Texas gubernatorial election, 2014

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Texas Gubernatorial Election

Primary Date:
March 4, 2014

General Election Date:
November 4, 2014

November 4 Election Winner:
Greg Abbott Republican Party
Incumbent prior to election:
Rick Perry Republican Party
RickPerry.jpg

Texas State Executive Elections
Top Ballot
GovernorLt. GovernorAttorney General
Down Ballot
Comptroller, Land Commissioner, Commissioner of Agriculture, Railroad Commissioner

Current trifecta for Republicans
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State executive offices in Texas
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The Texas gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Rick Perry (R) was eligible for re-election in 2014 but announced on July 8, 2013, that he would not seek re-election.[1]

The race to replace Perry in the governor's mansion included Attorney General Greg Abbott (R), state Sen. Wendy Davis, Libertarian Party candidate Kathie Glass and Green Party candidate Brandon Parmer. Abbott won election to a four-year term in office. Supporters of Abbott and Davis spent significant amounts of money on ads with more than $5 million spent during a two-week period in September alone. Abbott held a steady lead in polls taken throughout the summer and fall, as detailed in the polls section. Davis had an uphill climb to win the race, as Republicans had held the office since 1995 and Rick Perry won three elections in a row as shown in the past elections section.

Texas is one of 21 states with a mixed primary system. Voters do not have to register with a party. At the primary, they may choose which party primary ballot to vote on, but in order to vote they must sign a pledge declaring they will not vote in another party's primary or convention that year.[2][3]

Candidates

Democratic Party Wendy Davis - State Senator[4]
Republican Party Greg Abbott - Texas Attorney General[5][6][7]Green check mark transparent.png
Libertarian Party Kathie Glass - Houston lawyer and 2010 gubernatorial candidate[8][9]
Green Party Brandon Parmer[10]

Lost primary or at convention

Democratic Party Reynaldo "Ray" Madrigal[11]
Republican Party SECEDE Kilgore - Conservative Activist and Telecommunications Worker[12]
Republican Party Miriam Martinez - Media personality, former Texas House candidate.[13]
Republican Party Lisa Fritsch - Author and conservative radio host[14]
Libertarian Party Lee Wrights - Libertarian activist, writer and editor[15][9]
Libertarian Party Robert J. Bell[16][9]
Libertarian Party Star Locke[16][9]

Withdrew

Republican Party Tom Pauken - Former Texas Workforce Commissioner and state Republican Party Chairman[17][18]
Libertarian Party Gene Chapman - Gandhian Minister, Anti-Tax Activist and '08 Presidential Candidate[19][20]
Libertarian Party Robert Lynn Garett[16]

Declined to run

Republican Party Rick Perry - Incumbent[21]
Independent Debra Medina - Tea Party activist[22]

Results

General election

Governor of Texas, 2014
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngGreg Abbott 59.2% 2,796,274
     Democratic Wendy Davis 38.8% 1,835,896
     Libertarian Kathie Glass 1.6% 75,488
     Green Brandon Palmer 0.4% 18,490
     Nonpartisan Write-in votes 0% 1,060
Total Votes 4,727,208
Election Results via Texas Secretary of State.

Primary election

Republican primary

Texas Gubernatorial Republican Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngGreg Abbott 91.5% 1,224,014
Lisa Fritsch 4.4% 59,221
Miriam Martinez 2.7% 35,585
SECEDE Kilgore 1.4% 19,055
Total Votes 1,337,875
Election Results Via:Texas Secretary of State.

Democratic primary

Texas Gubernatorial Democratic Primary, 2014
Candidate Vote % Votes
Green check mark transparent.pngWendy Davis 78.1% 432,595
Reynaldo "Ray" Madrigal 21.9% 121,419
Total Votes 554,014
Election Results Via:Texas Secretary of State.


Polls

General election

General election
All candidates

Governor of Texas
Poll Greg Abbott (R) Wendy Davis (D)Brandon Parmer (G)Kathie Glass (L)UndecidedMargin of ErrorSample Size
KHOU-TV/Houston Public Media
September 22-October 16, 2014
47%32%1.4%0.7%17%+/-3.5781
University of Texas/Texas Tribune
October 10-19, 2014
54%38%6%2%0%+/-3.33866
AVERAGES 50.5% 35% 3.7% 1.35% 8.5% +/-3.42 823.5
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Major-party candidates

