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Projected outcomes of state legislative elections, 2010

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See also: Projected outcomes of state senate elections
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Democrats

Before election: 28

Predicted after election: 21
Toss-up
6
Republicans

Before election: 20

Predicted after election: 22
15 Safe or Not Up 3 3 6 2 4 16 Safe or Not Up

Since one state senate is nonpartisan, a political party is defined as having the majority of state senates if it has at least 25.

The Democratic Party needs to win all the safe, likely and leans Democratic, and 3 of the toss-up states, to get to 25.

The Republican Party needs to win all the safe, likely and leans Republican, and 5 of the toss-up states, to get to 25.

Safe D Likely Dem. Leans Dem. Toss Up Leans GOP Likely GOP Safe R
Arkansas (D)
California (D)
Connecticut (D)
Delaware (D)
Hawaii (D)
Maryland (D)
Massachusetts (D)
Rhode Island (D)
Vermont (D)
West Virginia (D)
Not up:
Louisiana
Mississippi
New Jersey
New Mexico
Virginia
Illinois (D)
Minnesota (D)
Nevada (D)
Colorado (D)
Oregon (D)
Washington (D)
Alabama (D)
Maine (D)
New Hampshire (D)
New York (D)
North Carolina (D)
Wisconsin (D)
Possible R Pick-ups:
Alaska (Split)[1]
Iowa (D)
Kentucky (R)
Michigan: (R)
Montana (R)
Tennessee: (R)
Arizona (R)
Florida (R)
Georgia (R)
Idaho (R)
Indiana (R)
Missouri (R)
North Dakota (R)
Ohio (R)
Oklahoma (R)
Pennsylvania (R)
South Dakota: (R)
Texas (R)
Utah (R)
Wyoming (R)
Not up:
Kansas
South Carolina

Partisan dominance in state senates
heading into the 2010 state legislative elections
Nevada State SenateMassachusetts State SenateColorado State SenateNew Mexico State SenateWyoming State SenateArizona State SenateMontana State SenateCalifornia State SenateOregon State SenateWashington State SenateIdaho State SenateTexas State SenateOklahoma State SenateKansas State SenateSouth Dakota State SenateNorth Dakota State SenateMinnesota State SenateIowa State SenateMissouri State SenateArkansas State SenateLouisiana State SenateMississippi State SenateAlabama State SenateGeorgia State SenateFlorida State SenateSouth Carolina State SenateIllinois State SenateWisconsin State AssemblyTennessee State SenateNorth Carolina State SenateIndiana State SenateOhio State SenateKentucky State SenatePennsylvania State SenateNew Jersey State SenateNew York State SenateVermont State SenateVermont State SenateNew Hampshire State SenateMaine State SenateWest Virginia State SenateVirginia State SenateNebraska State Senate (Unicameral)Maryland State SenateMaryland State SenateConnecticut State SenateConnecticut State SenateDelaware State SenateDelaware State SenateRhode Island State SenateRhode Island State SenateMassachusetts State SenateNew Hampshire State SenateMichigan State SenateMichigan State SenateAlaska State SenateSenates Combined 2010.png


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Democrats

Before election: 32

Projected after election: 23
Toss-up
5
Republicans

Before election: 16

Projected after election: 21
13 Safe or Not Up 6 4 5 5 3 13 Safe or Not Up

Since there are 49 state houses (Nebraska only has a senate), a political party is defined as having the majority of state houses if it has at least 25.

The Democratic Party needs to win all the safe, likely and leans Democratic, and 2 of the toss-up states, to get to 25.

The Republican Party needs to win all the safe, likely and leans Republican, and 4 of the toss-up states, to get to 25.

Safe D Likely Dem. Leans Dem. Toss Up Leans GOP Likely GOP Safe R
Arkansas (D)
California (D)
Connecticut (D)
Hawaii (D)
Maryland (D)
Massachusetts (D)
New York (D)
Rhode Island (D)
Vermont (D)
West Virginia (D)
Not up:
Louisiana (D)
Mississippi (D)
New Jersey (D)
Kentucky (D)
Illinois (D)
Maine (D)
Nevada (D)
New Mexico (D)
Oregon (D)
Delaware (D)
Michigan (D)
Minnesota (D)
Washington (D)
Alabama (D)
Colorado (D)
Iowa (D)
New Hampshire (D)
North Carolina (D)
Possible R Pick-ups:
Indiana (D)
Montana (Split)[2]
Ohio (D)
Pennsylvania (D)
Wisconsin (D)
Alaska: (R)
Tennessee: (R)
Texas (R)
Arizona (R)
Florida (R)
Georgia (R)
Idaho (R)
Kansas (R)
Missouri (R)
North Dakota (R)
Oklahoma (R)
South Carolina: (R)
South Dakota: (R)
Utah (R)
Wyoming (R)
Not up:
Virginia (R)

Partisan dominance in state houses
heading into the 2010 state legislative elections
Nevada State AssemblyMassachusetts House of RepresentativesColorado House of RepresentativesNew Mexico House of RepresentativesWyoming House of RepresentativesArizona House of RepresentativesMontana House of RepresentativesCalifornia State AssemblyOregon House of RepresentativesWashington House of RepresentativesIdaho House of RepresentativesTexas House of RepresentativesOklahoma House of RepresentativesKansas House of RepresentativesSouth Dakota House of RepresentativesNorth Dakota House of RepresentativesMinnesota House of RepresentativesIowa House of RepresentativesMissouri House of RepresentativesArkansas House of RepresentativesLouisiana House of RepresentativesMississippi House of RepresentativesAlabama House of RepresentativesGeorgia House of RepresentativesFlorida House of RepresentativesSouth Carolina House of RepresentativesIllinois House of RepresentativesWisconsin State AssemblyTennessee House of RepresentativesNorth Carolina House of RepresentativesIndiana House of RepresentativesOhio House of RepresentativesKentucky House of RepresentativesPennsylvania House of RepresentativesNew Jersey State AssemblyNew York State AssemblyVermont House of RepresentativesVermont House of RepresentativesNew Hampshire House of RepresentativesMaine House of RepresentativesWest Virginia House of DelegatesVirginia State AssemblyMaryland House of DelegatesMaryland House of DelegatesConnecticut House of RepresentativesConnecticut House of RepresentativesDelaware House of RepresentativesDelaware House of RepresentativesRhode Island House of RepresentativesRhode Island House of RepresentativesMassachusetts House of RepresentativesNew Hampshire House of RepresentativesMichigan House of RepresentativesMichigan House of RepresentativesAlaska House of RepresentativesHouses Map 2010.png

References

  1. The Alaska State Senate is split evenly at 10 Democrats and 10 Republicans
  2. The Montana House of Representatives is split evenly at 50 Democrats and 50 Republicans