland. The political communications group, which was created by Hogan in 2011, had been accused of conducting polls and providing resources during Hogan's exploration of a gubernatorial bid. The complaint was filed by David Craig and Ron George, who were defeated by Hogan in the Republican primary on June 24, 2014. The state board dismissed the complaint in July, determining that Hogan likely received assistance from Change Maryland but the board lacked oversight over candidates prior to official filings.[14]

The Maryland Democratic Party filed a new claim regarding Hogan's relationship with Change Maryland on July 24. This complaint alleged that the poll referenced in the earlier complaint cost $10,000, which represented an illegal in-kind contribution to Hogan. Hogan's campaign spokesman, Adam Dubitsky, countered that the Democratic complaint was an effort to distract from changing political fortunes for the party's candidate, Lt. Governor Anthony Brown.[15]

Super PAC accusations

The Maryland State Board of Elections received a complaint from Hogan on September 4, alleging coordination between Brown's campaign and a political action committee (PAC) called "One State, One Future." Hogan's filing cited a conflict of interest for Brown consultant Colleen Martin-Lauer, who also consulted with the union-funded PAC. The complaint also pointed to Susan Smith-Bauk, a consultant to lieutenant gubernatorial candidate Ken Ulman who also worked with "One State, One Future." Hogan's campaign manager, Steve Crim, argued at the time of filing that both consultants could not avoid coordination between their different employers based on the nature of their work.[16]

The state board issued guidelines in January 2014 that prohibited communication between super PACs, which could collect unlimited funds for the purpose of advocating a political position or candidates, and political campaigns. These guidelines prevent coordination over "advertising, messaging, strategy, polling, research, or allocation of resources." Hogan's complaint claimed that the Martin-Lauer example was a "blatant example of illegal coordination" because of overlapping interests in fundraising for the campaign and the super PAC.[16]

Campaign finance

Hogan reported three times more cash on hand than Brown in the campaign finance reporting period ending on August 19, 2014. Hogan had $2.4 million in cash on hand, compared to $760,000 for the Brown campaign. The disparity was due to Hogan's commitment to a publicly financed campaign, which meant a single payment of $2.6 million from the state's dedicated campaign finance fund. Hogan could not raise additional money in the campaign, while Brown was capable of raising additional funds by not committing to public financing. Brown reported $1.5 million in contributions from June 9 through August 19.[17]

National figures in the race

As poll results between Brown and Hogan narrowed in October, national political figures toured the state to influence the outcome of the gubernatorial race. President Barack Obama, former President Bill Clinton and former Sen. Hillary Clinton made appearances supporting Brown's campaign. New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie appeared at three campaign events for Hogan through late October.[18]

Outside groups also spent lavishly on ads during the general election campaign. The Democratic Governors Association and the Republican Governors Association invested $1.5 million on TV ads through late October. Michael Bloomberg's Independence USA PAC committed $500,000 to criticize Hogan's endorsement by the National Rifle Association (NRA). [18]

Democratic Primary Candidates

Democratic Party Ken Ulman (Lt. Gov)- Howard County Executive and Brown's running-mate[19][20][6]
Democratic Party Jolene Ivey (Lt. Gov) - State Delegate[22]
Democratic Party Freda Jaffe (Lt. Gov)[24]
Democratic Party Delman Coates (Lt. Gov) - Prince George Pastor[26][27]
Democratic Party Clarence Tucker (Lt. Gov)[24]
Democratic Party Mary Elizabeth Wingate-Pennacchia (Lt. Gov)[24]

Republican Primary Candidates

Republican Party Jeannie Haddaway-Riccio (Lt. Gov)- Craig's running mate[30]
Republican Party Shelley Aloi (Lt. Gov)[24]
Republican Party Boyd Rutherford (Lt. Gov)[24]
Republican Party Ken Timmerman (Lt. Gov)[24]

General Election Candidates

Libertarian Party Lorenzo Gaztanaga (Lt. Gov)- Quinn's running mate[35]