Governor of Texas
Poll Greg Abbott (R) Wendy Davis (D)Other/Don't Know/NAMargin of ErrorSample Size
Texas Lyceum Poll
September 6-20, 2013
29%21%50%+/-3.47798
Public Policy Polling
November 1-4, 2013
50%35%15%+/-4.4500
University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll
February 7-17, 2014
47%36%17%+/-3.281,200
Rasmussen Reports
March 3-4, 2014
53%41%5%+/-4.5500
Emerson College Polling Society
March 7-12, 2014
49%42%9%+/-4.4404
Public Policy Polling
April 10-13, 2014
51%37%13%+/-4.1559
University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll
May 30 - June 8, 2014
44%32%24%+/-2.831,200
YouGov
July 5-24, 2014
54%37%9%+/-04,320
Rasmussen Reports
August4-5, 2014
48%40%12%+/-3.5850
YouGov
August 18-September2, 2014
56%38%6%+/-24,189
Rasmussen Reports
October 1-2, 2014
51%40%10%+/-3.5840
New York Times/CBS News/YouGov
October 16-23, 2014
57%37%6%+/-33,987
AVERAGES 49.08% 36.33% 14.67% +/-3.25 1,612.25
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Hypothetical match-ups

Governor of Texas
Poll Greg Abbott (R) Wendy Davis (D)Kathie Glass (L)Don't Know/NAMargin of ErrorSample Size
University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll
October 18-27, 2013
40%35%5%20%+/-3.331,200
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Governor of Texas
Poll Greg Abbott (R) Wendy Davis (D)Debra Medina (I)Don't Know/NAMargin of ErrorSample Size
Public Policy Polling
November 1-4, 2013
47%37%9%8%+/-4.4500
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.


Primary election

Governor of Texas - Republican Primary
Poll Greg Abbott Miriam MartinezLisa FritschSECEDE KilgoreMargin of ErrorSample Size
University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll
February 7-17, 2014
88%5%5%2%+/-5.37543
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.
Governor of Texas - Republican Primary
Poll Greg Abbott Lisa FritschTom PaukenMiriam MartinezLarry KilgoreDon't KnowMargin of ErrorSample Size
University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll
October 18-27, 2013
50%3%2%2%1%42%+/-5.021,200
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Democratic primary

Governor of Texas - Democratic Primary
Poll Wendy Davis Ray MadrigalMargin of ErrorSample Size
University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll
February 7-17, 2014
85%15%+/-6.06381
Note: The polls above may not reflect all polls that have been conducted in this race. Those displayed are a random sampling chosen by Ballotpedia staff. If you would like to nominate another poll for inclusion in the table, send an email to editor@ballotpedia.org.

Campaign media

General election

Greg Abbott


Greg Abbott ad: Wendy Davis: Unethical and Unfit for Texas

Greg Abbott ad: Wendy Davis: Just Like Obama

Greg Abbott ad: Who Wants to Be Texas Governor?

Wendy Davis


Wendy Davis ad: Justice

Primary election

Wendy Davis

Ad spending

The Wesleyan Media Project published a report on September 30, 2014, highlighting spending on gubernatorial races from September 12-25. This report found that Democratic and Republican groups spent a total of $46.84 million on TV ads in 15 states with gubernatorial elections. The following chart details the group's findings, including spending amounts and number of ads:[23]

Note: A bolded number indicates the highest total for this category. A number in italics is the lowest total for this category.

Spending on TV ads, September 12-25, 2014
State Total # of ads  % Democratic-leaning ads  % GOP-leaning ads Total spending-Democratic leaning (in millions of $) Total spending-GOP leaning (in millions of $)
Colorado 2,460 83.1 16.9 1.35 0.39
Connecticut 2,312 61.7 38.3 1.48 0.89
Florida 20,111 38.5 61.5 4.07 6.64
Georgia 4,625 51.1 48.9 1.43 0.99
Illinois 7,793 63.5 36.5 4.17 3.5
Iowa 2,134 47.5 52.5 0.25 0.38
Kansas 5,024 45.7 54.3 0.85 1.17
Maine 3,281 42.3 57.7 0.46 0.32
Michigan 6,767 33.9 66.1 1.14 2.3
Minnesota 1,974 83.9 16.1 0.65 0.29
New York 4,926 61 39 2.18 0.88
Pennsylvania 3,263 50.9 49.1 1.58 1.23
South Carolina 2,883 39.1 60.9 0.33 0.38
Texas 10,330 33.4 66.6 2.24 2.93
Wisconsin 7,374 63.3 36.7 1.36 1.01
TOTALS 85,257 48.2 51.8 23.54 23.3

Past elections

2010

Governor of Texas, 2010
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.pngRick Perry Incumbent 55% 2,737,481
     Democratic Bill White 42.3% 2,106,395
     Libertarian Kathie Glass 2.2% 109,211
     Green Deb Shafto 0.4% 19,516
     Write-In Andy Barron 0.1% 7,267
Total Votes 4,979,870
Election Results Via: Texas Secretary of State

2006

Governor of Texas, 2006
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.png Rick Perry Incumbent 39% 1,716,792
     Democratic Chris Bell 29.8% 1,310,337
     Libertarian James Werner 0.6% 26,749
     Independent Richard "Kinky" Friedman 12.4% 547,674
     Independent Carole Keeton Strayhorn 18.1% 796,851
     Write-In James "Patriot" Dillon 0% 713
Total Votes 4,399,116
Election Results Via: Texas Secretary of State

2002

On November 5, 2002, Rick Perry won re-election to the office of Governor of Texas. He defeated Tony Sanchez, Jeff Daiell, Rahul Mahajan, Elaine Eure Henderson and Earl W. (Bill) O'Neil in the general election.

Governor of Texas, 2002
Party Candidate Vote % Votes
     Republican Green check mark transparent.png Rick Perry Incumbent 57.8% 2,632,591
     Democratic Tony Sanchez 40% 1,819,798
     Libertarian Jeff Daiell 1.5% 66,720
     Green Rahul Mahajan 0.7% 32,187
     Write-In Elaine Eure Henderson 0% 1,715
     Write-In Earl W. (Bill) O'Neil 0% 976
Total Votes 4,553,987
Election Results Via: Texas Secretary of State

Voter turnout

Political scientist Michael McDonald's United States Elections Project studied voter turnout in the 2014 election by looking at the percentage of eligible voters who headed to the polls. McDonald used voting-eligible population (VEP), or the number of eligible voters independent of their current registration status, to calculate turnout rates in each state on November 4. He also incorporated ballots cast for the highest office in each state into his calculation. He estimated that 82,596,338 ballots were cast in the 50 states plus the District of Columbia, representing 36.4 percent of the VEP.[24] By comparison, 61.6 percent of VEP voted in the 2008 presidential election and 58.2 percent of VEP voted in the 2012 presidential election.[25]

Quick facts

  • According to PBS Newshour, voter turnout in the 2014 midterms was the lowest since the 1942 midterms, which took place during the nation's involvement in World War II.[26]
  • Forty-three states and the District of Columbia failed to surpass 50 percent turnout in McDonald's analysis.
  • The three states with the lowest turnout according to McDonald's analysis were Indiana (28 percent), Texas (28.5 percent) and Utah (28.8 percent).
  • Maine (59.3 percent), Wisconsin (56.9 percent) and Alaska (55.3 percent) were the three states with the highest turnout.
  • There were only 12 states that increased voter turnout in 2014 compared to the 2010 midterm elections.[27]
Voter turnout rates, 2014
State Total votes for top office  % voter eligible population Top statewide office up for election Size of lead (Raw votes) Size of lead (%)
Alabama 1,200,000 33.5 Governor 320,319 27.2
Alaska 290,000 55.3 Governor 4,004 1.6
Arizona 1,550,000 34.4 Governor 143,951 12.5
Arkansas 875,000 41.2 Governor 118,664 14
California 7,750,000 31.8 Governor 1,065,748 17.8
Colorado 2,025,000 53.0 Governor 50,395 2.4
Connecticut 1,089,880 42.3 Governor 26,603 2.5
Delaware 234,038 34.4 Attorney general 31,155 13.6
District of Columbia 150,000 30.3 Mayor 27,934 19
Florida 5,951,561 42.7 Governor 66,127 1.1
Georgia 2,575,000 38.2 Governor 202,685 8
Hawaii 366,125 36.2 Governor 45,323 12.4
Idaho 440,000 39.1 Governor 65,852 14.9
Illinois 3,550,000 39.5 Governor 171,900 4.9
Indiana 1,350,000 28.0 Secretary of state 234,978 17.8
Iowa 1,150,000 50.6 Governor 245,548 21.8
Kansas 875,000 42.8 Governor 33,052 3.9
Kentucky 1,440,000 44.2 U.S. Senate 222,096 15.5
Louisiana 1,472,039 43.8 U.S. Senate 16,401 1.1
Maine 625,000 59.3 Governor 29,820 4.9
Maryland 1,750,000 41.9 Governor 88,648 6.1
Massachusetts 2,150,000 43.9 Governor 40,361 1.9
Michigan 3,151,835 42.7 Governor 129,547 4.3
Minnesota 2,025,000 51.3 Governor 109,776 5.6
Mississippi 650,000 29.7 U.S. Senate 141,234 33
Missouri 1,450,000 32.3 Auditor 684,074 53.6
Montana 365,000 46.1 U.S. Senate 65,262 17.9
Nebraska 550,000 41.3 Governor 97,678 18.7
Nevada 600,000 31.8 Governor 255,793 46.7
New Hampshire 500,000 48.8 Governor 24,924 5.2
New Jersey 1,825,000 30.4 N/A N/A N/A
New Mexico 550,000 38.3 Governor 73,868 14.6
New York 3,900,000 28.8 Governor 476,252 13.4
North Carolina 2,900,000 40.7 U.S. Senate 48,511 1.7
North Dakota 248,670 43.8 U.S. House At-large seat 42,214 17.1
Ohio 3,150,000 36.2 Governor 933,235 30.9
Oklahoma 825,000 29.8 Governor 122,060 14.7
Oregon 1,500,000 52 Governor 59,029 4.5
Pennsylvania 3,500,000 36.1 Governor 339,261 9.8
Rhode Island 325,000 41.7 Governor 14,346 4.5
South Carolina 1,246,301 34.8 Governor 179,089 14.6
South Dakota 279,412 44.5 Governor 124,865 45.1
Tennessee 1,400,000 29.1 Governor 642,214 47.5
Texas 4,750,000 28.5 Governor 957,973 20.4
Utah 550,000 28.8 Attorney general 173,819 35.2
Vermont 193,087 38.8 Governor 2,095 1.1
Virginia 2,200,000 36.7 U.S. Senate 16,727 0.8
Washington 2,050,000 41.6 N/A N/A N/A
West Virginia 460,000 31.8 U.S. Senate 124,667 27.6
Wisconsin 2,425,000 56.9 Governor 137,607 5.7
Wyoming 168,390 38.7 Governor 52,703 33.6
United States 82,596,338 36.4