Polls

General election
All candidates

General election match-ups
Poll Anthony Brown (D) Larry Hogan (R)Shawn Quinn (L)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
OnMessage Inc.
(August 18-19, 2014)
45%42%4%9%+/-4.38500
Gonzales Research and Associates
(September 16-23, 2014)
47%43%1%9%+/-3.5805
Washington Post/University of Maryland
(October 2-5, 2014)
47%38%4%11%+/-51,005
Gonzales Research & Marketing
(October 20-24, 2014)
46%44%2%8%+/-3.5822
AVERAGES 46.25% 41.75% 2.75% 9.25% +/-4.1 783
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Major-party candidates

General election: Brown v. Hogan
Poll Anthony Brown Larry HoganUndecided/OtherMargin of ErrorSample Size
WPA Research
(October 19-20, 2014)
42%41%15%+/-4.4500
New York Times/CBS News/YouGov
(October 16-23, 2014)
51%38%11%+/-51,086
WPA Research
(October 26-27, 2014)
39%44%14%+/-4.4504
AVERAGES 44% 41% 13.33% +/-4.6 696.67
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Primary and hypothetical match-ups

Primary trial heats for 2014 gubernatorial race
Poll Anthony Brown Doug GanslerHeather MizeurUndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
Brown-Ulman Internal Poll conducted by Garin-Hart-Yang
(September 11-15, 2013)
43%21%5%31%+/-4.0608
Gonzales Research/Marketing Strategies Poll
(October 1-14, 2013)
41%21%5%33%+/--403
Baltimore Sun Poll
(February 8-12, 2014)
35%14%10%40%+/-4.4500
Washington Post Poll
(February 13-16, 2014)
32%15%9%39%+/-3.51,002
The Maryland Poll
(April 10-13, 2014)
27%11%8%54%+/-3.17954
WPA Opinion Research
(May 6-7,2014)
34%20%7%40%+/-4.9400
AVERAGES 35.33% 17% 7.33% 39.5% +/-1.86 644.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Primary trial heats for 2014 gubernatorial race
Poll Anthony Brown Doug GanslerPeter FranchotKen UlmanNot sureMargin of ErrorSample Size
Garin-Heart-Young Poll
(September 13-14, 2012)
31%18%14%4%33%+/-4.4504
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Primary trial heats for 2014 gubernatorial race
Poll Anthony Brown Doug GanslerKen UlmanNot sureMargin of ErrorSample Size
Garin-Heart-Young Poll
(September 13-14, 2012)
37%23%5%33%+/-4.4504
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Primary trial heats for 2014 gubernatorial race
Poll Anthony Brown Doug GanslerNot sureMargin of ErrorSample Size
Garin-Heart-Young Poll
(September 13-14, 2012)
41%25%34%+/-4.4504
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Hypothetical Match-up Brown vs. Hogan
Poll Anthony Brown Larry HoganNot sureMargin of ErrorSample Size
WPA Opinion Research
(May 6-7,2014)
42%35%23%+/-4.9400
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Maryland Attorney General

See also: Maryland attorney general election, 2014

Incumbent Doug Gansler (D) was first elected in 2006 and re-elected in 2010. Despite being eligible to run for re-election to his current post, Gansler announced on June 1, 2013 that he would not seek a third term as attorney general in 2014. Instead, Gansler is running in the Democratic primary for Governor.[36]

Democratic Primary Candidates

General Election Candidates

Maryland comptroller

See also: Maryland down ballot state executive elections, 2014

Incumbent Peter Franchot is running for re-election and uncontested in the primary. There will be no contested primaries in this race. Three candidates are lined up for the general election on November 4, 2014.