Note: Information from the United States Elections Project was last updated on November 19, 2014. The results in this table draw from unofficial results as of November 12, 2014.

Key deadlines

Deadline Event
December 9, 2013 Filing deadline for candidates
March 4, 2014 Primary election
May 27, 2014 Primary run-off election
November 4, 2014 General election
January 20, 2015 Inauguration

Recent news

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All stories may not be relevant to this page due to the nature of the search engine.

Texas Gubernatorial Election News Feed

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See also

External links

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Suggest a link

Additional reading

References

  1. USA Today, "Texas Gov. Rick Perry says he won't run again," July 8, 2013
  2. Fair Vote, "Congressional and Presidential Primaries: Open, Closed, Semi-Closed, and 'Top Two,'" accessed January 2, 2014
  3. Texas Statutes, "Section 172.086," accessed January 3, 2014
  4. Washington Post, "Wendy Davis announces run for Texas governor," October 3, 2013
  5. Associated Press, "Dad: George P. Bush eyeing Texas land commissioner," November 14, 2012 (dead link)
  6. National Journal, "Report: Abbott to run for Texas governor," January 11, 2013
  7. Houston Chronicle, "AG Abbott formally kicks off gubernatorial bid," July 14, 2013
  8. Statesman, "Year of the Women? Will Greg Abbott face Wendy Davis, Kathie Glass and Debra Medina in 2014?," October 1, 2013
  9. 9.0 9.1 9.2 9.3 Independent Political Report, "Texas, Wisconsin Libertarian Conventions This Weekend," 4/11/2014
  10. Green Party of Texas, "Press Release: 50 Candidates File to Run as Greens in Texas," December 10, 2013
  11. Star-Telegram, "2014 campaign now off and running in Texas," November 9, 2013
  12. My San Antonio, "Secession succeeds — as a talking point," November 24, 2012
  13. Valley Morning Star, "Miriam Martinez says she’ll run for governor," January 22, 2013
  14. Dallas Morning News, "Tea party activist jumps into GOP contest for governor in Texas," October 8, 2013
  15. Examiner, "Lee Wrights announces for Libertarian governor in Grapevine," October 31, 2013
  16. 16.0 16.1 16.2 Libertarian Party of Texas, " 2014 Texas statewide offices," accessed December 10, 2013
  17. The Dallas Morning News, "Former Texas GOP Chairman Tom Pauken to run for governor," March 21, 2013
  18. Dallas Morning News, "Tom Pauken withdraws from GOP governor’s race," December 5, 2013
  19. Dalhart Texan, "Chapman for Governor," July 2013
  20. Very Good Citizenship Today, "Chapman Withdraws from Texas Gubernatorial Race," January 10, 2014
  21. NBC News, "Perry won't seek re-election as TX governor," July 8, 2013
  22. Dallas Morning News, "Debra Media nixes governor run; files for comptroller," November 13, 2013
  23. Wesleyan Media Project, "GOP Groups Keeping Senate Contests Close," September 30, 2014
  24. United States Elections Project, "2014 November General Election Turnout Rates," November 7, 2014
  25. TIME, "Voter Turnout in Midterm Elections Hits 72-Year Low," November 10, 2014
  26. PBS, "2014 midterm election turnout lowest in 70 years," November 10, 2014
  27. U.S. News & World Report, "Midterm Turnout Down in 2014," November 5, 2014