General Election Candidates

See also

Ballotpedia News

References

  1. Maryland State Board of Elections Website, "Primary Elections," accessed January 3, 2014
  2. Maryland State Board of Elections, "2014 Election Information," accessed June 23, 2014
  3. 3.0 3.1 WBAL Radio, "Brown Kicks Off Bid for Governor Today," May 10, 2013
  4. The Washington Post, "Steele Running Against History," August 7, 2005
  5. Washington Blade, "Exclusive: Mizeur eyeing run for Maryland governor," November 14, 2012
  6. 6.0 6.1 6.2 The Washington Post, "New candidates to step forward Monday in Maryland’s race for governor," June 2, 2013
  7. Brown-Ulman 2014 Official campaign website, "News: 'SEIU Maryland-DC State Council Endorses Anthony Brown and Ken Ulman,'" September 30, 2013
  8. The Washington Post, "Mikulski says she's 'ready to get into it' to help elect Anthony Brown as governor," September 22, 2013
  9. The Washington Post, Hoyer to announce support of Brown in Maryland 2014 race for governor, July 17, 2013
  10. The Huffington Post, Heather Mizeur Running For Governor Of Maryland , July 17, 2013
  11. SoMdNews, "Mizeur makes gubernatorial bid official," July 17, 2013
  12. Wbal.com, "Gansler announces runningmate," October 14, 2013
  13. Hogan for Governor, "Meet Boyd," accessed September 8, 2014
  14. The Washington Post, "Md. elections board says group benefited GOP’s Hogan but tosses rivals’ complaint," July 10, 2014
  15. The Washington Post, "Md. Democratic Party files complaint targeting GOP candidate Larry Hogan," July 24, 2014
  16. 16.0 16.1 The Washington Post, "Larry Hogan accuses Brown’s campaign of illegally coordinating with a Super PAC," September 8, 2014
  17. Herald-Mail Media, " Public funding gives Hogan lead in campaign money," August 27, 2014
  18. 18.0 18.1 The Baltimore Sun, "Maryland's governor race sparks national interest," October 27, 2014
  19. The Washington Post, "A Brown-Ulman ticket could shake up Democratic primary for Md. governor’s office," April 28, 2013
  20. Examiner.com, "Filed for 2014 Maryland governor expands," May 28, 2012
  21. Baltimore News Journal, "Attorney General Doug Gansler kicks off bid for governor," September 23, 2013
  22. WBAL.com, "Gansler announces runningmate," October 14, 2013
  23. Vote for Ralph Jaffe, Home, accessed December 23, 2013
  24. 24.0 24.1 24.2 24.3 24.4 24.5 24.6 24.7 24.8 Maryland State Board of Elections, 2014 Gubernatorial Primary Election State Candidates List, February 26, 2014
  25. The Huffington Post, "Heather Mizeur Running For Governor Of Maryland," July 17, 2013
  26. Washington Post, "Del. Heather Mizeur selects the Rev. Delman Coates as running-mate," November 13, 2013
  27. Baltimore Sun, "Mizeur makes smart moves as candidate for governor," November 14, 2013
  28. The Washington Post, "Craig touts experience, takes aim at taxes in advance of run for Md. governor," May 31, 2013
  29. David Craig.com, "Main page," accessed May 30, 2012
  30. Southern Maryland Newspapers Online, Craig announces gubernatorial running mate, July 17, 2013
  31. The Capital Gazette, "Maryland GOP Del. Ron George to run for governor," April 30, 2013
  32. Maryland Reporter, "Ron George runs for governor," June 5, 2013
  33. WBAL.com, "Delegate To Run For Governor," June 1, 2013
  34. '"Charles Lollar for Governor 2014 Official Campaign Website, "Homepage," accessed September 9, 2013
  35. 35.0 35.1 Libertarian Party of Maryland, "2014 Candidates," accessed December 16, 2013
  36. The Baltimore Sun, "Democrats watch for Gansler's next move," June 3, 2013
  37. Aisha Braveboy for Attorney General 2014 Official Campaign Website, "Homepage," accessed September 23, 2013
  38. 38.0 38.1 Washington Post, "Brian Frosh to launch Maryland attorney general campaign Tuesday," July 29, 2013, accessed July 31, 2013
  39. Brian Frosh for Attorney General 2014 Official Campaign Website, "Homepage," accessed September 9, 2013
  40. 40.0 40.1 Maryland State Board of Elections, 2014 Gubernatorial Primary Election State Candidates List, February 26, 2014
  41. William H. Campbell for Comptroller 2014 Official Campaign Website, "Homepage," accessed September 9, 2013
  42. State Board of Elections, 2014 Gubernatorial Primary Election State Candidates List, February 26, 2014